Arizona State Sun Devils vs Brigham Young Cougars Picks and Predictions November 23rd 2024

Arizona State Sun Devils vs BYU Cougars November 23rd 2024

BYU and Arizona State are set to face off on Saturday, November 23rd, with kick-off scheduled for 3:30 ET at Mountain America Stadium in Tempe. ESPN will be handling the broadcast as the Sun Devils play host to the Cougars in what should be a great matchup. The over/under line is currently at 48.5 points, with the Sun Devils as the -3.5 point favorites. The money line odds are +146 for BYU and -175 for Arizona State. Both teams come in with just two losses this season, with BYU at 9-1 and Arizona State at 8-2.

BYU vs. Arizona State Key Information

BYU enters Week 13 with a 9-1 record, and they are a lock for bowl eligibility. The Cougars have a 26.9% chance of winning the Big 12 and hold the 14th best odds to make the CFB playoff at 39.5%. They are 5-0 on the road and 3-1 at home this season.

BYU is 6-3 against the spread, with a +12.1 average scoring margin. They are 4-1 ATS on the road and 2-2 at home. As the favorite, they’ve gone 2-3 ATS, but they are 4-0 ATS as the underdog.

The over/under line for this week is 48.5 points. BYU’s games have averaged 51.1 points, and their average over/under line is 49.2 points. Six of their games have had higher lines, while three have been lower.

BYU’s offense is averaging 31.6 points per game, placing them 31st in the nation as they head into week 13. Our power rankings have them 35th overall. Their run game is their strength, with 36.5 rushing attempts per game, averaging 175.7 yards on the ground.

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Jake Retzlaff leads the passing attack with 2,281 yards and 18 touchdowns, though he has 8 interceptions and a passer rating of 92. BYU ranks 112th in third-down conversions, converting just 31.9% of their attempts. LJ Martin leads the rushing attack with 501 yards and 5 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Chase Roberts has 657 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns.

BYU’s defense has been a strong point this season, ranking 21st nationally by allowing just 19.5 points per game. They’ve also held opponents to 176.1 passing yards per game, which ranks 25th, and a passer rating of 57.4, the fifth-lowest in the country.

In their recent game against Kansas, BYU’s defense gave up 17 points, allowing 249 total yards. Kansas ran the ball 30 times for 80 yards and completed 12 of 19 passes for 169 yards. BYU’s defense also forced an interception in the game.

Arizona State enters Week 13 with an 8-2 record, ranked 31st in our CFB power rankings. They are undefeated at home (5-0) and have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible. The Sun Devils have a 17.2% chance of winning the Big 12 and hold the 18th best odds to make the CFB playoff at 15.7%.

Against the spread, Arizona State is 8-2, with a perfect 5-0 record at home. They’ve been favored in five games and are 5-0 ATS as the favorite. Their average scoring margin this season is +8 points per game.

The Sun Devils’ over/under record stands at 5-5, with their games averaging 53.6 points. This week’s line is set at 48.5 points, compared to their average line of 53.4 points for the season.

Arizona State’s offense is ranked 18th in our power rankings heading into week 13, and they are averaging 30.8 points per game, placing them 35th nationally. The Sun Devils have been strong on third downs, converting 47.1% of their attempts, and they are 15th in rushing attempts, averaging 196.9 yards per game on the ground.

Cam Skattebo leads the rushing attack with 1,078 yards and 11 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Quarterback Sam Leavitt has thrown for 1,906 yards with 17 touchdowns and four interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 102. Jordyn Tyson has 833 receiving yards and nine touchdowns this season.

Arizona State’s defense has allowed an average of 22.8 points per game this season, ranking 40th nationally. They’ve given up 216.3 passing yards per game, ranking 83rd, and 126.1 rushing yards per game. Opponents have averaged a 76 passer rating and completed 59.7% of their passes against the Sun Devils.

In their recent game against Kansas State, Arizona State’s defense allowed 14 points but gave up 421 total yards, including 258 passing yards. They also forced two interceptions in the game.

BYU comes into this matchup as the +3.5 point spread favorite on the road vs. Arizona State. We have this one finishing 21-20 in favor of BYU, so we like them to win and cover the spread as the road underdog.

For the over/under, with the line sitting at 48.5 points, our projection of 41 points leads us to lean towards the under.

No. 14 BYU Looks to Bounce Back in Pivotal Clash with No. 21 Arizona State

The No. 14 BYU Cougars will look to regroup on Saturday when they visit the No. 21 Arizona State Sun Devils in Tempe, Ariz. Coming off a disappointing 17-13 loss to Kansas, BYU (9-1, 6-1 Big 12) faces a critical test with potential Big 12 Championship implications on the line.

“We have faced some adversity. We have faced a loss. Now we are able to learn from it,” BYU coach Kalani Sitake said. “Let’s see what type of team comes out. This is a good moment for our identity to show.”

Arizona State’s Surge Sets the Stage

The Sun Devils (8-2, 5-2) have been one of the biggest surprises in the Big 12. After being picked to finish last in the conference, Arizona State has won five of its last six games, including an impressive 24-14 upset of then-No. 16 Kansas State last week.

Arizona State coach Kenny Dillingham is determined to keep the home-field advantage in this crucial matchup, urging fans to avoid selling tickets to BYU supporters.

“Have them show you an ASU hat or shirt or something,” Dillingham joked, referencing the large contingent of BYU fans in the Phoenix area.

Big 12 Championship Race Heats Up

This game could play a significant role in determining the participants in the Big 12 Championship Game, with Colorado (8-2, 6-1) and Iowa State (8-2, 5-2) also in the mix.

For both BYU and Arizona State—teams picked to finish near the bottom of the conference in preseason polls—this game is a chance to defy expectations further.

“Nobody cared about us before the season,” Sitake said. “To have this game mean a lot is really cool.”

Key Matchups to Watch

• BYU Offense vs. Arizona State Defense
  BYU’s offense sputtered in the red zone against Kansas, managing only six points on four trips. Quarterback Jake Retzlaff, who has 2,283 passing yards, 19 touchdowns, and eight interceptions this season, will need to lead a more efficient attack. Running back Hinckley Ropati and kicker Will Ferrin will also play pivotal roles.The Sun Devils’ defense, led by a stout front, will aim to capitalize on BYU’s red-zone struggles.
• Cam Skattebo vs. BYU Run Defense
  Arizona State running back Cam Skattebo is having a stellar season, with 1,074 rushing yards, 11 touchdowns, and an additional 448 receiving yards and two scores. His ability to control the tempo and grind out tough yards will be critical.
• Sam Leavitt’s Dual-Threat Ability
  Arizona State quarterback Sam Leavitt has been a revelation since transferring from Michigan State. With 1,906 passing yards, 17 touchdowns, and 348 rushing yards, Leavitt’s versatility could challenge BYU’s defense. His BYU ties—his father, Jared, played for the Cougars—add an intriguing subplot.

What’s at Stake

For BYU, a win would keep their Big 12 Championship Game hopes alive and erase the sting of last week’s loss. Arizona State, meanwhile, has an opportunity to solidify their status as the conference’s most surprising contender.

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Both teams are poised for a high-stakes clash that could redefine their seasons.