Arkansas St. Red Wolves vs Old Dominion Monarchs Picks and Predictions November 30th 2024

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Old Dominion Monarchs November 30th 2024

ESPN+ will be covering the week 14 matchup between the Old Dominion Monarchs and Arkansas State Red Wolves as the game kicks off at 3:00 ET from Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro. Old Dominion comes in with a 4-7 record, and they are the -4 point favorite on the road. The money line odds have the Monarchs at -182 and the Red Wolves at +152. The over/under line is currently 58.5 points.

Old Dominion vs. Arkansas State Key Information

• Teams: Monarchs at Red Wolves
• Where: Centennial Bank Stadium Jonesboro
• Date: Saturday, November 30th
• Betting Odds OLD -182 | ARKST +152 O/U 58.5

The Monarchs Can Win If…

Old Dominion enters Week 14 with a 4-7 record and no chance of reaching bowl eligibility. They are ranked 79th in our CFB power rankings. The Monarchs have gone 2-4 at home and 2-3 on the road this season.

They’ve been favored in three games, going 0-3 in those matchups, but they are 4-4 as the underdog. Their average scoring margin is -0.7 points per game, and they are 5-6 against the spread this season.

The over/under line for this week is 58.5 points. Old Dominion’s games have averaged 54.5 points, with an average line of 52.8 points. Their over/under record is 6-5, with games averaging +1.8 points over the line.

Old Dominion’s offense has leaned heavily on their ground game, ranking 25th nationally with 198.2 rushing yards per game. They are 17th in rushing attempts, averaging 40 per game. Aaron Young leads the team with 768 rushing yards, six touchdowns, and an average of 5 yards per carry. Overall, the Monarchs are scoring 26.9 points per game, placing them 61st in the nation.

Quarterback Colton Joseph has thrown for 1,623 yards, with 11 touchdowns and five interceptions. He has a passer rating of 89. Old Dominion ranks 96th in passing yards per game, averaging 197.1. Isiah Paige has 802 receiving yards and three touchdowns this season.

Old Dominion’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 27.6 points per game. In their recent game against Marshall, they gave up 42 points, including 261 rushing yards and three passing touchdowns. Overall, they allowed 471 total yards in the game.

Opponents have averaged 179.2 rushing yards per game against Old Dominion, ranking them 125th nationally. The defense has also allowed 235.7 passing yards per game, with quarterbacks completing 60.3% of their passes and posting a passer rating of 91.9.

• The Old Dominion Monarchs have gone 0-3 over their last three regular season games. Across these games, their ATS record was just 0-3, while posting an over-under record of 2-1.
• Over their last ten regular season games, the Old Dominion Monarchs have gone 4-6 straight up. In these contests, the team went just 4-6 against the spread, while going 6-4 on the over-under.

The Red Wolves Can Win If…

Arkansas State enters Week 14 with a 7-4 record, but they have a 0% chance of winning the Sun Belt. However, they are guaranteed to be bowl-eligible. At home, the Red Wolves are 4-0, while they have gone 2-4 on the road this season. They’ve been favored in four games, winning all four, and are 4-0 as the favorite.

Their ATS record stands at 5-5, with a 2-2 mark at home and 3-3 on the road. As the favorite, they are 2-2 against the spread, and their average scoring margin this season is -7.4 points per game.

This week’s over/under line is set at 58.5 points. Arkansas State’s games have averaged 55.7 points, and their over/under record is 4-6. Their average over/under line this season has been 57.1 points, with an average margin of -2.3 points.

Arkansas State’s offense is averaging 24.2 points per game heading into week 14, placing them 75th in the nation. They are ranked 96th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is a focal point, with 34.1 attempts per game, ranking 30th nationally, and 21.2 completions per game, ranking 31st. They average 224 passing yards per game and have a third-down conversion rate of 38.6%.

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Quarterback Jaylen Raynor has thrown for 2,301 yards, completing 61.9% of his passes, with 11 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. His passer rating is 81. Leading receiver Corey Rucker has 831 yards and four touchdowns on 57 catches. In the run game, Ja’Quez Cross has 548 rushing yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and has scored two touchdowns.

Arkansas State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 31.5 points per game. They’ve given up 242.7 passing yards per game, ranking 125th in the nation, and 212.5 rushing yards per game, placing them 161st.

In their recent game against UL Monroe, Arkansas State allowed 21 points and 393 total yards, including 256 rushing yards. They did manage to force one interception during the game.

Arkansas State is the +4 point underdog at home in their week 14 matchup against Old Dominion. We have them not only winning straight-up but also covering the spread, with a projected final score of 31-22 in their favor.

For the over/under, with the line sitting at 58.5 points, our projection of 53 combined points suggests taking the under as the best play.