Appalachian State Mountaineers vs James Madison Dukes Picks and Predictions November 23rd 2024

Appalachian State Mountaineers vs James Madison Dukes November 23rd 2024

ESPN+ will be covering the week 13 matchup between the James Madison Dukes and the Appalachian State Mountaineers, set to kick off at 2:30 ET from Kidd Brewer Stadium in Boone. The Dukes are favored by -7 points, with the over/under line at 60.5 points. The Dukes come in with an 8-2 record, while the Mountaineers are 4-5 on the season.

James Madison vs. Appalachian State Key Information

James Madison enters Week 13 with an 8-2 record, ranked 49th in our CFB power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 22.8% chance to win the Sun Belt. The Dukes are 4-0 at home and 3-2 on the road this season.

James Madison has been favored in eight of their ten games, going 6-2 as the favorite. Their ATS record stands at 6-3, with a +17.3 average scoring margin. They are 5-3 against the spread as favorites this season.

This week’s over/under line is 60.5, higher than any of James Madison’s previous games. Their over/under record is 3-6, with an average line of 52.9 points and an average total of 53.3 points per game.

James Madison’s offense is scoring 35.3 points per game, ranking 17th nationally as they head into week 13. Alonza Barnett III has thrown for 2,226 yards, completing 59.2% of his passes, with 22 touchdowns and just two interceptions. He has a passer rating of 104, which matches the team’s overall rating, placing them 23rd in the country.

On the ground, the Dukes average 192.8 rushing yards per game, ranking 33rd. George Pettaway leads the rushing attack with 741 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and has scored four touchdowns. James Madison is 82nd in our offensive power rankings.

James Madison’s defense has been a strong point this season, ranking 12th nationally by allowing just 18 points per game. They’ve given up 120.3 rushing yards per game and 204.5 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks managing a passer rating of only 59.7, the sixth-lowest in the country.

In their recent game against Old Dominion, the defense allowed 32 points but also forced an interception. They gave up 174 rushing yards and 189 passing yards, though no passing touchdowns were allowed.

At 4-5 this season, Appalachian State faces James Madison in Week 13. They are ranked 104th in our CFB power rankings and have just a 7.6% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Mountaineers are 2-1 at home and 1-4 on the road this year.

Appalachian State has been favored in four of their nine games, going 2-2 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -8.2 points per game, and they are 3-5 against the spread this season.

The over/under line for this week is set at 60.5 points. The Mountaineers’ over/under record is 2-5-1, with their games averaging 61.3 points and an average line of 59.2 points.

Appalachian State’s offense is averaging 23.9 points per game heading into week 13, placing them 71st in the nation. They are ranked 77th in our offensive power rankings. The Mountaineers rely heavily on their passing game, with 33.4 attempts per game, ranking 31st nationally, and they average 249.6 passing yards per game, ranking 43rd. Their third-down conversion rate is 42.5%.

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Joey Aguilar leads the team with 2,496 passing yards, 19 touchdowns, and 12 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 84. As a team, Appalachian State ranks 104th in passer rating. On the ground, they average 140.4 rushing yards per game. Ahmani Marshall leads the rushing attack with 478 yards and five touchdowns. Kaedin Robinson is the top receiver with 840 yards on 53 catches.

Appalachian State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 31.3 points per game. In their recent 38-24 loss to Coastal Carolina, they gave up 38 points and 391 total yards, including 267 passing yards. However, they did manage to force an interception.

Opponents have averaged 204.3 rushing yards per game against Appalachian State, while quarterbacks have posted a 110.3 passer rating and completed 67.5% of their throws. On average, opposing offenses have faced 35.7 rushing attempts and 25.1 passing attempts per game, the 18th fewest in the country.

Appalachian State is the +7 point underdog at home in their week 13 matchup against James Madison. We have the Mountaineers pulling off the upset with a final score of 35-26, so we recommend taking them to cover the spread.

With the over/under line set at 60.5 points, our projection of 61 points suggests that taking the over is the best play for this game.