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James Madison Dukes vs Marshall Thundering Herd November 30th 2024
James Madison is the slight -3.5 point favorite as they host Marshall at Bridgeforth Stadium/Zane Showker Field in Harrisonburg. Kick-off is set for 8:00 ET, and the game can be seen on ESNU. Both teams enter the game with an 8-3 record. The over/under line is at 52.5 points for this week 14 college football matchup.
Marshall vs. James Madison Key Information
- Teams: Thundering Herd at Dukes
- Where: Bridgeforth Stadium/Zane Showker Field Harrisonburg
- Date: Saturday, November 30th
- Betting Odds JMAD -172 | MARSH +145 O/U 52.5
The Thundering Herd Can Win If…
Marshall enters Week 14 with an 8-3 record, sitting at 66th in our power rankings. They are 5-0 at home but have gone 2-3 on the road this season. The Thundering Herd have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 23.8% chance of winning the Sun Belt.
Against the spread, Marshall is 8-1-1, with a +7.6 average scoring margin. They are 4-0-1 ATS on the road and 4-1 at home. As the favorite, they’ve gone 5-1 ATS this season.
The over/under line for this week is 52.5 points. Marshall’s games have averaged 55.6 points, with their over/under record at 5-5. Their average line has been 54 points, and they’ve exceeded it by an average of 2.4 points per game.
Heading into week 14, Marshall’s offense is averaging 31.6 points per game, ranking 36th nationally. They are 17th in rushing, with 210.8 yards per game, and average 37.7 rushing attempts per game. A.J. Turner has rushed for 846 yards, averaging 8 yards per carry, and has scored six touchdowns.
Quarterback Braylon Braxton has thrown for 1,311 yards, with 16 touchdowns and just two interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 115. Marshall is 23rd in passer rating nationally. Christian Fitzpatrick leads the receivers with 556 yards and six touchdowns.
Marshall’s defense has allowed an average of 24 points per game this season, ranking 46th nationally. In their recent game against Old Dominion, they gave up 35 points and 513 total yards, including 286 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns.
Opponents have averaged 184.5 rushing yards per game against Marshall, ranking them 135th in the nation. Through the air, they’ve allowed 204.3 passing yards per game, with quarterbacks completing 57.9% of their passes and posting a passer rating of 79.6.
- Through their last three games, the Marshall Thundering Herd have a record of 3-0. In terms of betting, the team went 3-0 ATS in these matchups. Their over/under record in these matchups is 1-2.
- Over their last ten regular season games, the Marshall Thundering Herd have gone 7-3 straight up. In these matchups, they ended with an ATS record of 8-1-1 and an over-under mark of 5-5.
The Dukes Can Win If…
James Madison enters Week 14 with an 8-3 record, hosting Marshall. They are 4-0 at home and 3-3 on the road this season. Despite a 0% chance of winning the Sun Belt, they are guaranteed bowl eligibility, according to projections. James Madison ranks 56th in our CFB power rankings.
The Dukes have been favored in nine of their 11 games, going 6-3 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +14.5 points per game, and they are 6-4 against the spread this season.
This week’s over/under line is 52.5 points. James Madison’s games have averaged 53.4 points, with their over/under record at 3-7 and an average margin of +3.4 points against the line.
James Madison’s offense is averaging 33.9 points per game, ranking 22nd in scoring as they head into week 14. Quarterback Alonza Barnett III has thrown for 2,458 yards, completing 59.1% of his passes, with 24 touchdowns and just three interceptions. He has a passer rating of 102, which matches the team’s overall passer rating and ranks 25th nationally.
Stay Ahead with Expert NCAA Picks! Discover NCAA football picks this week and plan your bets.
The Dukes are 34th in rushing attempts, averaging 190.5 yards per game on the ground. George Pettaway leads the rushing attack with 823 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry. James Madison is ranked 89th in our offensive power rankings.
James Madison’s defense, ranked 18th nationally, has allowed 19.5 points per game this season. In their recent 34-20 loss to Appalachian State, they gave up 34 points, allowing 365 total yards, including 149 rushing yards and 216 passing yards.
Opponents have averaged 122.9 rushing yards per game and 205.5 passing yards against James Madison. The defense ranks 8th in the nation in passer rating allowed (64.6) and 10th in completion percentage, holding quarterbacks to just 52.8% completions.
- Through their last three games, the James Madison Dukes have a record of 3-0. Against the spread, the team is 2-1 in these same games while going 0-3 on the over/under.
- Across James Madison’s last ten regular season games, their record sits at 9-1. Their record vs the spread sits at 6-4 in these matchups, while posting a 4-6 over-under mark.
The Lean
Our projection for this week 14 matchup between James Madison and Marshall is a 30-28 win for James Madison. Marshall comes in as the +3.5 point underdogs, but we like their chances to cover the spread in this one.
With the over/under line set at 52.5 points, our model is projecting a combined 58 points, making the over the best bet for this matchup.
