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Florida Atlantic Owls vs Charlotte 49ers November 23rd 2024
ESPN+ is covering this week 13 Charlotte 49ers vs. Florida Atlantic Owls matchup, set to kick off at 3:00 ET from FAU Stadium in Boca Raton. The over/under line is at 48.5 points, and the 49ers are the slight -2.5-point road favorites. Both teams have struggled this season, with Charlotte at 3-7 and Florida Atlantic at 2-8.
Charlotte vs. Florida Atlantic Key Information
- Teams: 49ers at Owls
- Where: FAU Stadium Boca Raton
- Date: Saturday, November 23rd
- Betting Odds CHARLT -138 | FLATL +115 O/U 48.5
The 49ers Can Win If…
Heading into Week 13 against Florida Atlantic, Charlotte holds a 3-7 record and ranks 120th in our power rankings. With no chance of bowl eligibility, they are 1-5 on the road and 1-2 at home this season.
Charlotte has been favored in just one game this season, and their average scoring margin is -15.1 points per game. Against the spread, they are 4-5 overall, with a 3-3 record on the road.
Their over/under record is 6-3, with an average line of 51.4 points. This week’s line is set at 48.5 points, and Charlotte’s games have averaged 58.3 points per contest.
Charlotte’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 21.6 points per game, placing them 113th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13. Their third-down conversion rate is low at 30.2%, and their passer rating is 69, ranking 126th nationally. They are 85th in passing yards, with 207.8 yards per game, and rank 77th in completions.
Deshawn Purdie leads the team with 1,191 passing yards and a passer rating of 79. He has thrown six touchdowns and five interceptions. Hahsaun Wilson has rushed for 457 yards and six touchdowns, averaging 6 yards per carry. O’Mega Blake leads the receiving corps with 517 yards and five touchdowns on 25 receptions.
Charlotte’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 36.7 points per game, including 59 points in their recent loss to South Florida. They gave up 551 total yards, with 425 rushing yards and six rushing touchdowns, though they did manage to force one interception.
Opponents have averaged 214.6 rushing yards per game against Charlotte, while the secondary has allowed 218.6 passing yards per game. Quarterbacks have completed 60.4% of their passes, posting a passer rating of 90.6 against the 49ers.
- Through their last three regular season contests, Charlotte has a record of 0-3. Their record vs the spread sits at 1-2 in these matchups, while posting a 2-1 over-under mark.
- Across Charlotte’s last ten regular season games, their record sits at 3-7. Against the spread, Charlotte went 4-6 in these games and finished with an over-under mark of 7-3.
The Owls Can Win If…
Florida Atlantic enters Week 13 with a 2-8 record, facing Charlotte at home. They are ranked 119th in our power rankings and have no chance of becoming bowl-eligible this season.
The Owls have been favored in two games this season, going 1-1 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin is -8.7 points per game, and they have a 3-5 record against the spread.
FAU’s over/under record is 6-2, with their games averaging 52.9 points. This week’s line is set at 48.5 points, slightly below their average line of 49.2 points.
Florida Atlantic’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 22.1 points per game, placing them 119th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13. Their third-down conversion rate is low at 30.8%, and their passer rating is also poor, ranking 119th nationally. They are 88th in passing yards per game, with an average of 203 yards.
Cam Fancher has thrown for 1,528 yards, with six touchdowns and six interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 79. CJ Campbell Jr. leads the rushing attack with 610 yards and 10 touchdowns. Florida Atlantic ranks 40th in rushing attempts per game, averaging 163.5 rushing yards per contest.
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Florida Atlantic’s defense has struggled this season, giving up an average of 30.8 points per game. They rank 153rd in the nation against the run, allowing 212.2 rushing yards per game. In their latest game, a 18-15 loss to Temple, the defense allowed 218 passing yards but no passing touchdowns.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed 54.1% of their passes against FAU, which ranks 17th-lowest in the country. On average, FAU’s defense has faced 38.4 rushing attempts and 29.5 passing attempts per game this season.
- Across Florida Atlantic’s last three regular season games, their record sits at 1-2. Their record vs the spread sits at 1-2 in these matchups, while posting a 2-1 over-under mark.
- The Florida Atlantic Owls have gone 3-7 over their last ten regular season games. In these contests, the team went just 2-7-1 against the spread, while going 3-7 on the over-under.
The Lean
We like Charlotte’s chances to cover the -2.5 point spread as the road favorite in their week 13 matchup against Florida Atlantic. Our projected final score is 30-23 in favor of the 49ers, so there is value in taking Charlotte to cover.
With the over/under line set at 48.5 points, our projection of 53 points suggests that taking the over is the best play for this game.
