Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears Picks and Predictions January 5th 2025

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears January 5th 2025

Looking at the money line, the Packers are -480 favorites as they face off against the Bears at 1:00 ET on Sunday, January 5th. The Bears and Packers are set to square off on FOX, with the Packers favored by -10 in this week 18 matchup. The over/under line is currently at 41 points.

Chicago vs. Green Bay Key Information

• Teams: Bears at Packers
• Where: Lambeau Field Green Bay
• Date: Sunday, January 5th
• Betting Odds GB -480 | CHI +362 O/U 41

The Bears Can Win If…

The Bears are currently on a 10-game losing streak, dropping them to 4-12 on the season. After a week 6 win over the Jaguars, Chicago has been unable to get back in the win column, including a 6-3 loss to the Seahawks in week 17. Despite the loss, they managed to cover the spread as 4-point underdogs. The O/U line for this game was 42 points, with the teams combining for just 9.

Heading into week 18, the Bears rank 23rd in our power rankings and have no chance of making the playoffs. They are 8-7-1 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of -3.9 points per game. Their O/U record is 6-10, with their games averaging 39.6 points compared to an average line of 43.1.

Heading into week 18, the Bears rank 27th in our offensive power rankings. They are 32nd in the NFL in yards per game (287.2) and 26th in points per game, with an average of 17.9. Chicago is 29th in passing yards per game (184.1) despite ranking 13th in pass attempts. On the ground, they are 19th in rushing attempts and 25th in rushing yards per game (103.2). The Bears are 28th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a rate of 31.8%, but they have been efficient in the red zone, ranking 2nd in the NFL with a 44.4% conversion rate.

In week 17, Chicago scored just 3 points, all in the 2nd quarter, in a 6-3 loss to Seattle. Caleb Williams threw for 122 yards (16/28), with 1 interception and no touchdowns, while being sacked 7 times. DJ Moore led the team with 54 receiving yards on 6 catches, and D’Andre Swift rushed for 53 yards on 12 carries.

In a 6-3 loss to the Seahawks, the Bears’ defense played well, holding Seattle to just 143 passing yards. However, they allowed 122 rushing yards on 25 attempts, giving up 4.9 yards per attempt on the ground. The Bears’ offense struggled, managing only 143 yards and converting just 38.5% of their third down attempts.

Chicago’s defense recorded three sacks and limited Seattle to just three points, but the Bears’ offense couldn’t capitalize on their defensive effort. The Seahawks converted 73.9% of their passes and had a few big plays in the running game to help secure the win.

• Chicago has put together a record of 0-3 in their last three games (regular season). Their record against the spread in this stretch is 1-2 to go along with an over-under mark of 1-2.
• Over their last ten regular season games, the Bears have gone 0-10 straight up. Their record against the spread in this stretch is 3-6-1 to go along with an over-under mark of 3-7.

The Packers Can Win If…

Heading into week 18, the Packers have an 11-5 record, which gives them a 100% chance of making the playoffs. However, they can no longer win the NFC North. Despite being 3rd in the division, Green Bay ranks 3rd in our NFL power rankings. They are 6-2 at home and 5-3 on the road this season.

Green Bay has a +7.8 scoring margin and is 8-7-1 against the spread. They are 6-5 as favorites and 2-2-1 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 7-8-1, with their games averaging 47 points compared to an average line of 46.2.

Heading into week 18, the Packers rank 8th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 27.4 points per game. They are 7th in the NFL in total yards per game (370.7) and 12th in passing yards, despite ranking 29th in passing attempts per game. On the ground, Green Bay ranks 5th in rushing yards per game, with 30.8 attempts per contest. They are 11th in the league in 3rd-down conversions and 3rd in red zone attempts, but they sit 27th in red zone conversion percentage.

Jordan Love has gone three straight games without an interception, throwing for 185 yards and a touchdown in week 17 against the Vikings. Josh Jacobs had 69 rushing yards on 17 carries, while Romeo Doubs led the team with 58 receiving yards on 7 catches. The Packers scored 15 points in the 4th quarter and converted 8 of 14 3rd-down attempts in the loss.

In their 27-25 loss to the Vikings, the Packers’ defense allowed 372 passing yards, with Minnesota completing 33 passes and averaging 8.7 yards per attempt. The Packers struggled to get off the field, as the Vikings converted on 50% of their third down attempts. Despite allowing just 69 rushing yards on 26 attempts, the Packers’ focus on stopping the run didn’t pay off, as the Vikings found success through the air.

Green Bay’s defense gave up three passing touchdowns and allowed the Vikings to convert key plays throughout the game. They did manage to force one interception and had six tackles for loss, but only one sack in the game.

• Green Bay will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 3-0 over their past three games. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 3-0 while posting a 1-2 over-under mark.
• Across Green Bay’s last ten regular season games, their record sits at 7-3. In these matchups, they ended with an ATS record of 6-4 and an over-under mark of 3-6-1.

The Lean

Our pick vs. the spread for this week 18 matchup between the Bears and Packers is to take the Packers to cover as 10-point home favorites. Even though the Bears are the better team, we have the Packers pulling off the upset by a score of 27-12.

For the over/under, with the line sitting at 41 points, we like the under, with our projections pointing towards a combined score of 39 points.

Jordan Love, Packers Use Clash vs. Bears as Postseason Tune-Up

The Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears will renew their storied rivalry on Sunday, with both teams heading in starkly different directions. The playoff-bound Packers (11-5) will host the Bears (4-12) at Lambeau Field, with Green Bay looking to secure the NFC’s No. 6 seed with a win and some help from the Dallas Cowboys against Washington.

Packers Ready for Postseason, Despite Injuries

Green Bay’s recent surge, winning five of their last seven games, has come despite significant challenges. The latest blow came with the announcement that star cornerback Jaire Alexander will undergo season-ending knee surgery.

“It’s a tough deal for everyone,” Packers coach Matt LaFleur said. “It stinks that we’re here, but we’re here.”

The Packers have adapted well to Alexander’s absence, as he hasn’t played since Nov. 17. In that game, Green Bay edged Chicago 20-19, sparking their current run. Quarterback Jordan Love, who has gone six consecutive games without an interception, continues to grow in his first full season as a starter, though he acknowledges there’s room for improvement.

“Definitely stuff to clean up and keep working on,” Love said. “That’s the mindset.”

Bears Look to Snap Skid and End Packers Dominance

The Bears enter the game in dire straits, riding a 10-game losing streak and an 11-game drought against the Packers. Despite rookie quarterback Caleb Williams’ record-breaking season — with franchise rookie marks in passing yards (3,393), touchdowns (19), and completions (330) — Chicago has been plagued by inconsistency and a lack of stability in coaching and personnel.

Chicago’s offensive line has come under scrutiny, with Williams taking an NFL-high 67 sacks. However, the rookie quarterback took responsibility for some of those struggles.

“The stupid connotation behind my offensive line being bad is not the truth,” Williams said. “I’ve taken a good amount of sacks that have been my fault.”

Week 17 Rematch Highlights

In their last meeting on Nov. 17, the Bears nearly ended their losing streak against the Packers. A late touchdown by D’Andre Swift gave Chicago a 19-14 lead in the third quarter. However, Love’s 1-yard scoring run and a blocked field goal by Karl Brooks in the final moments sealed Green Bay’s one-point win.

Injury Concerns

The Packers will be without Alexander, and key players such as Christian Watson (knee), Quay Walker (ankle), and Brenton Cox Jr. (foot) missed practice this week.

For the Bears, wide receiver Rome Odunze (illness), running back Travis Homer (hamstring), and multiple offensive linemen, including Teven Jenkins (calf), remain question marks.

Don’t miss out on the action—check out Sunday Night Football Odds & Predictions!

Playoff Implications and Legacy

For the Packers, the game serves as a postseason tune-up. With Love steadily improving and the team rallying around LaFleur’s leadership, they hope to continue their momentum into the playoffs.

Meanwhile, the Bears are focused on finishing a dismal season with a strong showing, while evaluating their young talent, particularly Williams, as they look toward the future.