Ul Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns vs Arkansas St. Red Wolves Picks and Predictions November 9th 2024

Louisiana Ragin Cajuns vs Arkansas State Red Wolves November 9th 2024

ESPN+ will be covering this week 11 matchup between the Arkansas State Red Wolves and the Louisiana Ragin Cajuns, set to kick off at 5:00 ET from Cajun Field in Lafayette. The Ragin Cajuns are the heavy favorite with a -16.5 point spread, as they look to add to their 7-1 record. Arkansas State comes in with a 5-3 record, and the over/under line is currently at 60.5 points.

Arkansas State vs. Louisiana Key Information

Arkansas State enters Week 11 against Louisiana with a 5-3 record, but they are 1-3 on the road. They’ve gone 3-0 at home this season. The Red Wolves have been favored in three games, winning all three, and they are ranked 110th in our power rankings. However, they have an 82.6% chance of becoming bowl-eligible.

Their ATS record stands at 3-4, with a 2-2 mark on the road and 1-2 at home. As favorites, they are 1-2 against the spread, and they’ve covered in two of four games as underdogs.

This week’s over/under line is 60.5 points. Arkansas State’s games have averaged 55.4 points, with an average line of 57.1 points. Their over/under record is 3-4, with four games featuring higher lines and four with lower lines than this week’s total.

Heading into week 11, Arkansas State’s offense is averaging 24 points per game, placing them 75th in the nation. Our power rankings have them 93rd. They are 30th in passing attempts, averaging 36.9 per game, and 32nd in completions with 22.5, leading to 250.6 passing yards per game.

Quarterback Jaylen Raynor has thrown for 1,867 yards, completing 60.9% of his passes, with seven touchdowns and six interceptions. His passer rating is 80. Corey Rucker leads the receiving corps with 703 yards and three touchdowns on 47 catches. On the ground, Arkansas State is averaging 143.9 rushing yards per game.

Arkansas State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 31.4 points per game. In their recent matchup against Troy, they gave up 31 points but still managed to secure a 34-31 victory. The Red Wolves allowed 513 total yards, including 344 rushing yards on 54 attempts, and 169 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 217.1 rushing yards per game against Arkansas State, ranking them 166th nationally. Through the air, they’ve allowed 235.8 passing yards per game, with quarterbacks completing 65% of their passes, the 128th highest completion rate in the country.

Louisiana enters Week 11 with a 7-1 record, facing Arkansas State at home. They are 1-1 at home and 4-0 on the road this season. The Ragin’ Cajuns are projected to be bowl-eligible and have a 43.5% chance of winning the Sun Belt. They also hold the 23rd best odds to make the CFB playoff at 7.9%.

Louisiana’s ATS record stands at 3-3, with a 3-1 mark on the road and 0-2 at home. They’ve been favored in three games, going 1-2 against the spread as favorites, and their average scoring margin is +10.6 points per game.

The over/under line for this week is 60.5 points. Louisiana’s games have averaged 54.9 points, and their average over/under line is 58.6 points, with their over/under record at 3-3 this season.

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Louisiana’s offense is averaging 32.8 points per game heading into week 11, placing them 30th in the nation. However, they are ranked 17th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game has been efficient, completing 69.3% of their passes, which ranks 8th nationally. They also convert 49% of their third downs, placing them 11th in that category. Overall, they are 50th in passing yards per game, averaging 262.5 yards.

Quarterback Ben Wooldridge has thrown for 2,037 yards with a passer rating of 112. He has completed 68.8% of his passes, throwing 16 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. On the ground, Louisiana averages 180.9 rushing yards per game. Bill Davis leads the team with 520 rushing yards, averaging 6 yards per carry. Lance LeGendre is the top receiver with 457 yards and four touchdowns.

Louisiana’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 27th nationally by allowing just 22.1 points per game. In their recent game against Texas State, they gave up 17 points but managed to force an interception. The defense allowed 378 total yards, including 177 rushing yards on 40 attempts and 201 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 160.4 rushing yards per game against Louisiana, while quarterbacks have posted a 79.9 passer rating, averaging 170.6 passing yards per game. Despite ranking 23rd in the nation for passing yards allowed, quarterbacks have completed 64.3% of their passes against Louisiana’s defense.

Our pick for this week 11 matchup between Louisiana and Arkansas State is to take the over. The current line is 60.5 points, and we have these teams projected to combine for 62 points.

Arkansas State comes into this game as +16.5 point underdogs, but we like their chances to cover the spread, with a projected final score of 32-30 in favor of Louisiana.