San Jose State Spartans vs Boise State Broncos Picks and Predictions November 16th 2024

San Jose State Spartans vs Boise State Broncos November 16th 2024

Boise State is the heavy favorite in this week 12 matchup against San Jose State, with a -13.5 point spread. The game is set to kick off at 7:00 ET from CEFCU Stadium in San Jose, and you can catch the action on CBSS. The Broncos come in with an 8-1 record, while the Spartans are 6-3 on the season. The over/under line is currently at 61.5 points.

Boise State vs. San Jose State Key Information

Boise State enters Week 12 with an 8-1 record, ranked 21st in our power rankings. They are 4-0 at home and 3-1 on the road this season. The Broncos have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 75.8% chance of winning the Mountain West. They also have the 9th best odds to make the CFB playoff, with a 71.0% chance.

Their ATS record stands at 5-2-1, with a +18.7 average scoring margin. Boise State is 4-2-1 against the spread as the favorite and 1-0 as the underdog.

The over/under line for this week is 61.5 points. Boise State’s games have averaged 68.9 points, and their over/under record is 5-3, with an average margin of +7.2 points.

Boise State’s offense has been dominant on the ground this season, ranking 3rd in the nation with 271 rushing yards per game. Ashton Jeanty has been the standout performer, rushing for 1,734 yards and 23 touchdowns, averaging 7 yards per carry. The Broncos are also 3rd in scoring, putting up 43.8 points per game, and they are 5th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 12.

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Quarterback Maddux Madsen has thrown for 1,908 yards with 18 touchdowns and three interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 105. Boise State ranks 72nd in passing yards per game. Cameron Camper leads the team’s receivers with 573 yards and four touchdowns.

Boise State’s defense has allowed an average of 25.1 points per game this season, including 21 points in their recent win against Nevada. They gave up 319 total yards, with 87 rushing yards on 30 attempts and 232 yards through the air.

Opponents have averaged 247.1 passing yards per game against Boise State, completing 63.2% of their passes. On the ground, the Broncos have been strong, ranking 25th nationally by allowing just 112.4 rushing yards per game.

San Jose State enters Week 12 with a 6-3 record, hosting Boise State. They are ranked 89th in our power rankings but have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible. However, their odds of winning the Mountain West are just 0.1%.

The Spartans are 2-0 at home and 2-2 on the road this season. They’ve been favored in two games, going 2-0, and their average scoring margin is +4.7 points per game. Against the spread, San Jose State is 2-4.

This week’s over/under line is 61.5 points, higher than any of their previous games. San Jose State’s over/under record is 1-5, with their games averaging 52.9 points and an average line of 53.3 points.

San Jose State’s offense is ranked 73rd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 12, and they are 47th in points per game, scoring 28.8. They have been focused on the passing game, ranking 6th in the nation with 332.3 yards per game, and they are 14th in passing attempts per game.

Emmett Brown, the Spartans’ quarterback, has thrown for 1,621 yards with a passer rating of 96. He has 16 touchdowns and 5 interceptions this season. Nick Nash leads the receiving corps with 1,156 yards and 13 touchdowns on 86 receptions. On the ground, San Jose State is averaging 98 rushing yards per game.

San Jose State’s defense heads into this week ranked 46th nationally, allowing 24.1 points per game. They’ve given up an average of 235.9 passing yards per game, ranking 115th, but quarterbacks have managed just a 68.8 passer rating, the 16th-lowest in the country. Opponents have completed 59.1% of their passes against the Spartans.

In their last game, San Jose State allowed just 13 points but gave up 474 total yards, including 292 passing yards. They also forced two interceptions in the win.

Our projected score for this matchup is 36-28 in favor of Boise State, and with the Spartans as +13.5 point underdogs, we see them covering the spread. San Jose State is the home team, and even though they are the underdog, they should keep it close enough to cover.

For the over/under line, which is set at 61.5 points, our projection of 64 points suggests that taking the over is the best play.

No. 13 Boise State Aims to Avoid Upset at San Jose State in Critical Playoff Push

A high-stakes clash awaits this Saturday as No. 13 Boise State travels to take on San Jose State in a Mountain West showdown. The game features a head-to-head battle between two of the nation’s best offensive talents — Boise State’s Heisman-contending running back Ashton Jeanty and San Jose State’s dynamic receiver Nick Nash.

Boise State: Eyes on the Playoffs

Boise State (8-1) currently holds the final spot in the 12-team College Football Playoff as an automatic qualifier. With just three games left in the regular season, the Broncos have little room for error if they want to maintain their playoff position. The only blemish on their record came at the hands of No. 1 Oregon, keeping their hopes for a deep postseason run alive.

The Broncos’ star running back Ashton Jeanty has been nothing short of phenomenal. Jeanty leads the nation with 1,734 rushing yards and 23 touchdowns. With a jaw-dropping average of 7.7 yards per carry, he’s closing in on Barry Sanders’ legendary single-season rushing record of 2,628 yards, set in 1988. Jeanty is currently 895 yards away from that milestone with three games remaining.

“He’s been our workhorse, and we need him to keep delivering if we’re going to make a serious run,” Boise State coach Spencer Danielson said.

Key Matchup: Jeanty vs. Spartans’ Defense

San Jose State’s run defense will face its toughest challenge yet. While the Spartans rank 75th in the nation against the run, they’ve been efficient, allowing just 3.65 yards per carry. However, they’ll need to be even better to contain Jeanty, who torched them for 162 yards in last year’s 35-27 Boise State victory.

San Jose State: Nash Leading the Charge

While the focus has been on Jeanty, San Jose State has its own offensive star in wide receiver Nick Nash. The senior has been unstoppable this season, leading the nation in receptions (86), receiving yards (1,156), and touchdown catches (13).

“He’s big-time. He’s strong, goes up for catches, and he’s a matchup nightmare,” said Coach Danielson. “I remember when he was their running quarterback. He’s one of the heartbeats of their team.”

Nash’s versatility and experience make him a threat that Boise State’s defense will need to account for if they hope to avoid an upset on the road.

Quarterback Play Under the Microscope

Boise State’s sophomore quarterback Maddux Madsen has shown flashes of brilliance with 18 touchdowns this season but has been inconsistent. In their last game against Nevada, Madsen completed just 9 of 20 passes for 119 yards and threw an interception. Coach Danielson emphasized that Madsen still has areas to improve: “There are fundamentals and reads he needs to fix, but no one is more determined to get better than Maddux.”

For San Jose State, quarterback play has been split between Emmett Brown and Walker Eget. Brown has thrown for 1,621 yards and 16 touchdowns, while Eget has shown potential but has struggled with turnovers, throwing six interceptions.

“Both quarterbacks are efficient and know how to run their offense,” said Danielson. “They’re good at finding open receivers and adjusting to coverages, which will challenge our defense.”

Defensive Standouts: Pollard and Penalties

San Jose State’s defense is anchored by linebacker Jordan Pollard, who has racked up 82 tackles and 9.5 tackles for loss this season. The Spartans will need a big performance from Pollard to slow down Jeanty and Boise State’s offense.

Spartans coach Ken Niumatalolo, known for his fiery coaching style, was recently reprimanded by the conference after voicing frustrations over officiating in their win against Oregon State. Niumatalolo’s outspoken comments came after a series of questionable defensive penalties.

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“I’ve been doing this a long time, and that was tough,” Niumatalolo said. “It felt like we were playing against more than just 11 players out there.”

What’s at Stake

For Boise State, this game is critical to maintaining their playoff hopes. A loss could knock them out of contention for the 12-team College Football Playoff. On the other hand, San Jose State (6-3) would love nothing more than to play spoiler and keep their own postseason dreams alive.

Will Boise State’s Jeanty continue his Heisman-worthy campaign, or will the Spartans find a way to neutralize him and pull off the upset? Saturday’s game promises to be a thrilling showdown with playoff implications on the line.