Texas El Paso Miners vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Picks and Predictions November 2nd 2024

Texas El Paso Miners vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders NCAAF Sat, Nov 2, 15:30 pm.
Texas El Paso Miners
ML: -125
0
0
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
ML: 105
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UTEP comes in as the -3 point spread favorite as they host Middle Tennessee at the Sun Bowl in El Paso. Kick-off is set for 3:30 ET, and the over/under line is at 51.5 points. The game will be broadcast on CBSS. The money line odds are currently +128 for Middle Tennessee and -153 for UTEP. Both teams have struggled this season, with Middle Tennessee at 2-6 and UTEP at 1-7.

Middle Tennessee vs. UTEP Key Information

  • Teams: Blue Raiders at Miners
  • Where: Sun Bowl El Paso
  • Date: Saturday, November 2nd
  • Betting Odds UTEP -153 | MTNST +128 O/U 51.5

The Blue Raiders Can Win If…

Middle Tennessee heads into Week 10 against UTEP with a 2-6 record. They are ranked 131st in our CFB power rankings, and their chances of becoming bowl-eligible are just 2.4%. On the road, they are 0-4, and at home, they are 0-2 this season.

The Blue Raiders have not been favored in any of their games, and their average scoring margin is -19.4 points per game. Against the spread, they are 1-5 this season.

The over/under line for this week is 51.5 points. Middle Tennessee’s games have averaged 53.1 points, and their average over/under line has been 57 points, with a 3-3 record against the total.

Middle Tennessee’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 16.9 points per game, placing them 123rd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 10. Their third-down conversion rate is 38%, and they rank 125th in rushing, with only 79 yards per game on the ground.

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Quarterback Nicholas Vattiato has thrown for 2,057 yards, completing 64.3% of his passes. The Blue Raiders are 24th in passing attempts and 18th in completions nationally, averaging 262.2 passing yards per game. Vattiato has nine touchdowns and five interceptions. Omari Kelly leads the receiving corps with 779 yards and three touchdowns.

Middle Tennessee’s defense struggled in their recent game against Jacksonville State, giving up 42 points and allowing 577 total yards. The Blue Raiders allowed 440 rushing yards on 53 attempts and five rushing touchdowns, while Jacksonville State completed 10 of 18 passes for 137 yards and one touchdown.

On the season, Middle Tennessee ranks 98th in the country, allowing 36.2 points per game. Opponents are averaging 198.9 rushing yards per game on 36 attempts, while quarterbacks have posted a 106.2 passer rating, averaging 270.5 passing yards per game.

  • Over their last three regular season games, the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders have gone 1-2 straight up. Their record against the spread in this stretch is 1-2 to go along with an over-under mark of 1-2.
  • Over their last ten regular season games, the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders have gone 3-7 straight up. In these contests, the team went just 2-8 against the spread, while going 5-5 on the over-under.

The Miners Can Win If…

UTEP enters Week 10 with a 1-7 record, facing Middle Tennessee at home. They are ranked 129th in our power rankings and have a 0.0% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Miners are 1-1 at home this season but have gone 0-5 on the road.

Texas El Paso Miners vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

UTEP’s average scoring margin is -13.2 points per game, and they are 3-4 against the spread. They’ve been the underdog in all eight games, with a 1-6 record in those matchups.

The over/under line for this week is 51.5 points. UTEP’s games have averaged an over/under line of 51 points, and their over/under record stands at 3-4, with an average total of 47.2 points per game.

UTEP’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 17 points per game, which ranks them 131st in our offensive power rankings heading into week 10. Their third-down conversion rate is only 30.4%, and they are 96th in rushing yards, with 121.1 yards per game. Jevon Jackson leads the rushing attack with 499 yards, averaging 4 yards per carry, but has only one touchdown.

Skyler Locklear has thrown for 1,029 yards, and UTEP ranks 43rd in completions, averaging 17.9 per game. Locklear has five touchdowns and five interceptions, with a passer rating of 79. Kenny Odom leads the receiving corps with 535 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 21 yards per catch.

UTEP’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 30.2 points per game. Opponents have averaged 190.9 rushing yards per game, while quarterbacks have posted a 102.5 passer rating and 212.1 passing yards per game against UTEP.

In their recent game against Louisiana Tech, UTEP gave up just 14 points and 12 first downs. They allowed only 10 rushing yards on 27 attempts but surrendered 248 passing yards.

  • UTEP has put together a record of 1-2 in their last three games (regular season). Their record against the spread in this stretch is 1-2 to go along with an over-under mark of 2-1.
  • UTEP has put together a record of 3-7 in their last ten games (regular season). Against the spread, UTEP went 5-5 in these games and finished with an over-under mark of 4-6.

The Lean

UTEP is the -3 point spread favorite at home in their week 10 matchup against Middle Tennessee. We expect UTEP to win straight-up, with a projected final score of 29-24 in their favor.

Given our projected final score of 53 points and the over/under line set at 51.5 points, we recommend taking the over in this matchup.

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
Wed, Oct 30, 14:00 pm.
spread
moneyline
over/under
Texas El Paso Miners
-2
-110
-125
O 48
-110
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
+2
-110
105
U 48
-110
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