Washington Commanders vs Pittsburgh Steelers Picks and Predictions November 10th 2024

Commanders vs Steelers November 10th 2024

On the money line, the Commanders are -154 favorites as they host the Steelers at Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD. The Commanders are favored by -3, and the over/under line is set at 46 points. This non-conference matchup is on CBS at 1:00 ET. The Commanders and Steelers need to add their records.

Pittsburgh vs. Washington Key Information

With three straight wins, the Steelers are now 6-2 on the season, putting them first in the AFC North and third in the conference standings. Our power rankings have Pittsburgh 10th heading into week 10, and they have an 87.9% chance of making the playoffs and a 33.4% chance of winning the division. Their record includes a 3-1 mark both at home and on the road.

Pittsburgh has also covered the spread in three consecutive games, improving to 6-2 ATS this season. They were 6-point favorites in their week 8 win over the Giants and won by 8 points. The over hit in that game, marking the third straight over for the Steelers.

Heading into week 10, the Steelers are 14th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 23.4 points per game, which ranks 13th in the NFL. They are 19th in passing yards per game (190) and 27th in passing attempts, with 27.2 per game. On the ground, they rank 8th in rushing yards per game (138.1) and 2nd in rushing attempts, with 33.2 per game. Pittsburgh ranks 12th in 3rd-down conversion percentage and 11th in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 10th in red zone attempts.

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Russell Wilson has been playing well, posting a passer rating of 114 in week 8 against the Giants, with 278 yards on 20-of-28 passing. Najee Harris rushed for 114 yards on 19 carries, and George Pickens led the team with 74 receiving yards. Pittsburgh scored 10 points in the 4th quarter, but failed to convert any of their 4 red zone attempts.

In their 26-18 win over the Giants, the Steelers’ defense gave up 394 yards but held New York to 18 points. The Giants found some success running the ball, gaining 157 yards on just 25 attempts. Pittsburgh’s run defense will look to improve after allowing 6.3 yards per attempt. In the passing game, the Steelers gave up 237 yards on 24 completions, but New York was unable to score through the air.

Pittsburgh’s defense managed four sacks and came up with one interception. They also held the Giants to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down, despite allowing a high number of yards.

Washington heads into week 10 with a 7-2 record, putting them first in the NFC East and second in the conference standings. The Commanders have won three straight games, including a 27-22 road win over the Giants in week 9. They were favored by 4 points in that matchup and covered the spread, bringing their ATS record to 7-1-1 this season. Washington ranks 9th in our NFL power rankings and has a 90.4% chance of making the playoffs and a 50.6% chance of winning the division.

Washington has an average scoring margin of +8.2 points per game and is 5-0 ATS as the favorite. Their O/U record is 6-3, with their games averaging 50.2 points compared to an average line of 46.1. In week 8, the Commanders and Bears combined for 33 points, falling short of the 46.5-point line, but Washington’s 40-7 win over the Panthers in week 7 went over the 51-point line.

Heading into week 10, the Commanders are 2nd in our offensive power rankings. They are 3rd in the NFL in scoring, averaging 29.2 points per game, and they also rank 3rd in total yards with 392 per game. Despite being 23rd in passing attempts, they are 11th in passing yards, with Jayden Daniels throwing for 209 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 9. On the ground, Washington is 4th in rushing attempts and 3rd in rushing yards, averaging 163.9 yards per game.

Washington has been strong on 3rd down, converting 45.9% of their attempts, which ranks 4th in the league. They also lead the NFL in red zone attempts, but their conversion rate of 9.8% ranks 26th. In week 9, they scored 3 times on 6 red zone trips. The Commanders have been getting off to fast starts, averaging 5.6 points in the 1st quarter, which ranks 4th in the NFL.

In their 27-22 win over the Giants, Washington’s defense gave up 164 rushing yards on just 31 attempts, with New York finishing with 326 total yards. The Commanders’ defense allowed two passing touchdowns and a 76.9% completion rate to the Giants, but they limited them to 162 passing yards.

On third downs, the Commanders allowed the Giants to convert 54.5% of their chances. Washington’s defense managed two sacks and had more QB hits and tackles for loss than the Giants.

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Steelers to cover as road underdogs in this week 10 matchup between the Steelers and Commanders. With the point spread sitting at +3 in favor of the Steelers, we have them coming out on top by a score of 24-22.

As for the over/under, with the line at 46 points, we are leaning towards taking the under, with our projections having these teams finishing with 46 combined points.

Newly Fortified Steelers and Commanders Set for Showdown in D.C.

Two NFL contenders riding high after making key acquisitions at the trade deadline are set to clash on Sunday as the Pittsburgh Steelers visit the Washington Commanders. Both teams are looking to extend their winning streaks and continue their strong starts to the season.

Steelers Reinforce Offense and Defense

The Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2) made significant moves to bolster both sides of the ball at the trade deadline, bringing in veteran wide receiver Mike Williams from the New York Jets and edge rusher Preston Smith from the Green Bay Packers.

Williams, a reliable deep threat who averaged over 680 receiving yards per season during his seven-year career with the Los Angeles Chargers, will look to add another layer to a Steelers receiving corps already featuring playmaker George Pickens.

“It’s exciting,” Williams said of joining Pittsburgh. “They’ve got a great running game, and with the way GP [Pickens] makes plays, I think adding me just gives us another weapon out there.”

Defensively, Smith joins an already formidable Steelers unit that ranks second in scoring defense and ninth in total defense. The veteran pass rusher, who has 68.5 career sacks, returns to the team that originally drafted him in 2015.

Commanders Shore Up Secondary with Lattimore

The Washington Commanders (7-2), meanwhile, focused on upgrading their secondary, trading multiple draft picks to acquire Marshon Lattimore from the New Orleans Saints. The four-time Pro Bowl cornerback is known for his ability to shadow top receivers and play physically, both inside and outside.

“He’s a lockdown guy who can stay connected to receivers,” Commanders coach Dan Quinn said. “We’re excited about what he brings, but we’re also monitoring his status closely.”

Lattimore, dealing with a hamstring injury, was limited in practice this week and remains day-to-day.

Hot Streaks on the Line

Both teams are on impressive runs. Pittsburgh has won three straight, beating the Raiders, Jets, and Giants before enjoying a bye last weekend. The Steelers sit atop the AFC North by half a game. On the other hand, Washington has also won three straight games, defeating Carolina, Chicago, and the Giants. The Commanders currently lead the NFC East by half a game over the Philadelphia Eagles.

Washington is seeking to improve to 8-2 for the first time since 1986, while a win on Sunday would also give them a 5-0 start at home for the first time since 1991.

Quarterback Duel: Wilson vs. Daniels

The Steelers have found offensive stability since veteran quarterback Russell Wilson took over as the starter. Wilson has thrown for 542 yards and three touchdowns with zero interceptions in his two starts, showing off his trademark deep-ball accuracy.

“He can absolutely rip it,” Quinn said of Wilson. “When he connects on those downfield shots, it’s a game-changer.”

Meanwhile, Commanders rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels has been a revelation. The dual-threat quarterback is completing 71.5 percent of his passes for 1,945 yards, nine touchdowns, and has added 459 rushing yards and four scores on the ground.

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“They lead the NFL in rushing touchdowns,” Steelers coach Mike Tomlin noted. “Daniels’ mobility is a key component of that. They’re also perfect on fourth-down conversions, which shows their confidence and execution.”

Injury Updates

For Washington, running back Brian Robinson Jr. (hamstring) and kicker Austin Seibert (hip) were limited in practice, while several other players are nursing minor injuries.

Pittsburgh could be getting several key players back this week. Coach Tomlin reported that cornerback Cory Trice Jr., outside linebacker Nick Herbig, and running back/return specialist Cordarrelle Patterson are all trending toward being game-time decisions.

Historic Rivalry

The last time these teams met, Washington stunned the previously unbeaten Steelers, defeating them 23-17 in December 2020. The Commanders lead the all-time series 43-33-3, but this matchup has a fresh feel with both teams armed with new weapons and playoff aspirations.

Key Matchups to Watch

1. Steelers’ Passing Game vs. Commanders’ Secondary: With the addition of Mike Williams, Pittsburgh’s aerial attack will look to challenge a revamped Washington secondary led by Marshon Lattimore.
2. Jayden Daniels vs. Steelers’ Defense: Can Pittsburgh’s pass rush contain the rookie sensation? The Steelers’ ability to pressure Daniels will be a deciding factor.
3. Russell Wilson’s Deep Ball vs. Washington’s Pass Defense: With Micah Parsons potentially back, the Commanders will need to tighten up their coverage to prevent Wilson from exploiting deep seams.

Outlook

Both teams enter this matchup riding the momentum of recent winning streaks, but only one can keep the streak alive. Pittsburgh’s additions on offense and defense could give them an edge, while Washington’s strong play at home and the dynamic presence of Jayden Daniels make them a formidable opponent.