Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints Picks and Predictions November 3rd 2024

Panthers vs Saints November 3rd 2024

The Saints are favored on the road at -329 on the money line as they take on the Panthers at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 3rd. The Panthers’ money line odds are +260, and the game is being televised on CBS. The Saints are favored by -7, and the over/under line is 43.5 points. The Panthers and Saints need to add their records.

New Orleans vs. Carolina Key Information

After starting the season with two straight wins, the Saints have now dropped six in a row, including a 26-8 loss to the Chargers in week 8. New Orleans couldn’t cover the 7.5-point spread, and they now sit at 2-6 overall, ranking 22nd in our power rankings. We give them just a 3.1% chance of making the playoffs and a 1.6% chance of winning the NFC South.

Against the spread, the Saints are 3-5 this season, with an average scoring margin of -2.6 points per game. They’ve failed to cover in four straight games. Their O/U record is 5-3, with their games averaging 48.9 points compared to an average line of 43.

Heading into week 9, the Saints rank 24th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 23.1 points per game, which is 17th in the NFL. They are 20th in total yards per game (319.5) and 18th in passing yards per game (203.1), with 32.1 passing attempts per game. On the ground, New Orleans is 21st in rushing yards per game (116.4) on 27 attempts per contest. They rank 16th in 3rd-down conversions, with a 38.8% success rate, and are 20th in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 11th in red zone attempts.

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Spencer Rattler threw for 156 yards on 12/24 passing in week 8, and the Saints struggled on 3rd down, converting just 2 of 16 attempts. Alvin Kamara led the team with 67 rushing yards on 10 carries, while Chris Olave had 8 catches for 107 yards. New Orleans failed to score in the 4th quarter against the Chargers, after putting up 3 points in the 3rd.

In their 26-8 loss to the Chargers, the Saints’ defense allowed 378 total yards. They gave up 122 rushing yards on 29 attempts and allowed 256 passing yards on 20 completions, with two passing touchdowns. New Orleans did manage to record three sacks and held the Chargers to a 25% third-down conversion rate.

Heading into week 9, the Panthers sit at 1-7 and have dropped five straight games, including a 28-14 loss to the Broncos in week 8. Carolina was a 13-point underdog in that matchup but couldn’t cover the spread, leaving them 1-7 against the spread this season. They’ve been underdogs in all of their games so far. Our power rankings have the Panthers 32nd, and they have a 0.0% chance of making the playoffs.

In O/U betting, the Panthers have a 6-2 record, with their games averaging 49.4 points compared to an average line of 43. In week 8, they and the Broncos combined for 42 points, narrowly hitting the over (40.5). Carolina’s previous three games had all gone over the line.

Heading into week 9, the Panthers rank 28th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 15.5 points per game, which places them 29th in the NFL. They also rank 28th in total yards per game, averaging 281.9. Despite being 11th in passing attempts, Carolina ranks 29th in passing yards per game with 177.9. On the ground, they are 21st in rushing attempts and 25th in rushing yards, averaging 104 per game. The Panthers have struggled on third down, converting just 31.6% of their attempts, which ranks 27th in the league, but they are 7th in red zone conversion percentage.

In week 8, Bryce Young threw for 224 yards, completing 24 of 37 passes with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Chuba Hubbard led the rushing attack with 56 yards on 15 carries, while Jalen Coker had 4 catches for 78 yards and a touchdown. Carolina scored 7 points in both the 1st and 4th quarters in their 28-14 loss to Denver.

In their most recent game, the Panthers’ defense allowed the Broncos to convert on 64.7% of their third down attempts. The Panthers gave up 298 yards passing on 30 completions, with Denver finishing with 400 total yards in their 28-14 win. Carolina also allowed three passing touchdowns and struggled to stop the big plays in the passing game, as the Broncos averaged 7.6 yards per pass attempt.

Carolina’s run defense was a bright spot, allowing just 102 yards on 32 attempts (3.2 yards per attempt). They managed two sacks but lost the tackles for loss battle with the Broncos. Additionally, the Panthers’ defense allowed the Broncos to complete 76.9% of their passes.

Our projections have the Panthers coming out on top by a score of 27-20 in their week nine matchup against the Saints. With the point spread sitting at Panthers -7, we are recommending taking the Panthers to cover as home underdogs.

For this week’s over/under pick, we like the over, with a projected combined score of 47 points and the O/U line at 43.5 points.

Panthers Stick with Bryce Young as Saints Look to Derek Carr’s Return

In a matchup of NFC South teams looking to snap losing streaks, the Carolina Panthers will continue with rookie quarterback Bryce Young as they take on the New Orleans Saints this Sunday in Charlotte. The Saints, meanwhile, expect veteran Derek Carr to return from an oblique injury that has kept him sidelined for several weeks.

Panthers’ Decision to Back Bryce Young

Carolina’s head coach Dave Canales confirmed that the team is sticking with Bryce Young at quarterback. After a challenging season, the Panthers are focused on helping Young build on his recent performances and gain critical experience under center. Young struggled in his first game against the Saints in Week 1, completing just 20 of 34 passes with two interceptions and only 193 total offensive yards for the Panthers.

“I’m excited for Bryce to have the opportunity to build off some of the things he did last week,” Canales said, acknowledging both his improvements and areas needing refinement. The Panthers’ offense has faced additional shifts with the recent trade of leading receiver Diontae Johnson to the Baltimore Ravens. With Johnson’s departure, Carolina’s wide receiving corps will rely more on veteran Adam Thielen, who could make his return after recovering from a hamstring injury.

Saints’ Quarterback Questions: Carr or Rattler?

The Saints are also working to revitalize their season and end a six-game losing streak. Derek Carr’s potential return could be the boost they need. Carr practiced for the first time since his injury and reported positive results, stating he feels “good” and hopes to “stack some days together” to prepare for Sunday. His availability would mean a return to the veteran’s play style, providing the Saints with a chance to focus on improving their offensive efficiency.

However, if Carr isn’t ready, rookie Spencer Rattler will step in once again. While Rattler has displayed potential, he has struggled with consistency, throwing just one touchdown in his past three games.

Offensive Struggles and Key Players

The Saints and Panthers have both struggled to put up points this season, with New Orleans averaging only 15.7 points per game during its recent losing stretch. Alvin Kamara’s dual-threat abilities will be a critical factor against Carolina. Kamara recorded 110 total yards in the September matchup and continues to be a central offensive weapon. However, the Saints have had difficulty maintaining ball control, holding a time of possession advantage in only one of their last six games.

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The Panthers’ offense, meanwhile, faces multiple challenges. Carolina’s run game remains inconsistent, and the loss of Diontae Johnson leaves a gap in their passing game. With Thielen possibly returning and the need to create more separation against the Saints’ defense, the Panthers will look to a more adaptable offensive strategy.

Injury Report: Key Players in Question

Both teams are contending with significant injuries. For Carolina, offensive tackle Ikem Ekwonu (ankle), tight ends Feleipe Franks (concussion) and Tommy Tremble (back), outside linebacker DJ Johnson (ankle), and safety Jammie Robinson (knee) all missed Wednesday’s practice.

The Saints face similar challenges with several key players potentially sidelined, including cornerback Marshon Lattimore (hamstring) and free safety Tyrann Mathieu (illness). Running back Keandre Miller (hamstring) and receivers Bub Means (ankle) and Cedrick Wilson Jr. (hip) also did not practice, limiting New Orleans’ options.

Sunday Showdown

As both teams look to address their quarterback situations and rally from losing streaks, Sunday’s game could play a pivotal role in the direction of their seasons. A win could inject much-needed momentum, but the outcome will likely depend on Young’s development and Carr’s potential return. Each squad’s ability to adapt offensively and defensively will be put to the test, with both teams seeking a path forward in the NFC South.