Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys Picks and Predictions November 24th 2024

Commanders vs Cowboys November 24th 2024

FOX will broadcast this week 12 NFC East matchup between the Commanders and Cowboys at 1:00 ET. The Commanders are the heavy favorite with a money line of -558, and they are favored by -10 points. The game is being played at Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD. The Commanders’ money line odds are +408, and the over/under line is set at 44.5 points.

Dallas vs. Washington Key Information

The Cowboys are currently on a five-game losing streak, which includes a 34-10 home loss to the Texans in week 11. This puts their record at 3-7, with all three of their wins coming on the road. After their week 5 win over the Steelers, Dallas has dropped three straight, including a 28-point loss to the Eagles in week 10 and a 6-point loss to the Falcons in week 9.

Heading into week 12, the Cowboys rank last in our NFL power rankings and have just a 0.1% chance of making the playoffs. Against the spread, they are 2-8, with both wins coming as underdogs. Their O/U record is 6-4, with their games averaging 48 points per contest.

Heading into week 12, the Cowboys rank 28th in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in passing attempts per game (41.1), resulting in 240.6 passing yards per game, which ranks 7th. However, they are 23rd in the league in points per game, averaging 18.7, and they rank 23rd in 3rd-down conversion percentage (35.6%).

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Cooper Rush threw for 354 yards (32/55) with 1 touchdown and 1 interception in week 11 against the Texans, but he was sacked 5 times. Rico Dowdle led the team in rushing with 28 yards on 10 carries, while CeeDee Lamb had 8 receptions for 93 yards.

In their 34-10 loss to the Texans, the Cowboys’ defense gave up 141 rushing yards on just 25 attempts, including a 5.6 yards per attempt average. They allowed 391 total yards and struggled to generate pressure, finishing with only one sack and losing both the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials.

Despite these struggles, Dallas did force one interception and held Houston to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down. In the passing game, the Cowboys allowed 250 yards on 23 completions (67.6% completion rate) and gave up one passing touchdown.

Washington enters week 12 against the Cowboys looking to snap a two-game losing streak, which includes a 26-18 loss to the Eagles in week 11. The Commanders were 4.5-point underdogs in that game and failed to cover the spread, bringing their record to 7-3-1 ATS this season. They are 5-1 against the spread as favorites and 2-2-1 as underdogs.

Despite their recent struggles, Washington still has an 87.7% chance of making the playoffs and a 15.1% chance of winning the NFC East. They are currently 2nd in the division with a 7-4 record, including a 2-1 mark in division games. Their average scoring margin this season is +5.9 points, and their O/U record is 7-4, with their games averaging 50.1 points.

Heading into week 12, the Commanders rank 3rd in our offensive power rankings. They are 4th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 28, and 6th in yards per game with 366.7. Despite being 24th in passing attempts, they sit 14th in passing yards per game, averaging 218.7. On the ground, Washington ranks 4th in rushing attempts and 6th in rushing yards per game, with 148. They are 8th in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage and 5th in 1st-quarter scoring, but they rank 26th in red zone conversion percentage.

Jayden Daniels threw for 191 yards on 22/32 passing in week 11, with 1 touchdown and 1 interception. He finished with a passer rating of 81 after being sacked 3 times. Brian Robinson Jr. led the team with 63 rushing yards on 16 carries, while Austin Ekeler had 8 receptions for 89 yards.

Washington’s defense gave up 228 rushing yards to the Eagles in their most recent game, resulting in a 26-18 loss to Philadelphia. Despite this, they held the Eagles to 18 completions for 206 yards through the air and didn’t allow any passing touchdowns. The Commanders’ defense managed two sacks and limited the Eagles to a 35.7% success rate on third down.

Overall, Washington allowed 434 total yards and 7.4 yards per attempt in the passing game. On the ground, the Eagles averaged 5.7 yards per attempt, with Jalen Hurts leading the way with 44 yards rushing.

Despite the Cowboys being 10-point favorites in this week 12 matchup against Washington, we actually have Washington pulling off the upset by a score of 23-22. However, with the point spread being what it is, our pick vs. the spread is to take the Cowboys to cover as road underdogs.

For the over/under, we really like the over, with a predicted combined score of 45 points and the current line sitting at 44.5 points.

Commanders Look to Take Advantage of Downtrodden Cowboys

The Washington Commanders, fresh off a mini bye, will aim to regroup and capitalize on the struggles of the Dallas Cowboys when they meet Sunday in Washington, D.C.

Commanders Refocus After Tough Stretch

The Commanders (7-4), currently second in the NFC East, are coming off a 26-18 loss to the division-leading Philadelphia Eagles on Nov. 14. That setback followed a one-point loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers, leaving Washington eager to use their extended break to recharge.

“I was able to reset and refocus, restart,” said rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels. “It’s kind of needed in a long season like that. It was great to get away for a little bit, but I’m glad that we’re back now.”

The offense, in particular, has shown signs of wear. Over the past four games, the Commanders have averaged 22.5 points, a significant drop from their 31.1-point average through the first seven contests. Daniels has posted two of his lowest passer ratings in consecutive weeks, completing just 59.1% of his passes with one touchdown and one interception in those games.

“I don’t think anyone is hitting the panic button, but at the same time there’s a lot to improve on,” tight end Zach Ertz noted. “There’s a lot of urgency that goes with that.”

Cowboys Reeling from Five Straight Losses

The Cowboys (3-7) find themselves in a freefall, having lost five consecutive games, including a 34-10 drubbing at the hands of the Houston Texans on Monday night. Their struggles are compounded by a minus-11 turnover differential, tied for second worst in the league.

Despite a promising performance by quarterback Cooper Rush, who threw for 354 yards, a touchdown, and an interception against Houston, Dallas has been plagued by slow starts. They’ve managed to score first in just three of their 10 games this season.

“We’ve got seven losses. We gotta go,” Cowboys coach Mike McCarthy said. “Backs against the wall. Gotta fight, claw, scratch. Gotta do everything we can to go win the next game. That’s where my mind’s at. That’s the way we coach and that’s the expectation.”

Defensive Woes and Injury Updates

Dallas’ defensive struggles remain a significant concern. The Cowboys rank 27th in the league in total defense, surrendering 365.7 yards per game, and are second to last in points allowed, giving up 29.3 per contest.

The Cowboys received some positive injury news with All-Pro cornerback DaRon Bland returning to practice as a full participant. Additionally, wide receiver Brandin Cooks and defensive end Marshawn Kneeland are eligible to return from injured reserve. However, tight end Jake Ferguson (concussion), fullback Hunter Luepke (calf), and offensive linemen Zach Martin (ankle/shoulder) and Tyler Smith (ankle/knee) did not practice Wednesday. Wide receiver CeeDee Lamb was limited with back and foot issues.

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For Washington, safety Marshon Lattimore worked on a side field with a hamstring injury but is trending toward playing Sunday. Linebacker Nick Bellore (knee) did not participate in practice.

Former Cowboys Coach Leads the Way for Commanders

Commanders head coach Dan Quinn will face his former team for the first time since serving as the Cowboys’ defensive coordinator for three seasons. With both teams at critical junctures in their seasons, Quinn emphasized the need to focus on execution.

The Commanders are looking to bounce back after two tough losses and solidify their position in the playoff race, while the Cowboys are desperate to halt their losing streak and reignite their fading season.