Arizona State Sun Devils vs Central Florida Knights Picks and Predictions November 9th 2024

Arizona State Sun Devils vs UCF Knights November 9th 2024

Arizona State is the -3 point favorite as they host UCF at Mountain America Stadium in Tempe on Saturday, November 9th. Kick-off is set for 7:00 ET, and the game will be broadcast on ESPN2. The over/under line is currently at 55.5 points. The Sun Devils come in with a 6-2 record, while the UCF Knights are 4-5 for the season.

UCF vs. Arizona State Key Information

UCF heads into Week 11 with a 4-5 record, facing Arizona State on the road. They’ve gone 2-3 at home and 1-2 on the road this season. The Knights have a 56.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible, according to projections, and they are ranked 39th in our CFB power rankings.

Their average scoring margin is +7.8 points per game, and they are 4-4 against the spread. UCF has been favored in five of their nine games, going 2-3 ATS as the favorite. On the road, they’ve covered the spread in two out of three games.

UCF’s over/under record is 6-2, with their games averaging 58.7 points. This week’s line is set at 55.5 points, slightly below their average over/under line of 56.9 points.

UCF’s offense is ranked 31st in our power rankings heading into week 11, and they are 27th in points per game, scoring 33.2. Their rushing attack is second in the nation, averaging 272.3 yards per game on 44.6 attempts.

RJ Harvey has rushed for 1,201 yards, averaging 7 yards per carry, and has scored 16 touchdowns. KJ Jefferson, the quarterback, has thrown for 1,012 yards with seven touchdowns and four interceptions.

UCF’s defense was impressive in their recent game, allowing just 12 points and 14 first downs. They completely shut down Arizona’s run game, giving up only 5 rushing yards on 25 attempts, though they did allow 256 passing yards and two touchdowns.

On average this season, UCF has given up 25.4 points per game. They rank 42nd nationally in rushing yards allowed, giving up 119.7 yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged a 92.4 passer rating and a 66.9% completion rate against UCF’s defense.

Arizona State enters Week 11 against UCF with a 6-2 record, and they are projected to be bowl-eligible. At home, they are undefeated at 4-0, while they have split their road games at 2-2. The Sun Devils have been favored in four games this season, going 4-0 in those matchups.

Arizona State has covered the spread in six of their eight games, with an average scoring margin of +8.2 points per game. They are 4-0 against the spread at home and have covered in all four games as the favorite.

Their over/under record is 4-4, with an average line of 53.4 points. This week’s line is set at 55.5 points, while their games have averaged 54 points per contest.

Arizona State’s offense is ranked 25th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11. They are averaging 31.1 points per game, placing them 36th in the nation. The Sun Devils have been strong on third downs, converting 45% of their attempts.

Their rushing game has been the focal point, with 218.2 yards per game on 42.1 attempts. Cam Skattebo has rushed for 1,005 yards, scoring 11 touchdowns and averaging 5 yards per carry. Quarterback Sam Leavitt has thrown for 1,470 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions.

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Arizona State’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 30th nationally by allowing just 22.9 points per game. In their recent game against Oklahoma State, they gave up 21 points but managed to force an interception and held the Cowboys to 271 total yards, including just 85 rushing yards.

Opponents have averaged 115.1 rushing yards per game against Arizona State, while quarterbacks have posted a 78.1 passer rating, completing 58.3% of their passes for an average of 209.5 yards per game.

Our projections have the Arizona State Sun Devils winning straight-up over the UCF Knights, but we like UCF to cover the +3 point spread as road underdogs. The final score is expected to be 28-26 in favor of Arizona State.

For the over/under, with the line set at 55.5 points, we recommend taking the under, as our model has the combined score at 54 points.