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Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Northern Illinois Huskies November 19th 2024
Yager Stadium in Oxford will be the site for this week 13 matchup between the Northern Illinois Huskies and Miami (OH) RedHawks, scheduled for 8:00 ET on Tuesday, November 19th. Both teams enter the game with a 6-4 record for the season. Miami (OH) is the -3 point favorite at home, with the over/under line set at 41.5 points. The game will be broadcast on ESPN, and the money line odds are -143 for Miami (OH) and +120 for Northern Illinois.
Northern Illinois vs. Miami (OH) Key Information
- Teams: Huskies at RedHawks
- Where: Yager Stadium Oxford
- Date: Tuesday, November 19th
- Betting Odds MIAOH -143 | NILL +120 O/U 41.5
The Huskies Can Win If…
Northern Illinois enters Week 13 against Miami (OH) with a 6-4 record. They are 3-2 on the road and 2-1 at home. The Huskies are 85th in our power rankings, and they are 100% bowl-eligible. So far, they’ve been favored in five games, going 3-2 as the favorite.
Their average scoring margin is +7.3 points per game, and they are 4-3-1 against the spread. On the road, they are 4-1 ATS, but at home, they are 0-2-1. As the favorite, they are 1-3-1 ATS, but they’ve covered all three games as the underdog.
The over/under line for this week is 41.5 points. Northern Illinois’ average over/under line is 45.6 points, and their over/under record is 4-4, with their games averaging 44.3 points.
Northern Illinois has relied heavily on their rushing attack this season, ranking 9th in the nation with 42.2 rushing attempts per game and averaging 221 rushing yards per game, which ranks 11th. Overall, they are 64th in scoring, with 25.8 points per game, and we have them ranked 96th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13.
Gavin Williams leads the team with 631 rushing yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and has scored three touchdowns. Quarterback Ethan Hampton has thrown for 1,361 yards and 12 touchdowns with five interceptions. He has a passer rating of 91 and has completed 59.9% of his passes. Cam Thompson leads the receivers with 372 yards and three touchdowns.
Northern Illinois’ defense ranks 15th nationally, allowing just 18.5 points per game. They’re also 17th in passing yards allowed, giving up only 170.1 yards per game, with a 54% completion rate, which is the 16th-lowest in the country. On the ground, they’ve allowed 115.7 rushing yards per game, ranking 32nd.
In their recent game against Akron, Northern Illinois gave up just 16 points. They held Akron to 51 rushing yards on 23 attempts and 205 passing yards on 52 attempts.
- Spanning across their last three games, Northern Illinois have gone 2-1. But, they did not perform well vs the spread in these games, going 1-2. Their over-under record in these matchups was 3-0.
- Northern Illinois has put together a record of 6-4 in their last ten games (regular season). Their record vs the spread sits at 5-4-1 in these matchups, while posting a 5-4-1 over-under mark.
The RedHawks Can Win If…
Miami (OH) comes into Week 13 with a 6-4 record, and they are already bowl-eligible. They have a 21.7% chance of winning the Mid-American Conference, according to our projections. At home, the RedHawks are 3-1 this season, and they’ve gone 5-0 as the favorite.
Miami (OH) has a +5.6 average scoring margin, and their ATS record is 4-5. They’ve covered the spread in three of their five games as the favorite, and their home ATS record stands at 2-2.
This week’s over/under line is set at 41.5 points. Miami (OH) games have averaged 43 points, with an average over/under line of 45.3 points. Their over/under record for the season is 4-4-1.
Miami (OH) heads into week 13 averaging 24.3 points per game, placing them 70th in the nation. Our power rankings have them as the 94th best offense in college football. Their third-down conversion rate is just 33.3%, ranking 111th.
Quarterback Brett Gabbert has thrown for 2,148 yards, with 18 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Miami (OH) ranks 53rd in passing attempts per game. Keyon Mozee leads the ground game with 846 rushing yards and averages 6 yards per carry. Reggie Virgil, the top receiver, has 598 yards and 7 touchdowns.
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Miami (OH)’s defense has been strong this season, ranking 17th nationally by allowing just 18.7 points per game. In their recent game against Kent State, they gave up only 7 points and 194 total yards, including just 93 passing yards and 101 rushing yards on 37 attempts.
Opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of just 69 against Miami, completing 55.9% of their throws for an average of 184 yards per game. On the ground, Miami’s defense is giving up 138.1 rushing yards per game on 34.7 attempts.
- The Miami (OH) RedHawks have posted a 3-0 record in their previous three games. In these games, they have a 2-1 record vs the spread and an over-under mark of 2-1.
- Across Miami (OH)’s last ten regular season games, their record sits at 8-2. This includes going 6-4 vs. the spread along with an over-under mark of 3-7.
The Lean
Our projections have Northern Illinois winning this week 13 matchup against Miami (OH) by a score of 27-19. With the Huskies coming in as +3 point road underdogs, we like their chances to not only win but also cover the spread.
For the over/under, with the line set at 41.5 points, our model is projecting a combined 46 points, making the over the best bet.
