Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars Picks and Predictions November 3rd 2024

Eagles vs Jaguars NFL Sun, Nov 3, 16:05 pm.
Eagles
ML: -350
0
0
Jaguars
ML: 280

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The Jaguars and Eagles will face off on Sunday, November 3rd at 4:05 ET at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia. The Eagles are the heavy favorite with a money line of -361, and they are favored by -7.5 on the point spread. The over/under line is set at 45.5 points. This non-conference matchup will be televised on CBS.

Jacksonville vs. Philadelphia Key Information

  • Teams: Jaguars at Eagles
  • Where: Lincoln Financial Field Philadelphia
  • Date: Sunday, November 3rd
  • Betting Odds PHI -361 | JAX +281 O/U 45.5

The Jaguars Can Win If…

Heading into week 9, the Jaguars sit 26th in our NFL power rankings and have just a 4.6% chance of making the playoffs. Jacksonville is 2-6 this season, with a 1-1 record in the AFC South. They are 3rd in the division and 13th in the AFC. The Jaguars are 2-2 at home but have yet to win on the road (0-4).

Jacksonville is 4-4 against the spread, including two straight ATS wins. In week 8, they covered the 3.5-point spread as underdogs in a 30-27 loss to the Packers. The over has hit in four straight Jaguars games, including week 8, when the teams combined for 57 points, surpassing the 49-point line.

Heading into week 9, Jacksonville ranks 16th in our offensive power rankings. They sit 21st in the NFL in points per game (21.5) and 13th in yards per game (333.9). On the ground, they average 120.1 rushing yards per game, ranking 16th, on 24.1 attempts per game. Through the air, they are 15th in passing yards per game (213.8), with 31.5 attempts per game. The Jaguars have struggled on third down, converting just 31.8% of their attempts, which ranks 26th in the league.

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Trevor Lawrence threw for 308 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 8, completing 21 of 32 passes. He connected with Brian Thomas Jr. for 60 yards on 3 receptions, while Tank Bigsby rushed for 78 yards on 18 carries. Jacksonville scored 10 points in the 4th quarter against the Packers, but they converted only 1 of 9 third-down attempts.

In the Jaguars’ 30-27 loss to the Packers, they allowed 170 rushing yards on 39 attempts, with Green Bay finishing with 422 total yards. Despite this, Jacksonville’s defense did well on third downs, allowing only a 27.3% conversion rate. They also limited the Packers to 1 sack and won the tackles for loss battle.

Jacksonville’s defense gave up just 18 completions to Green Bay for 252 yards. The Packers averaged 9.3 yards per passing attempt. The Jaguars also came up with one interception and held Green Bay to a 66.7% completion percentage.

  • Across Jacksonville’s last three regular season games, their record sits at 1-2. Across this span, their ATS record sits at 2-1 to go along with an over-under mark of 3-0.
  • Over their last ten regular season games, the Jaguars have gone 3-7 straight up. This includes going 5-5 vs. the spread along with an over-under mark of 6-4.

The Eagles Can Win If…

Heading into week 9, the Eagles have won three straight games, including a 37-17 victory over the Bengals in week 8. Philadelphia was a 2.5-point underdog in this matchup, but they came away with a comfortable win. They also defeated the Giants in week 7 and the Browns in week 6, bringing their record to 5-2. The Eagles currently rank 5th in our NFL power rankings and have an 83.7% chance of making the playoffs according to our projections.

Philadelphia is 4-3 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +5.6 points per game. They have covered the spread in two straight games, including their win over the Bengals. Their O/U record is 3-4, with their games averaging 43.3 points per game compared to an average line of 45.5.

Jalen Hurts has been on fire over his last three games, posting passer ratings of 132 in week 8, 119 in week 7, and 126 in week 6. In his week 8 performance against the Bengals, he threw for 236 yards and a touchdown, completing 16 of 20 passes without an interception. The Eagles have also done a great job protecting Hurts, as he wasn’t sacked in week 8 after allowing four sacks in week 7.

Philadelphia’s rushing attack has been impressive, with Saquon Barkley leading the way. He rushed for 108 yards on 22 carries in week 8, following a 176-yard performance in week 7. The Eagles lead the NFL in rushing attempts per game (34.3) and rank 2nd in rushing yards per game (165.9).

In their 37-17 win over the Bengals, the Eagles’ defense allowed 222 passing yards and 58 rushing yards on just 20 attempts. They picked off one pass and held Cincinnati to a 70.3% completion rate. The Eagles also defended well on third downs, allowing just a 23.1% conversion rate.

Philadelphia’s defense pressured the quarterback with one sack and three more hits. The Eagles also limited the Bengals to just one touchdown and averaged 6 yards per pass attempt.

  • The Eagles have posted a 2-1 record in their previous three games. Across these games, they have put together an ATS mark of 1-2 as well as an over-under record of 1-2.
  • Through their last ten regular season contests, Philadelphia has a record of 7-3. Across these games, their ATS record was just 4-6, while posting an over-under record of 7-3.

The Lean

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Jaguars to cover as road underdogs in this week nine matchup against the Eagles. The point spread line is currently sitting at +7.5 in favor of the Jaguars, and we have the Eagles winning by a score of 25-23.

For our over/under pick, we are leaning towards taking the over, with a projected combined score of 48 points and the O/U line at 45.5 points.

Doug Pederson Hopes Return to Philly Ignites Jaguars Against Surging Eagles

Jacksonville Jaguars head coach Doug Pederson heads back to Philadelphia this Sunday, hoping a familiar environment can energize his struggling team. The Jaguars face a formidable Philadelphia Eagles squad, riding high with three consecutive wins and nearly atop the NFC East standings. For Pederson, it’s a homecoming to the city where he delivered the franchise’s first Super Bowl win, immortalized by the now-famous “Philly Special.”

Philadelphia Eagles: Building Momentum with Physicality and Precision

The Eagles are playing their best football of the season. At 5-2, they sit just behind Washington in the NFC East after the Commanders narrowly clinched a victory with a last-second Hail Mary last Sunday. Still, Philadelphia has found rhythm on both sides of the ball, reflected in two back-to-back road wins, including a dominant 37-17 victory over Cincinnati in Week 8, and a 28-3 win against the New York Giants the week before.

Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts has been a driving force, with a standout four-touchdown performance against the Bengals, three of which came on the ground. Impressively, Hurts has avoided turnovers for three straight games, setting a solid foundation for the Eagles’ offense. Additionally, running back Saquon Barkley has been consistently exceptional, surpassing 100 scrimmage yards in six of the last seven games, ranking him second in the NFL with 766 rushing yards.

The Eagles have excelled in the run game, ranking second in the league with an average of 165.9 rushing yards per game and boasting 12 rushing touchdowns, making them a nightmare for opposing defenses.

“I think the identity of this football team is physical,” Eagles coach Nick Sirianni said. “When you say physical, that doesn’t mean you have to run it every time—you run it, you pass it, you can be physical in both aspects.”

Jacksonville Jaguars: Tough Times But High Hopes

The Jaguars enter this game with a 2-6 record and memories of a tough last encounter with the Eagles. In Pederson’s first return to Lincoln Financial Field last season, the Eagles defeated Jacksonville 29-21, forcing five turnovers from Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence. Pederson has nothing but warm memories of Philly and remains beloved by fans for bringing home a Super Bowl title in 2018. However, this trip is all business.

“That place is always going to be one of the spots for me that I enjoy going back to,” Pederson shared. Still, when asked about revisiting the statue commemorating his “Philly Special” call, he joked, “Want me to tailgate, too?”

The Jaguars’ season has been defined by close calls and frustration, with four of their six losses coming by five points or less. Their recent 30-27 loss to the Green Bay Packers last weekend was sealed by a last-second field goal, extending a frustrating trend of narrow defeats.

In a further blow to their offense, the Jaguars lost wide receiver Christian Kirk, who fractured his collarbone in the fourth quarter. Rookie wideout Brian Thomas Jr., who leads the team in receiving yards, suffered a chest contusion and may be limited. The injury report continues with running back Tank Bigsby (ankle), though Pederson hopes that starting back Travis Etienne Jr. (hamstring) will return after a two-game absence.

Key Matchups and Injury Updates

For Philadelphia, the defensive front could be affected by injuries as key players are uncertain. Defensive tackle Jalen Carter (shoulder) and cornerback Darius Slay (groin) both missed practice, as did guard Landon Dickerson (knee) and tight end Dallas Goedert (hamstring). However, Hurts has demonstrated an ability to maximize the offense despite shifting personnel.

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The Jaguars, on the other hand, will be without Kirk, while several other starters are questionable. Lawrence, who has had ups and downs this season, will need to be cautious and precise to avoid the costly turnovers that plagued him in last year’s matchup.

Eagles vs. Jaguars: Recent Dominance and the Road Ahead

The Eagles hold a 4-3 lead in the all-time series, having won their last four meetings. As both teams bring physicality and talent to the field, the Eagles’ consistency and power may pose an insurmountable challenge for a Jaguars team grappling with key injuries. However, for Pederson, a return to Philly is an opportunity to inspire and reset Jacksonville’s season. Whether the Jaguars can find their footing in Philadelphia’s familiar, yet challenging, environment remains to be seen.

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spread
moneyline
over/under
Eagles
-7
-115
-350
O 46
-115
Jaguars
+7
-105
280
U 46
-105
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