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Missouri Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks November 30th 2024
Arkansas and Missouri are set to face off on Saturday, November 30th, with kickoff scheduled for 3:30 ET at Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium in Columbia. Missouri comes in as the -3.5 point favorite over Arkansas, with the over/under line set at 54.5 points. The game will be broadcast on SECN, and the money line odds are currently -179 for Missouri and +147 for Arkansas. Missouri has an 8-3 record this season, while Arkansas is 6-5.
Arkansas vs. Missouri Key Information
- Teams: Razorbacks at Tigers
- Where: Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium Columbia
- Date: Saturday, November 30th
- Betting Odds MISSR -179 | ARK +147 O/U 54.5
The Razorbacks Can Win If…
Arkansas enters Week 14 against Missouri with a 6-5 record and a 32nd-place spot in our power rankings. While they have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible, they are out of the running for the Southeastern title.
The Razorbacks are 3-0 as favorites this season, but they’ve been the underdog in six of their eleven games. Their scoring margin is +6.5 points per game, and they are 5-4 against the spread, going 3-0 on the road and 2-4 at home.
Arkansas’ over/under record is 4-5, with an average line of 55.5 points. They’ve averaged 55.7 points per game, and this week’s line is set at 54.5 points.
Heading into week 14, Arkansas ranks 39th in points per game, averaging 31.1. They are 46th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is 25th nationally, with 272.7 yards per game, and they are 28th in third-down conversions, converting 44.3% of their attempts.
Quarterback Taylen Green has thrown for 2,583 yards, completing 60.9% of his passes. He has 13 touchdowns and nine interceptions, with a passer rating of 87. Leading the rushing attack is Ja’Quinden Jackson, who has 703 yards and 12 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Andrew Armstrong leads the team in receiving with 1,012 yards on 69 catches but has just one touchdown.
Arkansas’ defense heads into this week ranked 35th nationally in rushing yards allowed, giving up just 117.7 yards per game. In their last game, they held Louisiana Tech to 57 rushing yards on 31 attempts. The Razorbacks also allowed 190 passing yards and two touchdowns, while forcing 43 pass attempts.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed 62.4% of their passes against Arkansas, averaging a 92.7 passer rating. The Razorbacks rank 138th in passing yards allowed, giving up 251.1 yards per game through the air. Overall, Arkansas is allowing 24.6 points per game this season.
- Arkansas has put together a record of 1-2 in their last three games (regular season). This includes going 1-2 vs. the spread along with an over-under mark of 2-1.
- Over their last ten regular season games, the Arkansas Razorbacks have gone 5-5 straight up. Across these games, their ATS record was just 6-4, while posting an over-under record of 5-5.
The Tigers Can Win If…
Missouri enters Week 14 with an 8-3 record and a 4-0 mark at home. While they have a 0% chance of winning the Southeastern, they are 100% bowl-eligible. The Tigers have gone 5-0 as favorites and are ranked 21st in our CFB power rankings.
Missouri’s ATS record stands at 6-3, with a +9.2 average scoring margin. They are 4-1 against the spread as favorites and 3-1 at home.
The over/under line for this week is 54.5 points. Missouri’s games have averaged 49.2 points, and their over/under record is 4-5, with an average line of 50 points.
Missouri’s offense is averaging 29.2 points per game heading into week 14, placing them 47th in the nation. They are ranked 43rd in our offensive power rankings. Their third-down conversion rate is impressive, ranking 15th nationally at 47.3%.
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Quarterback Brady Cook has thrown for 2,080 yards with a 64.3% completion rate. He has nine touchdowns and two interceptions, with a passer rating of 95. Missouri ranks 23rd in rushing attempts, averaging 170.7 yards per game. Nate Noel leads the ground game with 779 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Theo Wease Jr. has 709 receiving yards on 51 catches.
Missouri’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 20th in the nation by allowing just 20 points per game. They’ve given up 132.7 rushing yards per game and 181.5 passing yards, which ranks 26th nationally. Opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 83.7 and a 59% completion rate against Missouri.
In their latest game against Mississippi State, Missouri’s defense allowed 20 points, giving up 338 total yards. Mississippi State ran the ball 22 times for 147 yards and threw for 191 yards on 16 completions.
- Spanning across their last three games, Missouri have gone 3-0. Their strong play has also resulted in an ATS mark of 2-1 (last 3). They had an over/under mark of 2-1 in those same games.
- Across Missouri’s last ten regular season games, their record sits at 9-1. Across these games, their ATS record was just 6-4, while posting an over-under record of 4-6.
The Lean
Arkansas is the +3.5 point underdog on the road in their week 14 matchup against Missouri. We like the Razorbacks to not only cover the spread but to win the game, with a projected final score of 30-22 in their favor.
With the over/under line set at 54.5 points, our projection of 52 combined points suggests that taking the under is the best play for this matchup.
