Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs Picks and Predictions February 9th 2025

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs February 9th 2025

The Chiefs are favored on the money line at -119 as they face the Eagles at 6:30 ET on Sunday, February 9th at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans. This neutral-site matchup has the Eagles as the +101 money line underdogs. The Chiefs are -1 point favorites, and the over/under line is set at 48.5 points. There is no TV coverage for this non-conference game.

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Kansas City vs. Philadelphia Key Information

The Chiefs finished the regular season 15-2, which was good enough to earn them the top seed in the AFC. They went 5-1 in division play and 12-2 against conference opponents. Kansas City was 10-0 at home and 7-2 on the road, including a 38-0 loss to the Broncos in week 18. They bounced back with wins over the Texans and Bills in the playoffs, including a 32-29 victory over Buffalo in the AFC Championship game.

Heading into week 4, the Chiefs ranked 6th in our power rankings. They have an average scoring margin of +3.7 points per game and are 8-10-1 against the spread. Their O/U record is 8-11, with their games averaging 42.6 points compared to a 44.2-point line.

Patrick Mahomes bounced back in the AFC Championship game, posting a passer rating of 111 while throwing for 245 yards and a touchdown on 18/26 passing. Xavier Worthy led the team with 85 receiving yards on 6 catches, and Kareem Hunt added 64 rushing yards on 17 carries.

Looking at the Chiefs’ offensive stats, they rank 12th in the NFL in points per game (23.2) and 19th in yards per game (323.7). They have been strong on 3rd down, converting 48.5% of their attempts, which ranks 2nd in the league.

The Chiefs’ defense gave up 147 rushing yards on 32 attempts in their 32-29 win over the Bills. Buffalo finished with 374 total yards, but Kansas City’s defense tightened up on third downs, allowing just a 35.7% conversion rate. They also allowed two passing touchdowns and 227 yards through the air.

Despite giving up some big plays, the Chiefs managed to pressure the quarterback, finishing with two sacks and winning the quarterback hit differential by +1.

After finishing the regular season 14-3, the Eagles have won two straight, including a 32-point win over the Commanders in the conference championship. Philadelphia was a 6-point favorite and easily covered the spread, while the 78 combined points went over the 47-point line. In the divisional round, the Eagles beat the Rams 28-22 but didn’t cover the 7-point spread. The 50 points in that game went over the 43.5-point line.

Heading into the Super Bowl, the Eagles rank 5th in our power rankings. They have a +10.5 scoring margin and are 13-7 against the spread. As favorites, they are 10-7 ATS and 3-0 as underdogs. Philadelphia’s O/U record is 9-11, with their games averaging 46.3 points compared to a 45-point line.

In our offensive power rankings, the Eagles sit 4th in the NFL, and they are 6th in scoring, averaging 28.4 points per game. They are 7th in the league in total yards, with 367 per game, and they lean heavily on the run game, ranking 1st in rushing attempts and 2nd in rushing yards, with 186.6 per game. Philadelphia ranks 31st in both passing attempts and passing yards, averaging 180.5 yards per game through the air. On 3rd down, they are 10th in the NFL, converting 41.7% of their attempts, and they rank 26th in red zone conversion percentage.

Jalen Hurts threw for 246 yards and a touchdown in the NFC Championship, completing 20 of 28 passes without an interception. Saquon Barkley rushed for 118 yards and 3 touchdowns on 15 carries, while A.J. Brown led the team with 96 receiving yards on 6 catches. The Eagles scored 21 points in the 4th quarter against Washington and converted all 7 of their red zone attempts.

In their 55-23 win over the Commanders, the Eagles’ defense gave up 350 yards, but they came away with one interception and held Washington to a 41.2% conversion rate on third down. Washington managed just 99 yards on 25 rushing attempts, averaging 4.0 yards per attempt. Philadelphia allowed 251 passing yards and one touchdown, with opposing quarterbacks completing 61.2% of their passes.

The Eagles’ defense also recorded three sacks in the game, and while they had one more quarterback hit than Washington, they did lose the tackles for loss differential by -1. Despite giving up some yardage, they were able to force Washington off the field on third downs and limit their rushing attack.

With the point spread sitting at -1 in favor of the Chiefs, we have them coming out on top by a score of 26-20 in this Chiefs vs. Eagles matchup. Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Chiefs to cover as road favorites.

As for an over/under pick, with the line at 48.5 points, we like the under, projecting a combined score of 46 points.

Can the Chiefs Make History or Will the Eagles Get Their Revenge?

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Chiefs Eye First Three-Peat, Eagles Out to Avenge Super Bowl LVII Loss

The Kansas City Chiefs are on the verge of history as they take on the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl LIX on Sunday at Caesars Superdome. A win would make the Chiefs the first team in NFL history to accomplish a Super Bowl three-peat. Meanwhile, the Eagles are looking for redemption after falling to Kansas City in Super Bowl LVII.

Will the Chiefs Cement Their Dynasty?

Kansas City has been dominant since the start of the 2022 season, posting a 49-11 record, including a perfect 9-0 mark in the playoffs. Head coach Andy Reid and quarterback Patrick Mahomes have built a postseason resume few can match, going 17-3 together in the playoffs with three Super Bowl rings already secured.

“I get it,” Chiefs defensive end Chris Jones said. “If I was on the outside looking in, I would be saying the same thing, ‘I’m sick of the Chiefs.'”

Mahomes, a three-time Super Bowl MVP, enters his fifth Super Bowl appearance with a chance to add to his legacy. A fourth Lombardi Trophy would tie him with Joe Montana and Terry Bradshaw for the second-most Super Bowl wins by a quarterback, trailing only Tom Brady (7). Mahomes (43 career playoff touchdown passes) also has a chance to move past Montana and Aaron Rodgers (45) for second in all-time postseason touchdown passes.

Can the Eagles Slow Mahomes and the Chiefs?

Philadelphia’s defense, led by coordinator Vic Fangio, allowed the fewest passing yards per game (174.2) in the NFL this season. However, Fangio is 0-8 all-time against Mahomes, including two losses while coaching the Miami Dolphins last season.

“Every time I’ve played Coach Fangio, there’s been different changeups and different things that he’s thrown at us,” Mahomes said. “It’s going to be a chess match.”

The Eagles will rely on a strong pass rush and an athletic secondary to disrupt Mahomes’ rhythm. Defensive end Brandon Graham (elbow) returned to practice this week, but defensive tackle Jalen Carter (illness) and running back Kenneth Gainwell (concussion, knee) were limited.

Can Saquon Barkley Power the Eagles to Victory?

Saquon Barkley is a game-changer for Philadelphia, bringing a dynamic element to an offense that has leaned heavily on the ground game. The Eagles rushed the ball 621 times in 2024 compared to just 448 pass attempts.

Barkley, who has amassed 2,447 rushing yards this season (including 442 in the playoffs), is closing in on Terrell Davis’ all-time single-season record of 2,476 rushing yards set in 1998.

“He’s just a total running back,” Chiefs linebacker Drue Tranquill said. “He can make you miss in tight spaces, run you over, and take it the distance.”

Quarterback Jalen Hurts, who rushed for three touchdowns and threw for 304 yards in the Super Bowl LVII loss to Kansas City, will also play a key role in the Eagles’ offensive game plan.

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Will the Chiefs Make History or Will the Eagles Get Their Revenge?

The Chiefs are one win away from completing a historic three-peat, while the Eagles are determined to erase the sting of their last Super Bowl loss. Will Mahomes add to his legacy, or will Hurts and Barkley lead Philadelphia to victory?