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Old Dominion Monarchs vs Marshall Thundering Herd November 23rd 2024
Old Dominion is favored by -2.5 points as they host Marshall at S.B. Ballard Stadium in Norfolk. Kick-off is set for 7:30 ET, and ESNU will be covering this week 13 college football matchup. The over/under line is currently at 52.5 points. Marshall comes in with a 7-3 record, while Old Dominion is 4-6 on the season.
Marshall vs. Old Dominion Key Information
- Teams: Thundering Herd at Monarchs
- Where: S.B. Ballard Stadium Norfolk
- Date: Saturday, November 23rd
- Betting Odds OLD -125 | MARSH +104 O/U 52.5
The Thundering Herd Can Win If…
Marshall enters Week 13 with a 7-3 record, but they are 1-3 on the road this season. They’ve been perfect at home, going 5-0. The Thundering Herd has been favored in six of their ten games, and they’ve gone 6-0 as the favorite. Marshall is projected to be bowl-eligible, with a 13.4% chance of winning the Sun Belt.
Against the spread, Marshall is 7-1-1, with a +7.7 average scoring margin. They are 4-1 ATS at home and 3-0-1 on the road. As the favorite, they’ve gone 5-1 ATS.
The over/under line for this week is 52.5 points. Marshall’s games have averaged 53.5 points, and their over/under record is 4-5. Their average line has been 54.3 points, with an average margin of -0.2 points against the line.
Marshall’s offense has leaned heavily on their ground game, ranking 18th in the nation with 205.8 rushing yards per game. They are 30th in rushing attempts, averaging 37.4 per game. A.J. Turner leads the team with 793 rushing yards, averaging 9 yards per carry, and has scored six touchdowns.
Overall, Marshall is 37th in scoring, with 30.6 points per game, and they are ranked 76th in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Braylon Braxton has thrown for 1,101 yards, with 13 touchdowns and two interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 113.
Marshall’s defense has allowed 22.9 points per game this season, ranking 41st nationally. In their recent game, they gave up 19 points to Coastal Carolina, allowing 391 total yards, including 267 passing yards, while forcing one interception.
Opponents have averaged 202 passing yards per game against Marshall, completing 57.6% of their passes. On the ground, Marshall has struggled, ranking 117th by allowing 174.3 rushing yards per game.
- Marshall has put together a record of 3-0 over their past three games. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 2-1 while posting a 1-2 over-under mark.
- The Marshall Thundering Herd have gone 7-3 over their last ten regular season games. In these contests, the team went just 8-1-1 against the spread, while going 4-6 on the over-under.
The Monarchs Can Win If…
Old Dominion enters Week 13 with a 4-6 record, hosting Marshall. They rank 76th in our CFB power rankings and have a 34.9% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. At home, the Monarchs are 2-3, and they’ve been favored in just two games this season.
Old Dominion’s ATS record stands at 5-5, with a 3-2 mark on the road and 2-3 at home. They’ve gone 0-2 against the spread as favorites but are 5-3 ATS when playing as underdogs.
Their over/under record is 5-5, with an average line of 52.9 points. This week’s line is set at 52.5, and their games have averaged 52.3 points per contest.
Old Dominion’s offense has leaned on their rushing attack this season, ranking 21st in the nation with 39.4 rushing attempts per game and averaging 189.4 yards on the ground, placing them 34th. Aaron Young leads the team with 657 rushing yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and has scored four touchdowns.
Overall, the Monarchs are scoring 26.1 points per game, ranking 63rd nationally, and they are 84th in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Colton Joseph has thrown for 1,396 yards with 10 touchdowns and four interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 91. Isiah Paige leads the receiving corps with 699 yards and three touchdowns on 53 catches.
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Old Dominion’s defense has allowed 26.2 points per game this season, ranking them 60th nationally. In their recent game against James Madison, they gave up 35 points, allowing 431 total yards, including 239 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns.
Opponents have averaged 171 rushing yards per game against Old Dominion, ranking them 114th in the nation. Through the air, they’ve allowed 238.3 passing yards per game, with quarterbacks completing 60.9% of their passes.
- Old Dominion will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 2-1 over their past three games. This also includes going 2-1 ATS and an over-under mark of 2-1.
- Old Dominion has put together a record of 5-5 in their last ten games (regular season). In these matchups, they ended with an ATS record of 3-6-1 and an over-under mark of 5-5.
The Lean
Marshall is the +2.5 point underdog on the road vs. Old Dominion, but we like their chances to win and cover the spread. Our projected final score is 32-27 in favor of Marshall.
With the over/under line set at 52.5 points, our projection of 59 combined points suggests that taking the over is the best play for this matchup.
