Nevada Wolf Pack vs Air Force Falcons Picks and Predictions November 23rd 2024

Nevada Wolf Pack vs Air Force Falcons November 23rd 2024

On Saturday, November 23rd, the Nevada Wolf Pack will host the Air Force Falcons at Mackay Stadium in Reno. Kick-off is set for 10:30 ET, and the game will be broadcast on FS1. The Wolf Pack are favored by -4 points, with the over/under line currently at 44.5 points. Both teams come in with a 3-8 record for the season.

Air Force vs. Nevada Key Information

Air Force enters Week 13 with a 3-7 record and no chance of becoming bowl-eligible. They are ranked 109th in our power rankings and have gone 0-4 on the road this season, compared to a 2-3 mark at home.

The Falcons have been favored in just two of their ten games, going 0-2 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -6.6 points per game, and they are 3-6 against the spread this season.

The over/under line for this week’s game is 44.5 points. Air Force’s average over/under line has been 42.1 points, and their over/under record is 4-5, with their games averaging 41.4 points.

Air Force’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 17.4 points per game, which ranks 93rd nationally. They are 123rd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13. Their passing game has been particularly weak, with only 94.9 yards per game, placing them 129th in the country. They are also 132nd in passer rating. John Busha, the team’s quarterback, has thrown for 415 yards with one touchdown and five interceptions, resulting in a passer rating of 32.

Air Force leads the nation in rushing attempts, averaging 54.8 carries per game, and they are 14th in rushing yards, with 210.6 per game. Dylan Carson is the team’s leading rusher with 370 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 3 yards per carry. Cade Harris leads the receiving corps with 292 yards and one touchdown on 22 catches.

Air Force’s defense is coming off a dominant performance, shutting out Oregon State 28-0. They allowed just 9 first downs and 175 total yards, including 69 rushing yards on 24 attempts and 106 passing yards, while forcing one interception.

On average, the defense has given up 24 points per game this season. They rank 24th nationally in passing yards allowed, giving up 175.8 yards per game, but have struggled against the run, allowing 165.5 rushing yards per game, which ranks 109th.

Nevada enters Week 13 against Air Force with a 3-8 record, ranked 102nd in our CFB power rankings. They are out of bowl contention, with a 1-4 record at home and on the road this season.

The Wolf Pack have been underdogs in all 11 games, going 2-7 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin is -4.3 points, and they are 5-4-1 against the spread this season.

Nevada’s over/under record is 5-5, with their games averaging 52.8 points. The average over/under line is 49.7 points, and this week’s line is set at 44.5 points.

Nevada’s offense is averaging 24.3 points per game heading into week 13, placing them 70th in the nation. They are ranked 72nd in our offensive power rankings. Their rushing attack is their strength, with 36.9 attempts per game, ranking 15th, and they average 179.8 rushing yards per game, ranking 29th.

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Savion Red leads the rushing game with 676 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, and has scored eight touchdowns. Quarterback Brendon Lewis has thrown for 1,730 yards with 12 touchdowns and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 96. Jaden Smith has 687 receiving yards and five touchdowns this season.

Nevada’s defense has allowed an average of 28.5 points per game this season, including 28 points in their recent 28-21 loss to Boise State. They gave up 456 total yards, with 286 passing yards and one passing touchdown, while allowing 170 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns.

Opponents have averaged 171 rushing yards per game against Nevada, ranking 114th nationally. The defense has faced the 44th fewest pass attempts in the country, allowing 219.5 passing yards per game and a completion rate of 60.2%.

Nevada is favored by -4 points in their week 13 matchup against Air Force. We expect the Wolf Pack to cover the spread, with a projected final score of 25-16 in their favor.

For the over/under, with the line set at 44.5 points, we recommend taking the under, as our projection has the combined score at 41 points.