Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles Picks and Predictions November 10th 2024

Cowboys vs Eagles November 10th 2024

On Sunday, November 10th, the Eagles and Cowboys will face off in a week 10 NFC East matchup at 4:25 ET. The game, being played at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX, will be aired on CBS. The Eagles are the heavy favorite with a money line of -364, while the Cowboys are at +286. Philadelphia is favored by -7.5 on the road, and the over/under line is set at 42 points.

Philadelphia vs. Dallas Key Information

With four straight wins, the Eagles are now 6-2, putting them 2nd in the NFC East. Our power rankings have them 7th going into week 10, and they have an 87.8% chance of making the playoffs and a 48.2% chance of winning the division. After a week 4 loss to the Bucs, Philly bounced back with wins over the Browns, Giants, Bengals, and Jaguars. In week 9, they beat Jacksonville 28-23 but didn’t cover the 7.5-point spread. The over hit in that game, marking the second straight over for the Eagles.

Philadelphia is 4-4 against the spread, with a +5.5 scoring margin. They are 2-4 ATS as favorites and 2-0 as underdogs. Their O/U record is also 4-4, with their games averaging 44.2 points compared to a 45.6-point line.

Heading into week 10, the Eagles rank 6th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 24.9 points per game (11th) and 377.1 yards per game (6th). They lead the NFL in rushing attempts per game (35.8) and are 2nd in rushing yards per game, with 174.8. On the passing side, they rank 20th in yards per game, with 202.4, on 27 attempts per game (28th). Philadelphia ranks 12th in 3rd-down conversions, with a 39.4% success rate, and 19th in red zone conversions, despite being 8th in attempts. The Eagles have struggled early in games, ranking 23rd in 1st-quarter scoring.

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Jalen Hurts has been on a roll, posting a passer rating of 132 in weeks 8 and 9. In week 9, he threw for 230 yards and 2 touchdowns against the Jaguars. Saquon Barkley rushed for 159 yards on 27 carries, while DeVonta Smith led the team with 87 receiving yards. Philadelphia’s offensive line allowed 3 sacks in week 9, and they converted 9 of 17 3rd-down attempts.

In their most recent game, the Eagles’ defense was tough to move the ball against, allowing just 155 passing yards on 16 completions. They picked off two passes and held Jacksonville to 30% on third down. The Eagles’ defense also didn’t allow a passing touchdown in their 28-23 win over the Jaguars. Philadelphia’s rush defense was equally impressive, giving up just 60 yards on 18 attempts.

Despite their strong performance, the Eagles did lose the tackles for loss differential. However, they limited the Jaguars to 215 total yards and 5.0 yards per attempt in the passing game. Jacksonville finished with a completion percentage of just 51.6% against Philadelphia.

After a week 5 win over the Steelers, the Cowboys have now dropped three straight games, including a 27-21 loss to the Falcons in week 9. This losing streak has dropped Dallas to 3-5 on the season, and they now sit 23rd in our NFL power rankings. The Cowboys have a -6.8 scoring margin and are 2-6 against the spread, including 0-2 as favorites.

Heading into week 10, Dallas has a 6.0% chance of making the playoffs and a 1.2% chance of winning the NFC East. They are 3rd in the division with a 1-0 record but are 1-4 in conference games. The Cowboys are 0-3 at home but 3-2 on the road.

Heading into week 10, the Cowboys rank 22nd in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in passing attempts per game (40.8) and are 2nd in passing yards per game (254.1). However, they rank 19th in points per game (21.4) and 17th in 3rd-down conversions. Dallas is 31st in rushing attempts and yards per game, averaging 82 yards on the ground.

In week 9, Dak Prescott threw for 133 yards (18/24) and a touchdown against the Falcons. Rico Dowdle led the team with 75 rushing yards on 12 carries, and Jake Ferguson had 7 catches for 71 yards. Dallas scored 8 points in the 4th quarter but fell short, losing 27-21.

In the Cowboys’ 27-21 loss to the Falcons, the Dallas defense allowed Atlanta to complete 79.2% of their passes for 210 yards. This included three passing touchdowns and a passer rating of 114.4. Dallas defended the run well, allowing just 3.3 yards per attempt and 100 yards on 30 attempts.

On third downs, the Falcons converted 69.2% of their attempts. Dallas did manage two sacks and had two tackles for loss in the game.

Our pick vs. the spread for this Eagles vs. Cowboys matchup is to take the Cowboys to cover as home underdogs. The point spread lines have the Cowboys at +7.5, and we actually have the Eagles winning this one 20-17. However, with the Cowboys covering as home underdogs, we’d recommend taking them to cover at +7.5.

For an over/under pick, we like taking the under, with a projected combined score of 37 points. With the O/U line sitting at 42 points, there is some good value in taking the under for this week 10 matchup.

Eagles Set to Take Flight Against Struggling Cowboys, Led by Red-Hot Saquon Barkley

The Philadelphia Eagles are on a roll, winning four straight games as they head into a crucial Week 10 matchup against the Dallas Cowboys. But for Saquon Barkley, this game holds a special significance. The star running back is determined to secure his first-ever victory against Dallas, a team that has been his nemesis throughout his NFL career.

Barkley Out for Redemption

Despite his illustrious tenure with the New York Giants, Barkley went a dismal 0-10 against the Cowboys during his time there, missing their sole win over Dallas in that span due to injury. However, since joining the Eagles, Barkley has rejuvenated his career, becoming a cornerstone of Philadelphia’s high-powered offense.

With 925 rushing yards and 1,071 yards from scrimmage, Barkley trails only Baltimore’s Derrick Henry in those categories. Barkley has also found the end zone eight times, tying him with teammate Jalen Hurts and others for third-most in the league. His resurgence has even sparked midseason MVP discussions.

“People can say this is vintage Saquon, but this was always who Saquon was,” said Cowboys linebacker Micah Parsons, who played alongside Barkley at Penn State. “The Giants did not appreciate him, and now the rest of the league is facing the consequences. He’s been worth every penny and more.”

Eagles’ Offense Firing on All Cylinders

The Eagles’ offensive success goes beyond Barkley. With former Cowboys offensive coordinator Kellen Moore now calling the plays for Philadelphia, the team has thrived, particularly on the ground. Philadelphia is averaging 174.8 rushing yards per game, the second-best mark in the NFL, while their overall offensive output ranks sixth.

Jalen Hurts has been instrumental in the Eagles’ recent success, playing mistake-free football during their win streak. The dynamic duo of Hurts and Barkley has kept defenses guessing, and with Kellen Moore’s play-calling experience, Philadelphia looks more dangerous than ever.

“Division games always mean something extra,” said Eagles tackle Lane Johnson. “We know Dallas, and they know us. It’s always a tough battle.”

Cowboys Dealing with Injuries and Inconsistencies

While the Eagles are soaring, the Cowboys are stumbling. Dallas has lost three consecutive games and enters this matchup without their star quarterback Dak Prescott, who sustained a hamstring injury last week against the Atlanta Falcons.

Backup quarterback Cooper Rush is set to start in Prescott’s absence. Rush has a respectable 5-1 record as a starter but struggled in his last meeting against the Eagles, throwing three interceptions in a 26-17 loss last season.

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Dallas is also facing injuries on both sides of the ball. Micah Parsons, who has been sidelined with an ankle injury since Week 4, practiced in a limited capacity this week and is hopeful to play. However, key players like CeeDee Lamb (shoulder), Trevon Diggs (calf), and Zack Martin (shoulder) are nursing injuries, which could severely impact their performance.

“This is a big game for us, especially with Dak out,” said Cooper Rush. “I’m ready to step up and lead the team. We’ve done it before, and we can do it again.”

Key Matchups to Watch

1. Saquon Barkley vs. Cowboys Run Defense
   The Cowboys have been abysmal against the run, allowing 147.8 rushing yards per game, which ranks 30th in the league. With Barkley in MVP form, the Eagles could exploit this weakness.
2. Jalen Hurts vs. Dallas Secondary
   The Cowboys are also near the bottom in scoring defense, giving up 28.1 points per game. With a banged-up secondary, Hurts will look to connect with his playmakers, especially if A.J. Brown (knee) and DeVonta Smith (hamstring) can play.
3. Cooper Rush’s Efficiency vs. Eagles’ Pass Rush
   Rush will need to protect the ball better than he did in his last outing against Philadelphia. The Eagles’ defense has been relentless, with a fierce pass rush led by Josh Sweat.

Injury Report

• Eagles:
  • WR DeVonta Smith (hamstring) – Did not practice
  • WR A.J. Brown (knee) – Limited participant
  • TE Dallas Goedert (hamstring) – Limited but expected to play
  • LB Josh Sweat (hip) – Limited
  • OL Mekhi Becton (ankle) – Limited
• Cowboys:
  • QB Dak Prescott (hamstring) – Out
  • LB Micah Parsons (ankle) – Limited
  • WR CeeDee Lamb (shoulder) – Limited
  • CB Trevon Diggs (calf) – Limited
  • G Zack Martin (shoulder) – Did not practice
  • CB DaRon Bland (foot) – Did not practice

Outlook

The Eagles enter as favorites, with Barkley and Hurts leading a balanced attack against a Dallas team reeling from injuries and inconsistent play. However, division games are always unpredictable, especially with the Cowboys playing at home. If Cooper Rush can manage the game effectively and the defense can limit Barkley’s impact, the Cowboys might pull off an upset.

Yet, with the way the Eagles have been playing, it’s hard to see them slowing down, especially with Barkley eager to notch his first win against Dallas. This game could be pivotal for both teams as they look to solidify their standings in a competitive NFC East.