Toledo Rockets vs Ohio Bobcats Picks and Predictions November 20th 2024

Toledo Rockets vs Ohio Bobcats November 20th 2024

ESPN2 will be covering this week 13 matchup between the Ohio Bobcats and Toledo Rockets, set to kick off at 7:00 ET from the Glass Bowl in Toledo. Both teams come in with identical 7-3 records, and the Rockets are -2.5 point favorites at home. The over/under line is currently at 45.5 points.

Ohio vs. Toledo Key Information

Ohio heads into Week 13 with a 7-3 record, and they are projected to be bowl-eligible. They have a 20.8% chance of winning the Mid-American, according to projections. At home, the Bobcats are 4-0, while they are 2-3 on the road this season.

Ohio’s ATS record stands at 6-3, and they have an average scoring margin of +8 points per game. They are 4-0 against the spread at home and 2-3 on the road, going 4-1 as the favorite this season.

Their over/under record is 5-4, with an average line of 48.1 points. Ohio’s games have averaged 47.2 points, and this week’s line is set at 45.5 points.

Ohio’s offense has leaned on their run game, averaging 204 rushing yards per game, ranking 21st in the nation. They are 30th in rushing attempts, with Anthony Tyus III leading the way with 726 yards and seven touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. The Bobcats are scoring 27.6 points per game and rank 24th in third-down conversions, converting 45.5% of their attempts. We have them ranked 83rd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13.

Quarterback Parker Navarro has thrown for 1,636 yards with seven touchdowns and eight interceptions. He has a passer rating of 84. Ohio ranks 102nd in passing yards per game. Coleman Owen leads the team with 872 receiving yards and five touchdowns on 56 catches.

Ohio’s defense has been strong this season, ranking 22nd nationally by allowing just 19.6 points per game. They’ve also limited opponents to 110.2 rushing yards per game, which ranks 22nd in the country.

In their last game, Ohio’s defense forced three interceptions and allowed just 10 points. They gave up 266 total yards, including 111 rushing yards on 34 attempts and 155 passing yards.

Toledo enters Week 13 with a 7-3 record, ranked 79th in our power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 23.3% chance of winning the Mid-American. At home, the Rockets are 3-1, while their road record stands at 3-2.

Toledo has been favored in seven of their ten games, going 4-3 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +8.8 points per game, and they are 4-5 against the spread this season.

The Rockets’ over/under record is 6-3, with their games averaging 51 points. This week’s line is set at 45.5 points, below their average over/under line of 50.6 points.

Toledo’s offense has been driven by their passing game, ranking 32nd in passing attempts per game and averaging 249.2 yards through the air. They are 42nd in scoring, with 29.9 points per game, and we have them ranked 91st in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13.

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Quarterback Tucker Gleason has thrown for 2,032 yards, with 19 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 96. Leading receiver Jerjuan Newton has 823 yards and 10 touchdowns on 52 catches. On the ground, Toledo is averaging 124.1 rushing yards per game.

Toledo’s defense put on a strong performance in their recent game, allowing just 10 points and forcing two interceptions against Central Michigan. They held the Chippewas to 236 total yards, including only 86 rushing yards on 37 attempts and 150 passing yards.

For the season, Toledo’s defense ranks 30th nationally, giving up 21.1 points per game. They are allowing 133.4 rushing yards per game (59th) and 221.6 passing yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have a 78.5 passer rating and are completing 59.2% of their throws against Toledo.

Our projections have the Toledo Rockets winning a close one at home over the Ohio Bobcats, with a final score of 21-19. However, we like Ohio’s chances to cover the +2.5 point spread as the road underdogs.

With the over/under line sitting at 45.5 points, we recommend taking the under, as our projections have these teams combining for just 40 points.