Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions Picks and Predictions November 3rd 2024

Packers vs Lions NFL Sun, Nov 3, 16:25 pm.
Packers
ML: 120
0
0
Lions
ML: -140

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On Sunday, November 3rd, the Lions and Packers will face off at 4:25 ET on FOX. The Lions are the road favorite with a money line of -179, while the Packers’ money line odds are +149. The point spread favors the Lions by -3.5 points. This week nine matchup is an important one within the NFC North. The over/under line is set at 48.5 points.

Detroit vs. Green Bay Key Information

  • Teams: Lions at Packers
  • Where: Lambeau Field Green Bay
  • Date: Sunday, November 3rd
  • Betting Odds DET -179 | GB +149 O/U 48.5

The Lions Can Win If…

With five straight wins, the Lions sit atop our power rankings and have a 64.6% chance of winning the NFC North. They also have a 95.7% chance of making the playoffs. Detroit is 6-1 and 3-0 on the road, including a 38-point win over the Cowboys in week 6 and a narrow victory over the Vikings in week 7. In week 8, they easily handled the Titans, winning 52-14.

Detroit is 6-1 against the spread and has covered in five consecutive games. They were 12.5-point favorites against the Titans and won by 38. The over has hit in four straight Lions games, including week 8, when the teams combined for 66 points.

Heading into week 9, the Lions are 3rd in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in scoring, averaging 33.4 points per game, and rank 6th in total yards with 385.1 per game. Despite being 25th in passing attempts, they are 10th in passing yards, averaging 228.4 per game. Jared Goff has been efficient, posting passer ratings of 153, 140, and 129 in his last three games, with no interceptions. Detroit is 7th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 42.9% success rate.

On the ground, the Lions are 8th in rushing attempts and 6th in rushing yards, averaging 156.7 per game. Jahmyr Gibbs rushed for 127 yards on 11 carries in week 8, following a 116-yard performance in week 7. Detroit ranks 6th in red zone attempts but is 26th in conversion percentage, scoring on just 13.8% of their trips.

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In their most recent game, the Lions’ defense came up with two interceptions and held the Titans to just 27.3% on third down. Despite giving up 158 rushing yards on 32 attempts, the Lions won 52-14. They allowed 416 total yards and 258 passing yards, with the Titans averaging 6.8 yards per attempt through the air. Detroit also forced one sack and had two interceptions.

The Lions’ defense limited Tennessee to 1-of-4 in the red zone and held them to a 57.9% completion rate on their passes. Even though they allowed 416 yards, the Lions’ defense made key plays to keep the Titans off the scoreboard, with the team’s offense putting up 52 points in the win.

  • The Lions have posted a 3-0 record in their previous three games. In these games, they have a 3-0 record vs the spread and an over-under mark of 3-0.
  • Over their last ten regular season games, the Lions have gone 8-2 straight up. Their record against the spread in this stretch is 8-2 to go along with an over-under mark of 6-4.

The Packers Can Win If…

Heading into week 9, the Packers have won four straight games, bringing their record to 6-2. This streak includes a 30-27 road win over the Jaguars in week 8, though Green Bay couldn’t cover the 3.5-point spread. They also narrowly missed covering in their week 7 win over the Texans, but they easily beat the Cardinals by 21 points in week 6, covering the 5.5-point line.

According to our power rankings, the Packers are 7th in the NFL, and they have an 81.6% chance of making the playoffs. They rank 5th in the NFC and 2nd in the NFC North, where they are 0-1. Against the spread, Green Bay is 4-4, with an average scoring margin of +5.8 points per game.

Heading into week 9, the Packers rank 11th in our offensive power rankings. They are 6th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 27 points per game, and 5th in yards per game with 387.4. Despite ranking 20th in passing attempts, they are 9th in passing yards, averaging 230.5 per game. On the ground, Green Bay ranks 4th in rushing attempts and 5th in rushing yards, with 156.9 per game. They are 15th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions and 22nd in red zone conversion percentage, despite ranking 5th in red zone attempts.

Josh Jacobs rushed for 127 yards and 2 touchdowns on 25 carries in week 8, while Jordan Love threw for 196 yards on 14/22 passing, with 1 interception. Tucker Kraft led the team with 3 catches for 78 yards and a touchdown. Green Bay scored 10 points in the 4th quarter against Jacksonville but struggled on 3rd down, converting just 3 of 11 attempts. They also went 2/6 in the red zone.

In their most recent game, the Packers’ defense allowed the Jaguars to move the ball for 390 total yards, but Green Bay still came out on top with a 30-27 win. The Packers struggled to defend the deep ball, as they gave up 299 passing yards on just 21 completions. They also allowed two passing touchdowns. However, the Packers’ defense was tough on third down, allowing the Jaguars to convert on just 11.1% of their third down attempts.

Against the run, the Packers gave up 91 yards on 23 attempts, and they only managed one sack while allowing the Jaguars to complete 65.6% of their passes. Additionally, Green Bay lost the tackles for loss battle by a margin of -2.

  • The Packers have posted a 2-1 record in their previous three games. However, they have only gone 1-2 vs. the spread over this stretch. Their over-under record in these three games was 1-1-1.
  • Green Bay has put together a record of 7-3 in their last ten games (regular season). In these matchups, they ended with an ATS record of 6-4 and an over-under mark of 3-6-1.

The Lean

Our model has the Lions pulling off the upset over the Packers, with a final score prediction of 32-24 in favor of Detroit. This is a great opportunity to take the Lions to cover as road favorites, as they are currently sitting at -3.5 in our lines.

For the over/under, we have a projected combined score of 56 points, making the over a strong play with the line at just 48.5 points. So, get your bets in on the over before this week nine matchup.

Lions and Packers Gear Up for High-Stakes NFC North Showdown

The Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers are both riding winning streaks and are gearing up for a crucial NFC North showdown at Lambeau Field this Sunday. With both teams finding success in recent weeks, this matchup could have lasting implications for the divisional race. Detroit, led by head coach Dan Campbell, is looking to keep its momentum rolling with a chance to extend its winning streak to six games, while Green Bay seeks to defend its home turf and keep pace in the division.

Detroit Lions: Building on a Dominant Run

The Lions have been in excellent form, boasting one of the NFL’s longest winning streaks at five games. The impact of offseason acquisition Amik Robertson has been clear, with the cornerback contributing to a well-rounded Detroit team that has excelled in all three phases of the game.

“I’ve never been a part of nothing like this,” Robertson shared about Detroit’s success. “We just got to keep going and keep our eyes on the prize.”

Detroit’s latest win was a commanding 52-14 victory over the Tennessee Titans, where the Lions showcased their depth and versatility. Quarterback Jared Goff, despite throwing for just 85 yards, managed three touchdown passes, while rookie running back Jahmyr Gibbs rushed for a season-high 127 yards and scored a touchdown. Detroit’s defense also contributed by forcing four turnovers, and special teams standout Kalif Raymond added a 90-yard punt return touchdown, which earned him NFC special teams player of the week honors.

Goff, who rolled his ankle in the win, was limited in practice this week but reassured fans that he expects to be ready for Sunday. The Lions have already demonstrated a resilient spirit under Campbell, and they’re hoping to secure a third straight win at Lambeau Field—a place where Green Bay has traditionally dominated.

Green Bay Packers: Overcoming Injuries and Staying Competitive

The Packers are also in strong form with a four-game winning streak but face uncertainty as they head into this key matchup. Quarterback Jordan Love, dealing with a groin injury, missed practice on Wednesday but expressed optimism about playing against Detroit. Love, who has led Green Bay to four consecutive games with at least 24 points, believes the offense has yet to reach its full potential.

“I don’t think we’ve played our best performance,” Love noted. “So, we’re definitely still trying to hunt for that.”

In Love’s absence during the fourth quarter last week, backup Malik Willis successfully guided Green Bay to a 30-27 win over Jacksonville, proving the team’s depth and adaptability. Coach Matt LaFleur acknowledged Love’s eagerness to play and indicated that they will test his mobility throughout the week to determine his game-readiness.

Green Bay’s lineup could be further impacted by other key injuries. Running back Josh Jacobs, offensive linemen Elgton Jenkins and Rasheed Walker, and center Josh Myers—all of whom have been pivotal starters—were also sidelined from practice earlier this week. Despite these challenges, Green Bay’s defense has thrived, with rookie linebacker Edgerrin Cooper earning NFC defensive player of the week after recording eight tackles, a strip sack, and a pass breakup in last week’s game.

Key Matchups and Series History

The Lions have won four of their last six matchups against Green Bay, a surprising shift after years of struggling against the Packers. However, Green Bay still holds a commanding lead in the all-time series, winning 24 of the last 29 regular-season meetings at Lambeau and leading the regular-season series 104-76-7 overall. Each team won on the road last season, and Detroit hopes to continue that trend with another win in Green Bay this Sunday.

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Detroit’s offense, averaging over 40 points in its past four games, will be a critical factor against a Packers team that has consistently allowed opposing offenses opportunities to score. Meanwhile, the Packers will lean heavily on their defense and veteran kicker Brandon McManus, who has delivered game-winning kicks in Green Bay’s last two victories.

What to Expect on Sunday

Both teams have shown the ability to win tight games and overcome adversity, setting the stage for an intense rivalry clash at Lambeau Field. Detroit’s balanced offense and aggressive defense, led by players like Robertson and Gibbs, give them a solid chance to extend their winning streak, while Green Bay’s resilience and home-field advantage make them a formidable opponent.

This matchup promises to be more than just another regular-season game, as both teams look to strengthen their playoff positioning in the competitive NFC North.

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
Thu, Oct 31, 20:46 pm.
spread
moneyline
over/under
Packers
+2.5
-110
120
O 48.5
-110
Lions
-2.5
-110
-140
U 48.5
-110
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