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San Jose State Spartans vs UNLV Rebels November 22nd 2024
UNLV comes into this week 13 matchup with a 8-2 record, looking to take care of business on the road vs. San Jose State. The game is set for 10:00 ET at CEFCU Stadium in San Jose, and you can catch the action on FS1. The Rebels are the -7.5-point favorites, and the over/under line is currently at 62.5 points. The money line odds have UNLV at -276 and San Jose State at +224. San Jose State has a 6-4 record on the season.
UNLV vs. San Jose State Key Information
- Teams: Rebels at Spartans
- Where: CEFCU Stadium San Jose
- Date: Friday, November 22nd
- Betting Odds UNLV -276 | SJST +224 O/U 62.5
The Rebels Can Win If…
UNLV enters Week 13 with an 8-2 record and a 5-0 mark on the road. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 15.9% chance of winning the Mountain West. The Rebels are ranked 45th in our power rankings and have gone 2-1 at home this season.
UNLV’s ATS record stands at 4-4, with a +16.5 average scoring margin. They are 2-3 against the spread as favorites and 2-1 as underdogs.
The over/under line for this week is 62.5 points. UNLV’s games have averaged 63.3 points, with an average over/under line of 57.4 points. Their over/under record is 4-4 this season.
UNLV’s offense has been one of the most productive in the nation, ranking 6th in scoring with 39.9 points per game. They are 7th in rushing attempts and yards, averaging 250.1 yards on the ground each game. Jai’Den Thomas leads the team with 563 rushing yards, five touchdowns, and an average of 5 yards per carry. UNLV is ranked 38th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13.
Quarterback Hajj-Malik Williams has thrown for 1,436 yards, completing 64.8% of his passes, with 14 touchdowns and three interceptions. He has a passer rating of 113. Ricky White III has caught 63 passes for 867 yards and 10 touchdowns this season.
UNLV’s defense heads into their matchup against San Jose State ranked 44th nationally, allowing 23.4 points per game. They’ve been solid against the run, giving up just 112 rushing yards per game, which ranks 27th in the country. Opponents have averaged 260.5 passing yards per game against UNLV, completing 56.8% of their throws.
In their recent game, a 41-20 win over San Diego State, UNLV’s defense allowed 20 points and 270 total yards. They held the Aztecs to 107 rushing yards on 35 carries and 163 passing yards, while also forcing two interceptions.
- UNLV has put together a record of 2-1 over their past three games. But, they did not perform well vs the spread in these games, going 0-3. Their over-under record in these matchups was 2-1.
- Through their last ten regular season contests, UNLV has a record of 8-2. Against the spread, UNLV went 5-5 in these games and finished with an over-under mark of 6-4.
The Spartans Can Win If…
San Jose State enters Week 13 against UNLV with a 6-4 record, and they are 100% assured of bowl eligibility. However, they have no chance of winning the Mountain West. The Spartans are 2-1 at home this season and have been favored in only two games.
San Jose State’s ATS record stands at 2-5, with an average scoring margin of +2.1 points per game. They are 0-3 against the spread at home and 2-2 on the road.
This week’s over/under line is 62.5 points, the highest they’ve faced this season. The Spartans’ over/under record is 2-5, with their games averaging 53.9 points and an average line of 54.4 points.
San Jose State’s offense is heavily focused on the passing game, ranking 4th in the nation with 343.7 passing yards per game. They are 6th in passing attempts, averaging 42.1 per game, and 13th in completions with 24.6. Overall, they are 50th in scoring, with 28 points per game, and we have them 71st in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13.
Walker Eget has thrown for 1,758 yards this season, with a passer rating of 81. He has six touchdowns and eight interceptions. San Jose State is 121st in rushing, averaging 92 yards per game. Floyd Chalk IV leads the ground attack with 596 yards and nine touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Nick Nash has been the standout receiver, with 95 catches for 1,282 yards and 14 touchdowns.
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San Jose State’s defense has struggled recently, giving up 42 points in their last game against Boise State. They allowed 456 total yards, including 286 passing yards and 170 rushing yards, with four rushing touchdowns.
On the season, San Jose State ranks 59th nationally, allowing 25.9 points per game. Opponents have averaged 155 rushing yards per game and 240.9 passing yards, which ranks 120th in the country.
- San Jose State has put together a record of 2-1 over their past three games. Across these games, they have put together an ATS mark of 0-3 as well as an over-under record of 2-1.
- San Jose State has put together a record of 7-3 in their last ten games (regular season). The team’s record vs the spread was just 4-6, in addition to an over-under mark of 5-5.
The Lean
Our projections suggest that the under is the best bet in this matchup, with the over/under line set at 62.5 points. We see a combined total of 58 points, making the under a strong play.
San Jose State comes into this game as +7.5 point underdogs, but we have them winning straight-up by a score of 33-25. If you’re looking for a pick vs. the spread, take San Jose State to cover and win outright.
