Miami Dolphins vs Tennessee Titans Picks and Predictions September 30th 2024

Dolphins vs Titans NFL Mon, Sep 30, 19:30 pm.
Dolphins
ML: -145
0
0
Titans
ML: 125

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The Dolphins are the slight underdog at -109 on the money line as they host the Titans on Monday, September 30th at 7:30 ET. The Titans are favored by -1 on the road in this week four AFC matchup. ESPN is covering this game, and the over/under line is set at 36.5 points. The Titans and Dolphins both need to add their current records.

Tennessee vs. Miami Key Information

  • Teams: Titans at Dolphins
  • Where: Hard Rock Stadium Miami Gardens
  • Date: Monday, September 30th
  • Betting Odds TEN -111 | MIA -109 O/U 36.5

The Titans Can Win If…

After falling behind 17-7 in the 1st quarter, the Titans battled back to make the score 20-14 in the 3rd quarter before ultimately falling 30-14 to the Packers. Tennessee is now 0-3 on the season. The Titans were 3-point favorites at home but failed to cover the spread. The over/under line was set at 37, and the teams combined for 44 points.

Will Levis connected with Nick Vannett for a touchdown to tie the game at 7 in the 1st quarter. The Titans also found the endzone in the 3rd quarter with a 11-yard touchdown pass from Levis to DeAndre Hopkins. However, a late 3rd quarter touchdown from the Packers extended their lead to 13, and the Titans couldn’t mount a comeback in the 4th quarter.

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Despite the Titans’ 30-14 loss to the Packers, quarterback Will Levis had a decent game, completing 76% of his passes for 260 yards and two touchdowns. The Titans struggled to establish a running game, with only 11 attempts for 33 yards. Levis was under pressure throughout the game, being sacked eight times and throwing two interceptions.

DeAndre Hopkins was one of the top performers in the passing game, leading the team with 73 yards and a touchdown. Tennessee finished with 18 first downs and 204 total passing yards in the game.

In the Titans’ 30-14 loss to the Packers, their defense gave up 188 rushing yards on 37 attempts, including a 5.1 yards per attempt average. Despite allowing 378 total yards, Tennessee’s defense did not give up a single completion in the passing game, as Green Bay finished with 190 yards through the air. The Titans did allow one passing touchdown and held the Packers to a 35.7% conversion rate on third down.Tennessee’s defense also managed three sacks in the game, but they struggled to generate consistent pressure, as they lost the quarterback hit battle by a margin of -9.

  • Tennessee has put together a record of 0-3 in their last three games (regular season). Across these games, their ATS record was just 0-3, while posting an over-under record of 1-1-1.
  • Across Tennessee’s last ten regular season games, their record sits at 3-7. Across these games, their ATS record was just 3-6-1, while posting an over-under record of 4-5-1.

The Dolphins Can Win If…

Seattle jumped out to a 17-3 lead after the 1st quarter, and the Dolphins couldn’t recover, losing 24-3 to the Seahawks. The Dolphins’ record is now 1-2 after the week three loss. Miami was +4 point underdogs, and the 21-point loss was not enough to cover the spread.

Heading into the game, the over/under line was set at 41.5 points. Miami’s only touchdown came with 15 seconds left in the 1st quarter. From that point on, the Dolphins were outscored 7-0 in the 4th quarter. This was a non-conference matchup for the Dolphins.

Miami’s offense struggled to move the ball in their 24-3 loss to the Seahawks, managing just 13 first downs and 140 total yards. The Dolphins’ running game was limited to 65 yards on 18 attempts. Quarterback Skylar Thompson was sacked six times and finished with 107 yards on 13 completions.

Thompson didn’t lead the Dolphins to any points, and Tyreek Hill was the top receiver with 40 yards. De’Von Achane led the team in rushing with only 30 yards and added 28 receiving yards.

In their 24-3 loss to the Seahawks, the Dolphins’ defense allowed 270 passing yards, with Seattle finding success through the air. Miami’s run defense was better, holding Seattle to 100 yards on 23 attempts. The Dolphins did not allow a single completion in the game, but they did give up one passing touchdown. Despite this, they forced Seattle to a 27.3% third-down conversion rate and came away with two interceptions.Miami’s defense also recorded three sacks in the game.

  • Through their last three regular season contests, Miami has a record of 1-2. In these contests, the team went just 0-3 against the spread, while going 0-3 on the over-under.
  • Through their last ten regular season contests, Miami has a record of 7-3. Their record vs the spread sits at 5-5 in these matchups, while posting a 3-7 over-under mark.

The Lean

Our pick against the spread is to take the Titans to cover as road favorites in this week four matchup between the Titans and Dolphins. The point spread lines have the Titans at -1, and we have them winning 20-18, making them a good pick to cover at the current lines.

For an over/under pick, we like the over, with a projected combined score of 38 points and the O/U line sitting at just 36.5 points.

Will Levis, Winless Titans Draw Dolphins in Possible ‘Snoop’ Spot Start

Quarterback Will Levis’ most memorable NFL moment came last season during a thrilling Monday night comeback against the Miami Dolphins. As fate would have it, Levis and the winless Tennessee Titans return to the same venue for another Monday night showdown in Miami Gardens, Fla., with hopes of capturing their first victory of the season.

Levis Looks to Recreate Monday Night Magic

Last December, Levis led the Titans to a stunning 28-27 comeback win over the Dolphins, passing for a career-high 327 yards and engineering a 15-point rally in just 51 seconds. However, both teams find themselves in very different circumstances this season.

“It was a lot of fun,” Levis reflected on last year’s comeback win. “But different team, different season for both of us. Any time you play on Monday night, the whole world is watching.”

The Titans (0-3) enter this contest looking for their first win of the season after being outscored 78-48 through three games.

Dolphins Facing Quarterback Uncertainty

The Miami Dolphins (1-2) have their own challenges, particularly at quarterback after losing Tua Tagovailoa to a concussion in Week 2. With Tagovailoa on injured reserve and out until at least Oct. 27, Miami’s offense has struggled. Skylar Thompson started last week’s 24-3 loss to the Seattle Seahawks, completing 13 of 19 passes for 107 yards before exiting with a rib injury in the third quarter.

With Thompson limited in practice, the Dolphins are weighing their options between Tim Boyle and newly signed Tyler “Snoop” Huntley, who joined the team on Sept. 16.

Miami head coach Mike McDaniel said Thursday, “We targeted [Huntley] for a reason. And it’s a player that we’re very familiar with from the opponent’s standpoint.”

Huntley Could Get the Nod

Huntley, who has 10 NFL starts under his belt, including one postseason appearance, may have the edge due to his experience. McDaniel and the Dolphins’ staff are keeping an eye on Huntley’s performance in practice before making a final decision.

“I have in my mind what I think, how it could play out,” McDaniel said. “But it’s a little premature for a multitude of reasons.”

Dolphins’ Offensive Struggles

Miami ranks last in the NFL in scoring, averaging just 11 points per game. The Dolphins have gone seven quarters without a touchdown and have been outscored 55-13 in their last two losses. Star wide receiver Tyreek Hill has been quiet in the last two games, with only six catches for 64 yards and no touchdowns.

Despite these struggles, Hill expressed confidence, saying, “Very confident. We have a heck of a coaching staff who’s able to put together a crazy gameplan. It’s going to be a crazy game Monday night.”

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Hill has also been impressed with Huntley, stating, “This dude can make every throw… He’s a special talent, man.”

Titans’ Turnover Woes

The Titans’ offense has also struggled, ranking 28th in scoring (16.0 points per game) and 29th in total offense (260.3 yards per game). Levis has been at the center of these issues, tying for the NFL lead with eight turnovers (five interceptions and three lost fumbles). Despite the turnovers, veteran receiver DeAndre Hopkins has faith in his quarterback.

“I wouldn’t want anyone else out there on the field the way he prepares and goes about his day,” Hopkins said. “I think he’s going to learn from his mistakes.”

Levis enters Monday’s game with a 3-9 record as a starter.

Injury Reports

The Titans will be without cornerback Chidobe Awuzie, who was placed on injured reserve due to a groin injury. Defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons (elbow) also missed practice Friday, raising concerns about his availability.

For the Dolphins, left tackle Terron Armstead and cornerback Kendall Fuller remain in concussion protocol. Linebacker David Long and cornerback Siran Neal are dealing with hamstring injuries, though Neal returned to practice in a limited capacity on Friday.

Injury Report: Miami Dolphins Injuries - Tennessee Titans Injuries
WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
Tue, Sep 24, 15:57 pm.
spread
moneyline
over/under
Dolphins
-2.5
-115
-145
O 37.5
-110
Titans
+2.5
-105
125
U 37.5
-110
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