Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans Picks and Predictions December 1st 2024

The Commanders are favored at -257 on the money line as they host the Titans at Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD. The Commanders are -5.5 point favorites in this non-conference matchup, which is being televised on CBS at 1:00 ET. The Titans’ money line odds are +213, and the over/under line is set at 44.5 points.

Tennessee vs. Washington Key Information

• Teams: Titans at Commanders
• Where: Northwest Stadium Landover
• Date: Sunday, December 1st
• Betting Odds WAS -257 | TEN +213 O/U 44.5

The Titans Can Win If…

Heading into week 13, the Titans sit at 3-8, putting them 3rd in the AFC South. They have a -8 scoring margin and are 2-9 against the spread this season. Their O/U record is 6-4-1, with their games averaging 44.7 points compared to an average line of 40.4.

In week 12, Tennessee snapped a 3-game losing streak by beating the Texans 32-27. The Titans were 8-point underdogs but came away with the win, bringing their road record to 2-4. The combined 59 points easily went over the 40.5-point line.

Heading into week 13, the Titans’ offense ranks 30th in our power rankings, averaging 18.4 points per game (26th) and 302.1 yards per game (25th). They are 22nd in passing attempts, with 183.7 yards per game through the air, placing them 30th in the NFL. On the ground, Tennessee ranks 14th in rushing attempts and 12th in rushing yards per game, averaging 118.4. They have struggled on third down, converting just 33.1% of their attempts, which ranks 28th in the league. However, they have been efficient in the red zone, ranking 5th in conversion percentage at 43.3%.

Will Levis threw for 278 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 12, going 18/24 with one interception and posting a passer rating of 123, despite being sacked 8 times. Tony Pollard led the rushing attack with 119 yards on 24 carries, while Calvin Ridley had 5 catches for 93 yards. Tennessee scored 20 points in the first half and added 9 in the 4th quarter in their win over the Texans.

In the Titans’ 32-27 win over the Texans, their defense allowed just 40 rushing yards on 17 attempts. Despite giving up two passing touchdowns, Tennessee picked off two passes and limited Houston to a 23.1% conversion rate on third down. The Titans allowed 220 passing yards and 260 total yards, and they had four sacks in the game.

Tennessee’s defense also held Houston to a 60.6% completion rate and won the turnover battle with two interceptions. Even though they lost the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials, the Titans were effective in disrupting the Texans’ passing game.

• The Titans have gone 1-2 over their last three regular season games. In these contests, the team went just 1-2 against the spread, while going 2-1 on the over-under.
• Through their last ten regular season contests, Tennessee has a record of 3-7. This includes going 2-8 vs. the spread along with an over-under mark of 6-3-1.

The Commanders Can Win If…

Washington heads into week 13 against the Titans looking to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes a 34-26 home loss to the Cowboys in week 12. The Commanders were favored by 10.5 points but couldn’t get the win, dropping their record to 7-5. Despite the loss, they remain 2nd in the NFC East and 7th in the conference standings. Our projections give them a 71.1% chance of making the playoffs and a 3.7% chance of winning the division.

Washington has an average scoring margin of +4.8 points per game and is 7-4-1 against the spread this season. They have failed to cover in three straight games, including week 12’s loss to the Cowboys. The over/under record in their games is 8-4, with an average of 50.9 points scored compared to a line of 46.2.

Heading into week 13, the Commanders rank 6th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 27.8 points per game, which is 5th in the NFL. They are 6th in the league in total yards per game (370.5) and 14th in passing yards per game (222.8) despite ranking 25th in passing attempts. On the ground, they are 5th in rushing yards per game (147.8) on 30.7 attempts per game. Washington leads the NFL in red zone attempts but ranks 26th in red zone conversion percentage (42.2%).

In week 12, Jayden Daniels threw for 275 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions against the Cowboys, with a passer rating of 82. He also led the team in rushing with 74 yards on 7 carries. Terry McLaurin had 5 receptions for 102 yards and a touchdown. Washington scored 17 points in the 4th quarter after being held scoreless in the 2nd quarter.

In their most recent game, the Washington Commanders’ defense gave up 241 passing yards to the Cowboys, allowing two passing touchdowns and a completion percentage of 75%. They also struggled on third downs, allowing the Cowboys to convert just 18.2% of their third down attempts. Although they allowed 332 total yards, they held the Cowboys to 91 yards on 28 rushing attempts.

Washington’s defense managed only one sack in the game and lost the quarterback hit differential by -6. Despite this, they did win the tackles for loss battle. In the end, the Commanders fell to the Cowboys by a score of 34-26.

• Across Washington’s last three regular season games, their record sits at 1-2. This includes going 1-2 vs. the spread along with an over-under mark of 2-1.
• Over their last ten regular season games, the Commanders have gone 4-6 straight up. This includes going 4-6 vs. the spread along with an over-under mark of 6-4.

The Lean

Our pick vs. the spread is to take Washington to cover as home favorites in this week 13 matchup between the Titans and Commanders. Washington is our pick to win this one by a score of 22-16.

For the over/under, with the line sitting at 44.5 points, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 38 points.

Washington Looks to Regain Momentum

The Washington Commanders (7-5) are desperate to reverse their fortunes after a three-game losing streak has them sliding in the NFC playoff race. Hosting the Tennessee Titans (3-8) on Sunday, Washington will face a tough challenge against one of the league’s top defenses.

The Commanders started the season strong, going 7-2, but have faltered since. Rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels, who looked promising in the first half of the season, has struggled in recent weeks. Over the last three games, he has thrown for just three touchdowns against three interceptions while being sacked 10 times.

Against Dallas last week, Daniels showed flashes of brilliance, including an 86-yard touchdown pass to Terry McLaurin in the fourth quarter. However, inconsistency plagued Washington in a 34-26 loss to the Cowboys.

“I want to see this identity just reveal itself about how we play,” head coach Dan Quinn said. “Speed, effort, and finishing — if we do those things right, the score will take care of itself.”

Titans’ Defense Sets the Tone

The Titans bring a formidable defense to the table, ranking second in the NFL by allowing just 276.4 yards per game. Led by edge rusher Harold Landry and a physical secondary, Tennessee has the ability to disrupt passing games and force mistakes.

On the offensive side, quarterback Will Levis has been finding his rhythm since returning from a shoulder injury. The Titans averaged just 135 passing yards per game in their first six contests but have improved to 224.3 yards per game in their last five, with Levis throwing nine touchdown passes during that stretch.

Running back Tony Pollard also delivered a standout performance last week, rushing for 119 yards and a touchdown against Houston.

“His physicality and toughness stand out,” Titans coach Brian Callahan said of Pollard. “He’s been incredibly productive.”

Key Injuries

Both teams are battling injuries that could impact the matchup:

Commanders:

• Cornerback Marshon Lattimore (hamstring) practiced for the first time since being acquired but was limited.
• Running backs Austin Ekeler (concussion) and Brian Robinson Jr. (ankle) are dealing with injuries.
• Tackle Andrew Wylie (concussion) did not practice.
• Kicker Austin Seibert (hip) was placed on injured reserve, with Zane Gonzalez likely to step in.

Titans:

• Cornerback Chidobe Awuzie (groin) practiced for the first time since September.
• Linebacker Luke Gifford (hamstring) and edge rusher Arden Key (back) did not practice.
• Receiver Calvin Ridley (ankle) and cornerback Roger McCreary (knee) remain questionable.

Matchup to Watch

The duel between Washington’s Terry McLaurin and Tennessee’s lockdown secondary will be pivotal. McLaurin, who has been relatively quiet in recent games, must find a way to get open against the Titans’ aggressive defensive backs.

For the Titans, Levis will need to manage the game effectively against a Washington defense that has allowed big plays in recent weeks but is capable of creating turnovers.

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Prediction

While the Commanders are eager to get back on track, the Titans’ defense presents a significant challenge. If Levis can avoid mistakes and Pollard continues his strong play, Tennessee has a real shot to pull off an upset.

Final Score Prediction: Titans 24, Commanders 20