Air Force Falcons vs Oregon State Beavers Picks and Predictions November 16th 2024

Air Force Falcons vs Oregon State Beavers November 16th 2024

The Oregon State Beavers are on the road this week, facing off against the Air Force Falcons at Falcon Stadium in the USAF Academy. Kick-off is set for 3:30 ET on Saturday, November 16th, with CBSS handling the broadcast. The Beavers are favored by -4 points, and the over/under line is currently at 45 points. Oregon State comes in with a 4-5 record, while Air Force is 2-7 on the season.

Oregon State vs. Air Force Key Information

The Beavers Can Win If…

At 4-5 this season, Oregon State faces Air Force in Week 12. They rank 90th in our CFB power rankings and have a 26.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Beavers are 1-3 on the road and 1-2 at home so far.

Oregon State’s ATS record is 2-5, with an average scoring margin of -3 points per game. They’ve been favored in four games, going 2-2 against the spread as favorites.

Their over/under record stands at 3-3-1, with an average line of 52.4 points. This week’s line is 45 points, and their games have averaged 54.6 points.

Oregon State’s offense has leaned heavily on their rushing attack, ranking 15th nationally with 216 rushing yards per game. They are 11th in rushing attempts, averaging 43.4 carries per game. Anthony Hankerson leads the ground game with 870 rushing yards and 14 touchdowns.

Overall, the Beavers are 60th in scoring, averaging 25.8 points per game, and we have them ranked 82nd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 12. Quarterback Gevani McCoy has thrown for 1,279 yards with two touchdowns and six interceptions. Oregon State ranks 99th in passing yards per game.

Oregon State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 28.8 points per game. In their recent game against San Jose State, they gave up 24 points and 465 total yards, including 395 passing yards, though they did manage to force an interception.

Opponents have averaged 220.6 passing yards per game against Oregon State, completing 57.4% of their throws. The Beavers rank 128th nationally in rushing defense, allowing 174.6 yards per game on the ground.

• Across Oregon State’s last three regular season games, their record sits at 0-3. The team’s record vs the spread was just 0-3, in addition to an over-under mark of 0-2-1.
• Oregon State has put together a record of 4-6 in their last ten games (regular season). Their record against the spread in this stretch is 2-8 to go along with an over-under mark of 5-4-1.

The Falcons Can Win If…

Air Force enters Week 12 against Oregon State with a 2-7 record, and they are out of bowl contention. The Falcons are ranked 120th in our CFB power rankings. At home, they’ve gone 1-3 this season, and they’ve been favored in just two of their nine games so far.

The Falcons have an average scoring margin of -10.4 points per game and are 2-6 against the spread this season. As favorites, they are 0-2 ATS, and their home and road ATS records stand at 1-3.

Air Force’s over/under record is 4-4, with their games averaging 42.9 points. This week’s line is set at 45 points, higher than their average line of 41.8 points this season.

Air Force’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 16.2 points per game, placing them 95th in the nation. They are ranked 124th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 12. Their passing game has been particularly weak, with only 90 yards per game, ranking 126th nationally. They are also 133rd in passer rating.

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John Busha, the team’s quarterback, has thrown for 415 yards with a passer rating of 32, completing only 36.7% of his passes. He has one touchdown and five interceptions. Air Force leads the nation in rushing attempts, averaging 53.7 per game, and they are 27th in rushing yards, with 203.9 per game. Dylan Carson leads the team with 273 rushing yards.

Air Force’s defense has allowed an average of 26.7 points per game this season. In their latest game against Fresno State, they gave up 28 points but held the Bulldogs to just 15 first downs and -5 rushing yards. Fresno State threw for 289 yards and three touchdowns, but Air Force’s defense also managed to snag an interception.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged a 99.8 passer rating and completed 65.4% of their passes against Air Force, throwing for 183.6 yards per game. On the ground, Air Force has faced 34.3 rushing attempts per game, allowing an average of 176.2 rushing yards, which ranks 129th nationally.

Our pick for this week 12 matchup between Air Force and Oregon State is to take Air Force to cover the +4 point spread. We have the final score at 22-20 in favor of Air Force, so they are the right side to go with as the home underdogs.

With the over/under line sitting at 45 points, we recommend taking the under, as our projections have the teams combining for just 42 points.