N.y. Jets vs Indianapolis Colts Picks and Predictions November 17th 2024

The Jets are favored at -182 on the money line as they host the Colts at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ. Kickoff is at 1:00 ET, with the Colts at +152 on the money line and +3.5 on the point spread. Both teams are looking to improve their records in this week 11 AFC matchup. The over/under line is set at 44 points, and CBS is handling the television coverage.

Indianapolis vs. New York Key Information

• Teams: Colts at Jets
• Where: MetLife Stadium East Rutherford
• Date: Sunday, November 17th
• Betting Odds NYJ -182 | IND +152 O/U 44

The Colts Can Win If…

After a week 7 win over the Dolphins, the Colts have now dropped three straight games, including a 30-20 loss to the Bills in week 10. This puts them at 4-6 on the season, leaving them 2nd in the AFC South. Despite their losing streak, Indianapolis still has a 27.6% chance of making the playoffs, according to our projections.

Heading into week 11, the Colts rank 24th in our NFL power rankings. They are 7-3 against the spread, but have failed to cover in two straight games. Their O/U record stands at 4-6, with their games averaging 43.1 points per game.

Heading into week 11, the Colts sit 23rd in our offensive power rankings. They are 15th in the NFL in points per game (20.8) and 19th in passing yards (198.3) and total yards per game (319.6). On the ground, they rank 14th with 121.3 rushing yards per game on 25.7 attempts per contest. Indianapolis ranks 20th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 36.6% success rate, but they are 13th in red zone conversion percentage.

Joe Flacco threw for 272 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 10, but he also had 3 interceptions in the Colts’ loss to the Bills. Jonathan Taylor rushed for 114 yards on 21 carries, and Alec Pierce led the team with 4 catches for 81 yards. Indianapolis scored 10 points in the 2nd quarter but failed to score in the 3rd quarter for the 3rd straight game.

In their 30-20 loss to the Bills, the Colts’ defense gave up 280 passing yards on 22 completions. They also allowed 135 rushing yards on 31 attempts, with Buffalo finishing with 415 total yards. Despite this, the Colts’ defense did not allow any passing touchdowns and came away with two interceptions.

On third downs, the Colts allowed the Bills to convert 50% of their chances. Indianapolis recorded two sacks in the game but had a negative differential in both QB hits and tackles for loss.

• Across Indianapolis’s last three regular season games, their record sits at 0-3. The team’s record vs the spread was just 1-2, in addition to an over-under mark of 1-2.
• The Colts have gone 4-6 over their last ten regular season games. In these contests, the team went just 7-3 against the spread, while going 4-6 on the over-under.

The Jets Can Win If…

With a 3-7 record, the Jets currently sit 3rd in the AFC East and 11th in the conference. Our power rankings place them 17th heading into week 11, and they have an 8.6% chance of making the playoffs. Their home record stands at 2-2, while they are 1-5 on the road.

New York is 3-7 against the spread this season, with all three of their wins coming as the favorite. Their O/U record is 4-5-1, and the under has hit in their last two games.

Heading into week 11, the Jets are 17th in our offensive power rankings. They are 23rd in the NFL in scoring, averaging 17.7 points per game, and rank 26th in total yards per game with 298.5. New York is 4th in passing attempts per game, but only 17th in passing yards, with 211.7 per game. On the ground, they are 28th in rushing attempts and 30th in rushing yards, averaging 86.8 per game. The Jets have been strong on 3rd down, converting 40.6% of their attempts, which ranks 9th in the league.

Aaron Rodgers struggled in week 10 against the Cardinals, posting a passer rating of 72 after throwing for 151 yards on 22/35 passing. He had no touchdowns in the loss. Breece Hall led the team with 52 rushing yards on 10 carries, while Garrett Wilson had 5 catches for 41 yards. The Jets’ offense stalled in the 2nd half, failing to score after putting up 6 points in the 1st half.

In their 31-6 loss to the Cardinals, the Jets’ defense allowed Arizona to convert on 71.4% of their third down attempts. The Jets gave up 259 yards through the air, with the Cardinals completing 91.7% of their passes. New York struggled to generate pressure, managing just one sack and losing the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials.

On the ground, the Jets gave up 147 rushing yards on 32 attempts, with Arizona finishing with 406 total yards. The Jets’ defense will need to improve heading into their next game after allowing the Cardinals to control the game offensively.

• Over their last three regular season games, the Jets have gone 1-2 straight up. The team’s record vs the spread was just 1-2, in addition to an over-under mark of 1-2.
• Through their last ten regular season contests, New York has a record of 5-5. The team’s record vs the spread was just 4-6, in addition to an over-under mark of 4-6.

The Lean

For this week 11 matchup between the Colts and Jets, we have the Colts coming out on top by a score of 23-16. With the Colts being 3.5-point favorites, our pick vs. the spread is to take the Colts to cover as road underdogs.

As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 44 points, we like the under, with a projected combined score of 39 points.

Colts, with Renewed Confidence in Anthony Richardson, Clash with Jets

The Indianapolis Colts and New York Jets both face pivotal moments in their respective seasons as they square off Sunday in East Rutherford, N.J. For the Colts, this matchup marks a fresh start with second-year quarterback Anthony Richardson returning under center. Meanwhile, the Jets are clinging to slim playoff hopes amid a tumultuous season.

Colts Reset with Richardson

After a brief benching, the Colts are turning back to Richardson as their starter. Following two losses under Joe Flacco, head coach Shane Steichen has decided the young quarterback represents the team’s best chance to turn things around.

Steichen acknowledged Richardson’s struggles earlier in the season, including a disappointing performance against Houston where Richardson completed just 10-of-32 passes and admitted to fatigue during a crucial moment. However, Steichen expressed optimism about Richardson’s growth during his time on the bench.

“He’s made strides in that area, big-time strides, becoming a pro’s pro,” Steichen said. “Is he a finished product? No, but it’s my job to help him get there.”

Richardson’s stats highlight both his potential and areas for improvement. He has completed 44.4% of his passes for 958 yards, four touchdowns, and seven interceptions. Despite his passing inconsistencies, Richardson remains a dynamic runner with 242 rushing yards, though six fumbles in six games raise durability concerns.

Richardson sees his time on the sidelines as a learning experience:

“Sitting on the sideline allowed me to look and see certain things I can correct about myself,” he said.

If Richardson can minimize turnovers and improve his accuracy, the Colts (4-6) could mount a late push to catch Houston in the AFC South, despite being swept in the season series.

Jets Struggling to Stay Afloat

For the Jets (3-7), the season has been a whirlwind of dashed expectations. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers, brought in to revive the franchise, has struggled to find consistency. Last week’s 31-6 loss to Arizona highlighted the team’s offensive woes, with Rodgers managing just 151 passing yards while taking three sacks.

Rodgers remains outwardly optimistic, stating,

“We’re not mathematically eliminated. There’s a lot to play for. At the end of the day, one thing we can play for…is pride.”

Despite acquiring star wide receiver Davante Adams, the Jets’ offense has sputtered. Interim head coach Jeff Ulbrich, who replaced Robert Saleh in Week 5, has overseen just one win in five games. Even the team’s previously reliable defense struggled in Arizona, allowing 406 total yards and racking up a “criminal, egregious amount of missed tackles,” according to Ulbrich.

Key Matchups to Watch

Anthony Richardson vs. Jets’ Secondary
Richardson’s development will be tested against a Jets defense that has shown flashes of brilliance but struggled last week. How Richardson handles pressure and tight coverage could determine Indianapolis’ offensive rhythm.

Aaron Rodgers vs. Colts’ Pass Rush
With an underperforming offensive line, Rodgers will need to avoid costly sacks and turnovers. Indianapolis will look to exploit these vulnerabilities with creative blitz packages.

Turnover Battle
Both teams have struggled with giveaways—Richardson’s seven interceptions and six fumbles highlight Indianapolis’ concerns, while the Jets’ offensive miscues have been equally damaging. Limiting turnovers will be critical.

Davante Adams Factor
Adams’ chemistry with Rodgers hasn’t materialized in New York as it did in Green Bay. Whether he can break loose against a Colts secondary allowing 225.7 passing yards per game could be pivotal for the Jets’ offense.

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Game Outlook

Both teams are desperate to reverse their fortunes, but this game represents a more significant opportunity for Indianapolis. With Richardson’s return, the Colts aim to reignite their offense and stay in the playoff conversation. The Jets, meanwhile, face the daunting task of regrouping amid injuries, coaching changes, and mounting pressure.

Indianapolis holds a 44-32 edge in the all-time series and won their last matchup in 2021 by a score of 45-30. History aside, Sunday’s game will come down to which team can limit mistakes and execute in key moments.

Fans can expect a gritty clash as the Colts seek to rebuild their confidence and the Jets fight to salvage pride in front of their home crowd.