L.a. Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens Picks and Predictions November 25th 2024

Chargers vs Ravens November 25th 2024

The Ravens are favored on the road as they take on the Chargers in a week 12 matchup at 8:15 ET. The game, played at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA, will be broadcast on ESPN. The Ravens’ money line odds are -157, while the Chargers’ odds are +132. The Ravens are -3 point favorites, and the over/under line is set at 51 points.

Baltimore vs. Los Angeles Key Information

• Teams: Ravens at Chargers
• Where: SoFi Stadium Inglewood
• Date: Monday, November 25th
• Betting Odds BAL -157 | LAC +132 O/U 51

The Ravens Can Win If…

Heading into week 12 against the Chargers, the Ravens are 7-4 and have a 97.4% chance of making the playoffs, according to our projections. Baltimore ranks 2nd in our NFL power rankings, but they sit 2nd in the AFC North with a 2-2 division record. They are 4-1 at home and 3-3 on the road.

So far, the Ravens are 5-5-1 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +5.7. Their O/U record is 9-2, with their games averaging 55 points per game. The average line in their games has been 47.8.

Heading into week 12, the Ravens are at the top of our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in yards per game (430.1) and are 2nd in points per game, averaging 30.4. Despite ranking 23rd in passing attempts, Baltimore is 3rd in passing yards per game (252.8). On the ground, they are 5th in rushing attempts and 2nd in rushing yards per game, with 177.3. They rank 3rd in 3rd-down conversions but are 29th in red zone conversion percentage.

Lamar Jackson struggled in week 11, posting a passer rating of 66 after throwing for 207 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Before that, he had a 141 rating in week 10 and a perfect 158 in week 9. Derrick Henry led the Ravens with 65 rushing yards on 13 carries in week 11, while Isaiah Likely had 4 catches for 75 yards.

In their 18-16 loss to the Steelers, the Ravens’ defense held Pittsburgh to just 181 passing yards and limited them to a 25% third-down conversion rate. Baltimore’s defense also came up with four sacks and one interception, while allowing just 303 total yards. The Ravens’ run defense allowed 122 yards on 34 attempts.

Despite the loss, Baltimore’s defense didn’t give up any passing touchdowns and held the Steelers to 5 yards per pass attempt. They also won the battles in both tackles for loss and quarterback hits.

• Over their last three games, the Ravens have gone 2-1 straight up. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is less impressive at 1-2, while posting an over-under record of 2-1.
• Across Baltimore’s last ten regular season games, their record sits at 7-3. This includes going 5-4-1 vs. the spread along with an over-under mark of 8-2.

The Chargers Can Win If…

With four straight wins, the Chargers now sit at 7-3, including a 34-27 victory over the Bengals in week 11. They were favored by 1 point and covered the spread, bringing their ATS record to 7-2-1. They’ve also covered in four consecutive games. L.A. is 7-1 against the spread as favorites this season.

Our projections give the Chargers a 94.6% chance of making the playoffs, but they have just a 6.4% chance of winning the AFC West. They rank 14th in our NFL power rankings. Their O/U record is 3-7, with the over hitting in their last two games.

Heading into week 12, the Chargers rank 13th in our offensive power rankings. They are 17th in the NFL in points per game (22) and 18th in yards per game (326.4). Despite ranking 27th in passing attempts, they are 18th in passing yards per game, averaging 204.8. On the ground, they rank 10th in rushing attempts and 12th in rushing yards per game (121.6). The Chargers have been strong in the red zone, converting 53.8% of their trips, which ranks 5th in the league.

Justin Herbert has been playing well, throwing for 297 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 11, with no interceptions, after posting passer ratings of 123 in week 10 and 125 in week 9. Ladd McConkey led the team in receiving in week 11, with 6 catches for 123 yards. The Chargers scored 17 points in the 2nd quarter against the Bengals in week 11.

In their 34-27 win over the Bengals, the Chargers’ defense gave up 452 yards but still managed to come out on top. They allowed 342 passing yards on 28 completions, with three passing touchdowns. Despite the high yardage totals, they held Cincinnati to a 29.4% conversion rate on third down and came away with three sacks.

On the ground, the Bengals finished with 110 rushing yards on 25 attempts. The Chargers also limited Cincinnati to a 56% completion percentage in the passing game.

• Los Angeles has put together a record of 3-0 over their past three games. This also includes going 3-0 ATS and an over-under mark of 2-1.
• Over their last ten regular season games, the Chargers have gone 4-6 straight up. Their record vs the spread sits at 5-4-1 in these matchups, while posting a 4-6 over-under mark.

The Lean

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Chargers to cover as home underdogs in this week 12 matchup vs. the Ravens. The point spread has the Chargers at +3, and we have them not only covering but winning by a score of 27-20.

For the over/under, with the line sitting at 51 points, we are leaning towards taking the under with a projected combined score of 47 points.

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The Latest Harbaugh Showdown: Key Contest for Ravens and Chargers

The Harbaugh brothers are set to reignite their historic rivalry as John Harbaugh’s Baltimore Ravens face Jim Harbaugh’s Los Angeles Chargers on Monday night. Nearly 12 years after their dramatic Super Bowl XLVII matchup, the siblings meet again, this time with playoff aspirations on the line for both teams.

A Historic Rivalry Revisited

The last time John and Jim Harbaugh squared off in the NFL spotlight, John’s Ravens clinched a 34-31 victory over Jim’s San Francisco 49ers in Super Bowl XLVII. This victory, dubbed the “Harbowl,” remains a pivotal moment in NFL history.

Fast forward to 2023, and John Harbaugh holds a 2-0 record against his younger brother in NFL contests. Their first meeting came in 2011 on Thanksgiving Day when Baltimore secured a 16-6 win.

Now, with both coaches leading playoff-contending teams, the stakes are higher than ever. “It’s a tough matchup,” John Harbaugh remarked earlier this week. “One of the best coaches of our generation—I’d say that even if he wasn’t my brother.”

Playoff Implications: What’s at Stake?

Both teams enter the game as playoff contenders in their respective divisions:

• Baltimore Ravens (7-4): Trailing the Pittsburgh Steelers in the AFC North, the Ravens are looking to bounce back from a narrow 18-16 loss to their division rivals. A win would not only boost their record but also strengthen their standing in a competitive AFC.
• Los Angeles Chargers (7-3): Chasing the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC West, the Chargers are on a four-game winning streak and have dominated against AFC teams this season with a 5-2 record.

With both teams eyeing the postseason, this game could have significant implications for seeding and momentum heading into December.

Key Players to Watch

Ravens: Lamar Jackson

Two-time NFL MVP Lamar Jackson continues to impress, ranking second in the league in passing yards (2,876) and touchdown passes (25). His dual-threat capabilities are highlighted by 584 rushing yards and two rushing touchdowns, making him a constant threat to opposing defenses.

Chargers: Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert has been a model of consistency, throwing for 2,186 yards and 13 touchdowns with just one interception. “Any measurable for a quarterback—tangible or intangible—he possesses at the elite level,” Jim Harbaugh said of Herbert, underscoring the respect he commands from opponents.

Injury Reports: Key Absences

Injuries could play a significant role in Monday’s game. For the Ravens, standout middle linebacker Roquan Smith, who is tied for the NFL lead in tackles (110), missed practice with a hamstring injury. Other absentees include wide receiver Nelson Agholor (illness) and safety Sanoussi Kane (ankle).

The Chargers, meanwhile, are without rookie receiver Ladd McConkey (shoulder) and middle linebacker Denzel Perryman (groin), among others. Depth and adjustments from both coaching staffs will be tested as the teams navigate these setbacks.

The Emotional Undertone

Beyond the playoff stakes, the Harbaugh rivalry adds an emotional layer to the contest. Jim Harbaugh, who spent nine seasons coaching at Michigan before returning to the NFL, reflected on the infamous Super Bowl loss. “At the time, that was tough,” he said. “But after some reflection, he’s my brother, my best friend. I’m really proud of him.”

Ravens safety Kyle Hamilton echoed this sentiment, calling the game “historic.” However, both coaches emphasized that their sibling rivalry shouldn’t overshadow the importance of the game itself.

Recent Form: Momentum Builders

• Ravens: After winning seven of their last eight games, the Ravens suffered a setback last week against the Steelers. They’ll need to refocus to maintain their strong position in the AFC.
• Chargers: The Chargers are riding high on a four-game winning streak, including a recent 34-27 victory over the Cincinnati Bengals. They’ll aim to extend their momentum against a tough Baltimore defense.

Historical Edge

While the Ravens have won the last four regular-season meetings against the Chargers, Los Angeles holds a notable victory in their postseason rivalry—a 23-17 wild-card win following the 2018 season.

Game Dynamics: What to Expect

Both teams boast high-powered offenses led by elite quarterbacks, but defense may decide the game. Baltimore’s defense ranks among the league’s best, while the Chargers’ improving unit has been key to their recent success.

Key matchups to watch include:

• Lamar Jackson vs. Chargers’ Secondary: Can Los Angeles contain Jackson’s explosive plays?
• Justin Herbert vs. Ravens’ Front Seven: Will Herbert have enough time to exploit Baltimore’s secondary, especially if Roquan Smith is sidelined?

Conclusion: A Clash for the Ages

This game isn’t just about two brothers—it’s a pivotal moment in the 2023 NFL season. With playoff hopes on the line and family pride at stake, the Ravens and Chargers are set to deliver a contest worthy of their storied histories.