East Carolina Pirates vs Florida Atlantic Owls Picks and Predictions November 7th 2024

East Carolina Pirates vs Florida Atlantic Owls November 7th 2024

East Carolina comes into this matchup as the -7.5-point favorite over Florida Atlantic, with the over/under line set at 57.5 points. The game is scheduled for Thursday, November 7th, with a 8:00 ET kickoff at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium in Greenville. ESPN2 will be covering this week 11 college football matchup. The money line odds have East Carolina at -294 and Florida Atlantic at +236. East Carolina has a 4-4 record this season, while Florida Atlantic has struggled to a 2-6 record.

Florida Atlantic vs. East Carolina Key Information

Florida Atlantic enters Week 11 with a 2-6 record, holding the 114th spot in our power rankings. Their chances of becoming bowl-eligible are slim, at just 7.3%. The Owls are 1-3 on the road and 0-3 at home this season.

FAU’s average scoring margin is -6.1 points per game, and they are 3-4 against the spread. They’ve been favored in two games this season, going 1-1 ATS as the favorite and 2-3 as the underdog.

The over/under line for this week is 57.5 points. FAU’s games have averaged 54.1 points, with an average over/under line of 47.9 points. Their over/under record stands at 5-2 this season.

Florida Atlantic’s offense has been centered around their running game, averaging 171.9 rushing yards per game on 37.5 attempts. CJ Campbell Jr. leads the team with 506 rushing yards, eight touchdowns, and a 5-yard average per carry. The Owls are scoring 24 points per game, and we have them ranked 119th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11.

Quarterback Cam Fancher has thrown for 1,460 yards, matching his six touchdowns with six interceptions. He has a passer rating of 78. Overall, Florida Atlantic ranks 99th in passing yards per game and converts just 30.8% of their third-down attempts. Omari Hayes leads the receiving corps with 444 yards and two touchdowns.

Florida Atlantic’s defense struggled in their latest game, allowing 44 points in a 44-21 loss to South Florida. They gave up 526 total yards, including 320 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns.

On the season, FAU’s defense is ranked 69th, allowing 30.1 points per game. Opponents are averaging 218 rushing yards per game, while quarterbacks have completed just 50.6% of their passes, the 7th-lowest percentage in the nation.

East Carolina enters Week 11 with a 4-4 record, ranked 98th in our power rankings. They have a 72.6% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but no shot at winning the American Athletic Conference. At home, the Pirates are 2-1, while they’ve gone 1-3 on the road this season.

The Pirates have been favored in three of their eight games, going 2-1 as the favorite. They’ve posted a +2 average scoring margin and are 4-3 against the spread this season.

East Carolina’s over/under record is 4-3, with their games averaging 58.8 points. The average over/under line for their games is 52.9 points, and this week’s line is set at 57.5 points.

East Carolina’s offense is averaging 30.4 points per game, placing them 41st nationally. They rank 38th in passing attempts, averaging 35 per game, and are 42nd in completions, with 20.4 per game. Their passing game produces 263.9 yards per game, and they convert 42.7% of their third downs. However, they are ranked 112th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11.

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Quarterback Jake Garcia has thrown for 1,426 yards, completing 60.2% of his passes, with eight touchdowns and 12 interceptions. He has a passer rating of 72. Rahjai Harris leads the rushing attack with 561 yards, averaging 4 yards per carry, and has scored four touchdowns. Chase Sowell has 553 receiving yards on 30 catches, with two touchdowns.

East Carolina’s defense has allowed an average of 28.4 points per game this season, including 34 points in their recent win against Temple. They gave up 405 total yards, with 294 yards coming through the air, but also forced three interceptions.

Opponents are averaging 230.4 passing yards per game and completing 57.8% of their passes against East Carolina. The Pirates rank 111th in the nation, allowing 165.2 rushing yards per game on 42.4 attempts per contest.

East Carolina is the -7.5 point favorite in their week 11 matchup against Florida Atlantic. We expect the Pirates to cover the spread, with a projected final score of 36-28 in their favor.

With the over/under line set at 57.5 points, our projection of 64 combined points suggests that taking the over is the best play for this game.