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Georgia Southern Eagles vs Appalachian State Mountaineers November 30th 2024
Georgia Southern is the -2.5 point favorite as they host this week 14 matchup against Appalachian State. Kick-off is set for 6:00 ET from Allen E. Paulson Stadium in Statesboro, with ESPN+ handling the broadcast. The over/under line is at 62.5 points, and the money line odds are +113 for the Mountaineers and -135 for the Eagles. Georgia Southern enters the game with a 7-4 record, while Appalachian State is 5-5 on the season.
Appalachian State vs. Georgia Southern Key Information
- Teams: Mountaineers at Eagles
- Where: Allen E. Paulson Stadium Statesboro
- Date: Saturday, November 30th
- Betting Odds GAS -135 | APPLST +113 O/U 62.5
The Mountaineers Can Win If…
Appalachian State enters Week 14 against Georgia Southern with a 5-5 record. They are 3-1 at home but have struggled on the road, going 1-4. Ranked 95th in our power rankings, the Mountaineers have a 31.5% chance of becoming bowl-eligible.
Appalachian State’s ATS record is 4-5, with a -6 average scoring margin. They are 1-3 against the spread as favorites and 3-2 as underdogs.
This week’s over/under line is 62.5 points, while their average line has been 59 points. Their over/under record is 2-6-1, with games averaging 60.6 points.
Appalachian State’s offense has been centered around their passing game, ranking 43rd in passing attempts and averaging 246.5 yards per game, placing them 42nd nationally. Joey Aguilar has thrown for 2,712 yards with 21 touchdowns, but he has also thrown 12 interceptions and has a passer rating of 86. The team ranks 73rd in scoring, averaging 24.8 points per game, and they are 71st in our offensive power rankings heading into week 14.
Aguilar’s completion rate stands at 56.1%, and the team ranks 78th nationally in completion percentage. On third downs, they convert 40.6% of their attempts. In the run game, Appalachian State averages 141.2 rushing yards per game. Ahmani Marshall leads the rushing attack with 586 yards and six touchdowns. Kaedin Robinson is the top receiver with 840 yards on 53 catches.
Appalachian State’s defense has allowed an average of 30.3 points per game this season. In their recent game against James Madison, they gave up 20 points but managed to secure a 34-20 win. The defense allowed 400 total yards, including 168 rushing yards on 38 attempts and 232 passing yards, while also forcing an interception.
Opponents have averaged 200.7 rushing yards per game against Appalachian State, ranking them 148th nationally. The defense has faced the 23rd fewest pass attempts in the country, allowing 219.5 passing yards per game. Quarterbacks have completed 66.6% of their passes with a passer rating of 107.7 against the Mountaineers.
- Spanning across their last three games, Appalachian State have gone 2-1. Their strong play has also resulted in an ATS mark of 2-1 (last 3). They had an over/under mark of 0-3 in those same games.
- Over their last ten regular season games, the Appalachian State Mountaineers have gone 5-5 straight up. The team’s record vs the spread was just 4-6, in addition to an over-under mark of 2-7-1.
The Eagles Can Win If…
Georgia Southern enters Week 14 with a 7-4 record, and they are 100% bowl-eligible. They are 2-2 at home and 4-2 on the road this season. The Eagles have been favored in three games, going 1-2 as the favorite, and they’ve posted a +0.1 average scoring margin this year.
Against the spread, Georgia Southern is 6-3-1, with a 4-2 record on the road and a 2-1-1 mark at home. They are 0-2-1 ATS as the favorite but have gone 5-1 ATS as the underdog.
The over/under line for this week is 62.5 points. Georgia Southern’s games have averaged 56.1 points, and their over/under record is 4-6, with an average line of 58.1 points.
Georgia Southern’s offense is centered around their passing game, ranking 26th in passing attempts per game. They are 21st in completions, averaging 23 per game, and 41st in passing yards, with 246.6 yards per game. They are converting 45.1% of their third downs, ranking 25th nationally, and are 53rd in scoring, with 28.1 points per game. We have them ranked 64th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 14.
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Quarterback JC French has thrown for 2,453 yards, completing 65.1% of his passes, with 15 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. He has a passer rating of 90. Jalen White leads the rushing attack with 530 yards and 10 touchdowns, averaging 4 yards per carry. Derwin Burgess Jr. is the leading receiver with 584 yards and three touchdowns on 49 catches.
Georgia Southern’s defense was impressive in their recent 26-6 win over Coastal Carolina, allowing just six points and forcing three interceptions. They limited Coastal Carolina to 12 first downs and 280 total yards, including 117 passing yards and 163 rushing yards on 24 carries.
Despite this strong performance, Georgia Southern’s defense has struggled this season, ranking 130th in the nation by allowing 181.8 rushing yards per game. They’ve also given up 259.9 passing yards per game, which ranks 146th nationally, with opposing quarterbacks completing 63.7% of their passes.
- Spanning across their last three games, Georgia Southern have gone 2-1. This includes going 1-1-1 vs. the spread and posting an over-under mark of 0-3.
- Across Georgia Southern’s last ten regular season games, their record sits at 7-3. Across these games, their ATS record was just 6-3-1, while posting an over-under record of 5-5.
The Lean
Georgia Southern is the -2.5 point spread favorite at home in this week 14 matchup against Appalachian State. We expect Georgia Southern to cover, with a projected final score of 36-31 in their favor.
The over/under line is set at 62.5 points, and with our projection of 67 total points, the over looks like the best bet.
