Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs East Carolina Pirates Picks and Predictions November 14th 2024

Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs East Carolina Pirates November 14th 2024

Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium in Tulsa is the site for this week 12 matchup between the East Carolina Pirates and the Tulsa Golden Hurricane. Kick-off is set for 7:30 ET, and ESPN will be handling the broadcast. The Pirates come in with a 5-4 record, while the Golden Hurricane are 3-6 on the season. The over/under line is at 61 points, and East Carolina is the heavy favorite at -14 points.

East Carolina vs. Tulsa Key Information

East Carolina enters Week 12 with a 5-4 record, ranked 92nd in our power rankings. They have a 91.2% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but are out of the running for the American Athletic title. On the road, the Pirates are 1-3, while they’ve posted a 3-1 record at home this season.

Against the spread, East Carolina is 5-3, with a +5.7 average scoring margin. They are 3-1 ATS at home and 2-2 on the road. As favorites, they’ve gone 3-1 ATS this season.

The over/under line for this week is 61 points. East Carolina’s games have averaged 59.2 points, with an average line of 53.6 points. Their over/under record stands at 5-3, with their games averaging +7.4 points over the line.

East Carolina’s offense is averaging 32.4 points per game, placing them 33rd in the nation heading into week 12. They are ranked 91st in our offensive power rankings. The Pirates have focused on their passing game, averaging 272.7 yards per game, which ranks 29th nationally. They are 39th in passing attempts, with 33.6 per game, and convert 44% of their third-down opportunities.

Jake Garcia leads the team with 1,426 passing yards and a 60.2% completion rate. He has thrown eight touchdowns but also has 12 interceptions, resulting in a passer rating of 72. Chase Sowell is the top receiver with 603 yards and three touchdowns. On the ground, Rahjai Harris has rushed for 616 yards and five touchdowns.

East Carolina’s defense played a key role in their 49-14 win over Florida Atlantic, forcing two interceptions and allowing just 14 points. They gave up 137 rushing yards on 32 attempts and 262 passing yards, totaling 399 yards allowed.

On average, East Carolina’s defense has given up 26.8 points per game this season. They’ve allowed 162.1 rushing yards per game and 233.9 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks completing 57.9% of their passes.

Tulsa enters Week 12 with a 3-6 record, facing East Carolina. They have a 1.2% chance of becoming bowl-eligible and rank 131st in our power rankings. At home, they are 1-2 this season.

Tulsa has been the underdog in all nine games, going 1-6 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin is -13.7 points, and they are 2-5 against the spread this year.

The over/under line for this week is set at 61 points. Tulsa’s average over/under line has been 58 points, with their games averaging 63.2 points and a 4-3 record against the total.

Heading into week 12, Tulsa’s offense is averaging 24.8 points per game, placing them 66th in the nation. However, they are ranked 127th in our offensive power rankings. The Golden Hurricane are 31st in passing attempts, averaging 35.2 per game, and 40th in completions, with 20.3 per game. They are 74th in passing yards, averaging 225.9 yards per game, and their third-down conversion rate is 39.7%.

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Kirk Francis leads Tulsa’s passing attack with 1,254 yards, seven touchdowns, and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 77. The team ranks 81st in passer rating nationally. On the ground, Tulsa averages 158.2 rushing yards per game. Bill Jackson leads the team with 296 rushing yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, but he has yet to score a touchdown. Kamdyn Benjamin has 683 receiving yards and five touchdowns on 55 receptions.

Tulsa’s defense has struggled this season, ranking 101st nationally by allowing 38.4 points per game. In their recent 59-21 loss to UAB, they gave up 59 points, despite forcing two interceptions. UAB totaled 403 yards, including 170 rushing yards and 233 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 308.6 passing yards per game against Tulsa, completing 67.3% of their passes. Tulsa’s defense has faced the 49th fewest rushing attempts in the country, allowing 144.2 rushing yards per game.

East Carolina is favored by -14 points in their week 12 matchup against Tulsa, with our projected final score being 35-24 in favor of the Pirates. However, we like Tulsa to cover the spread as the underdog.

With the over/under line set at 61 points, our projection of 59 points suggests that taking the under is the best play for this game.