Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers December 29th 2024

Green Bay vs. Minnesota Key Information

• Teams: Packers at Vikings
• Where: U.S. Bank Stadium Minneapolis
• Date: Sunday, December 29th
• Betting Odds MIN -123 | GB +101 O/U 48.5

The Packers Can Win If…

With a 34-0 win over the Saints in week 16, the Packers improved to 11-4 and extended their winning streak to two games. Despite the victory, Green Bay remains third in the NFC North, where they are 1-3, but they have a 100% chance of making the playoffs. Our power rankings have the Packers second heading into week 17.

Against the spread, Green Bay is 8-6-1 this season, including two straight wins. They covered as 14-point favorites against the Saints, but the game went under the 43.5-point line. The Packers’ O/U record is 6-8-1, with the under hitting in two consecutive games.

Heading into week 17, the Packers are 6th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 27.5 points per game, which ranks 7th in the NFL. They’ve been strong in the first quarter, ranking 3rd in the league in scoring. On the ground, Green Bay is 6th in rushing attempts and 4th in rushing yards per game, with 147.3. Josh Jacobs has led the way, rushing for 69 yards on 13 carries in week 16.

In the passing game, the Packers rank 11th in yards per game, despite being 26th in attempts. Jordan Love threw for 182 yards and a touchdown in week 16, with a passer rating of 88. Jayden Reed led the team with 76 receiving yards in that game, while Christian Watson, who had 114 yards in week 14, is questionable for week 17.

The Packers’ defense was dominant in their most recent game, pitching a shutout and allowing just 196 total yards to the Saints. They were tough against the pass, allowing only 129 yards through the air and not giving up any touchdowns. Additionally, they intercepted one pass and held the Saints to a 50% completion rate.

Green Bay also defended the run well, allowing just 67 yards on 20 attempts. They recorded three sacks, had three more QB hits than the Saints, and forced New Orleans into a 36.4% third-down conversion rate.

• The Packers have posted a 2-1 record in their previous three games. This also includes going 2-0-1 ATS and an over-under mark of 1-2.
• The Packers have gone 8-2 over their last ten regular season games. Against the spread, Green Bay went 5-4-1 in these games and finished with an over-under mark of 3-6-1.

The Vikings Can Win If…

With eight straight wins, the Vikings are now 13-2 this season, including a 6-1 record on the road and a 7-1 mark at home. Despite their strong record, they sit 2nd in the NFC North, with just a 23.7% chance of winning the division. However, they have already secured a playoff spot. In our power rankings, Minnesota is 7th heading into week 17.

Against the spread, the Vikings are 10-4-1, with three consecutive covers. They covered in week 16, beating the Seahawks 27-24 as 2.5-point favorites. The 51 points scored in that game went over the 43-point line. Minnesota’s O/U record this season is 6-9.

Sam Darnold has been solid for the Vikings, throwing for 246 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 16, with a passer rating of 112. He bounced back after a 74.0 passer rating in week 15, where he threw for 231 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. In week 14, Darnold had a huge game, throwing for 347 yards and 5 touchdowns against the Falcons. Justin Jefferson led the way in week 16 with 10 catches for 144 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Aaron Jones rushed for 67 yards on 18 carries.

Minnesota ranks 10th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 17. They are 9th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 26.4 points per game, and 12th in total yards per game with 346.3. The Vikings are 8th in passing yards per game (235.3) and 17th in rushing (111.1 yards per game). They lead the NFL in first-quarter scoring, averaging 7.3 points.

In their 27-24 win over the Seahawks, the Vikings’ defense gave up 302 yards through the air, with Seattle completing 72.1% of their passes. Despite this, Minnesota picked off two passes and limited the Seahawks to a 20% third-down conversion rate. The Vikings defended the run well, allowing just 59 yards on 15 attempts, but they did give up three passing touchdowns.

Minnesota’s defense recorded two sacks and had more tackles for loss than the Seahawks. Although they allowed 302 passing yards, the Vikings’ defense played a big role in their most recent victory.

• Through their last three games, the Vikings have a record of 3-0. In these games, they have a 2-1 record vs the spread and an over-under mark of 1-2.
• The Vikings have gone 7-3 over their last ten regular season games. In these matchups, they ended with an ATS record of 6-4 and an over-under mark of 4-6.

The Lean

Our pick vs. the spread in this Packers vs. Vikings week 17 matchup is to take the Packers to cover as road underdogs. Currently, the point spread lines have the Packers at +1.5, and we have them winning 28-22.

For an over/under pick, we really like the over, with a projected combined score of 50 points and the O/U line sitting at 48.5 points.

Vikings vs. Packers: Rivalry, Playoffs, and High Stakes

Get ready, football fans—Sunday is going to be epic. The Minnesota Vikings and Green Bay Packers are squaring off in Minneapolis, and there’s a lot on the line. Sure, both teams have already punched their tickets to the playoffs, but this game isn’t just about seeding—it’s about pride, history, and maybe a little trash talk too.

For Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold, who’s new to the team and the NFC North, this rivalry is next-level.

“The history, the fans, the energy—it’s wild,”

-Darnold said.

What’s at Stake?

Let’s break it down. The Vikings (13-2) are tied with the Detroit Lions for first place in the division, but thanks to a close Week 7 loss, the Lions have the tiebreaker edge. Meanwhile, the Packers (11-4) are fighting to secure their wild-card spot and move up in the rankings. Translation: Sunday’s game could make or break their playoff road.

“We’ve got a lot to play for,” Packers running back Josh Jacobs said. And with 1,216 rushing yards and 13 touchdowns this season, Jacobs has been a massive reason for Green Bay’s success.

How They’re Playing

• Vikings: These guys are on fire. They’ve won eight straight, with Darnold lighting it up at quarterback (3,776 yards, 32 touchdowns). Justin Jefferson is, well, Justin Jefferson—an absolute star with 92 catches, 1,387 yards, and 10 touchdowns. And don’t forget Jordan Addison and former Packer Aaron Jones, who add even more firepower.
• Packers: After a shaky start, the Pack is rolling with back-to-back wins. Jordan Love is proving he’s the real deal, with over 3,000 passing yards and 24 touchdowns. Jacobs is crushing it on the ground, and receivers Jayden Reed and Christian Watson have been stepping up big time.

The Injury Report

Here’s the bad news for Green Bay: star cornerback Jaire Alexander might not play due to a knee injury, and several other key players are banged up. On the flip side, the Vikings are almost completely healthy, with only cornerback Fabian Moreau potentially sidelined.

Why This Game Matters

This is more than just a game; it’s the final chapter of their regular-season rivalry. The Vikings took the first meeting back in September, edging out the Packers 31-29. For Justin Jefferson, matchups like these are what football is all about.

“These are the games you live for big moments, big stakes—it doesn’t get better than this.”

–Justin Jefferson

Packers coach Matt LaFleur agrees it’s time to bring their A-game. “This is when you need to be at your best. There’s no room to coast.”

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Final Thoughts

This one’s going to be a nail-biter. Between the playoff implications, the storied rivalry, and two teams playing some of their best football, Sunday’s game has all the ingredients for an instant classic. Whether you’re cheering “Skol!” or yelling “Go Pack Go!”, one thing’s for sure: this is can’t-miss football.

The Vikings are favored at -123 on the money line as they host the Packers at 4:25 ET on Sunday, December 29th at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. This week 17 NFC North matchup is important for both teams, although the Packers are +101 on the money line and +1.5 on the point spread. The over/under line is set at 48.5 points. You can catch this one on FOX.