Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders Picks and Predictions January 26th 2025

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders January 26th 2025

The Eagles are favored at -286 on the money line as they host the Washington Commanders in a big NFC East matchup at 3:00 ET on Sunday, January 26th. The Eagles are -6 point favorites on the point spread. The game, being played at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, will be broadcast on FOX, with the over/under line set at 47.5 points.

Washington vs. Philadelphia Key Information

• Teams: Commanders at Eagles
• Where: Lincoln Financial Field Philadelphia
• Date: Sunday, January 26th
• Betting Odds PHI -286 | WAS +233 O/U 47.5

The Commanders Can Win If…

Washington enters the conference championship on a five-game winning streak, which includes a 45-31 win over the Lions in the divisional round. The Commanders were 8.5-point underdogs in that game, but they came away with the win and easily covered the spread. The O/U line was set at 55.5, and the teams combined for 76 points. In the Wild Card round, Washington edged out the Buccaneers 23-20, covering the spread as 3-point underdogs.

Washington is 12-5 this season, with a +5.8 scoring margin. Against the spread, they are 12-6-1, including a 5-2-1 record as underdogs. Their O/U record is 12-7, with their games averaging 52.4 points. The average line in their games has been 46.7 points.

Jayden Daniels has been excellent in the playoffs, posting a passer rating of 122 in the divisional round, with 299 yards and 2 touchdowns on 22/31 passing against the Lions. He also avoided turnovers and sacks. Dyami Brown led the team with 6 catches for 98 yards, while Brian Robinson Jr. had 77 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns on 15 carries.

Washington ranks 4th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 29.1 points per game, and 5th in total yards with 374.5 per game. They are 13th in passing, with 222.7 yards per game, and 3rd in rushing, averaging 151.7 yards on 31.6 attempts per game. Despite ranking 2nd in red zone attempts, they are 28th in conversion percentage.

In their most recent game, the Washington Commanders’ defense gave up 201 rushing yards to the Lions, despite coming out on top with a 45-31 victory. The Commanders’ defense did come up with four interceptions, making it difficult for the Lions to capitalize on their big day on the ground. Washington gave up 320 passing yards to the Lions, but they only managed to convert 33.3% of their third down attempts.

Even though the Commanders’ defense allowed 521 total yards, they still managed to come out on top. The Lions ran for 201 yards on just 23 attempts, averaging 8.7 yards per attempt. Washington’s defense also forced 14 incompletions in the passing game.

• Washington has put together a record of 3-0 over their past three games. Against the spread, the team is 2-1 in these same games while going 1-2 on the over/under.
• The Commanders have gone 7-3 over their last ten regular season games. In these matchups, they ended with an ATS record of 5-5 and an over-under mark of 6-4.

The Eagles Can Win If…

Philadelphia finished the regular season 14-3, going 5-1 in the NFC East and 11-3 in the conference. They currently sit 2nd in the NFC and 5th in our power rankings heading into the conference championship. The Eagles have won two straight, including a 28-22 win over the Rams in the divisional round, and a 22-10 victory over the Packers in the Wild Card round.

Against the spread, the Eagles are 12-7, with a +9.4 scoring margin. They are 9-7 as favorites and 3-0 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 8-11, with their games averaging 44.6 points (O/U line: 44.9).

Philadelphia’s offense has been led by the ground game, with Saquon Barkley rushing for 205 yards and 2 touchdowns on 26 carries in the divisional round. The Eagles rank 1st in rushing attempts and 2nd in rushing yards per game, averaging 184.3 yards. They are 31st in passing yards, with Jalen Hurts throwing for 128 yards in the divisional round after his 131-yard, 2-touchdown performance in the Wild Card round.

Philadelphia ranks 7th in the NFL in points per game (27) and 9th in yards per game (362.2). They are 10th in 3rd-down conversions, with a 41.7% success rate, but struggled in the divisional round, converting only 6 of 15 attempts. The Eagles have also had issues in the red zone, ranking 26th in conversion percentage.

In their 28-22 win over the Rams, the Eagles’ defense allowed 402 total yards, but they did come up with five sacks and held the Rams to a 37.5% conversion rate on third down. Los Angeles ran the ball 21 times for 111 yards, averaging 5.3 yards per attempt. Philadelphia gave up 291 yards through the air, with the Rams completing 26 passes for two touchdowns.

Philadelphia’s defense was able to pressure the quarterback effectively, despite giving up some yardage in the passing game. They also did a good job on third downs, limiting the Rams’ ability to sustain drives.

• Spanning across their last three games, Philadelphia have gone 3-0. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 2-1. Their over-under record in these games was 1-2.
• Through their last ten regular season contests, Philadelphia has a record of 9-1. Across these games, their ATS record was just 5-5, while posting an over-under record of 3-7.

The Lean

Our pick against the spread is to take the Eagles to cover at home, as they are 6-point favorites over Washington in this week three postseason matchup. We have the Eagles coming out on top by a score of 25-15.

For this game, we are leaning towards taking the under, with the line sitting at 47.5 points. Our projections have this game finishing with just 40 combined points, making the under a good value pick.

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Eagles and Commanders Face Off in High-Stakes NFC Championship

The NFC Championship game is set for Sunday as division rivals Philadelphia Eagles and Washington Commanders meet for a third time this season. With the Eagles hosting at Lincoln Financial Field, both teams bring compelling narratives to what promises to be an intense battle for a Super Bowl berth.

Commanders Riding Momentum

The Washington Commanders have been one of the NFL’s most surprising stories this postseason. After entering the playoffs as the NFC’s No. 6 seed, Washington notched two road upsets, including a dominant 45-31 win over the Detroit Lions last week. This marks the Commanders’ first NFC Championship appearance since 1991.

Jayden Daniels has been the catalyst for Washington’s resurgence. The rookie quarterback has been sensational, leading the league in completions (101) and touchdowns (12) against the blitz this season. His clutch performance in the playoffs has already made history, with Daniels becoming the first rookie QB to win two postseason road games.

Daniels’ leadership was on full display in last week’s comeback victory over Detroit. With top targets Terry McLaurin and Curtis Samuel stepping up, the Commanders’ offense has been electric, averaging 34 points per game in the playoffs.

Eagles Aim to Continue Dominance

The Eagles, meanwhile, are hosting their third playoff game this postseason, a first in franchise history. Philadelphia has been a powerhouse, leaning on their league-best defense and a ground game led by Saquon Barkley. Barkley has been unstoppable, racking up a historic 2,329 rushing yards this season, including four touchdowns against Washington in two regular-season meetings.

Jalen Hurts’ status has been a key storyline throughout the week. The Eagles quarterback, dealing with a knee injury, participated in light walkthroughs and is expected to play. Head coach Nick Sirianni emphasized Hurts’ focus:
“He’s the same guy every day. Whether it’s practice or a game, his mentality never changes. It’s all about keeping the main thing the main thing.”

Hurts’ consistency will be crucial, especially against a Commanders defense that has forced six turnovers in the playoffs. The Eagles’ offensive line will also need to step up, particularly against Washington’s Daron Payne, who is battling injuries but vowed to play in what he called a “dogfight.”

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Key Matchups to Watch

• Jayden Daniels vs. Eagles’ Defense: Philadelphia intercepted Daniels three times in their two regular-season meetings. Can the rookie avoid costly mistakes against Vic Fangio’s disciplined unit?
• Saquon Barkley vs. Commanders’ Front Seven: Barkley has torched Washington this season, averaging 148 rushing yards per game against them. Stopping him will be critical for the Commanders.
• Eagles’ Defensive Line vs. Commanders’ Offensive Line: With right guard Sam Cosmi out, Washington’s Trent Scott faces a tall task against All-Pro tackle Jalen Carter, who dominated in the divisional round.

What’s at Stake

For the Commanders, this game represents a shot at a Cinderella run to the Super Bowl, led by a rookie quarterback and a first-year coach. The Eagles, aiming for their second NFC Championship in three years, are looking to prove their dominance and defend their home turf.

Both teams have something to prove, and Sunday’s game will come down to execution in the trenches and clutch performances from their stars. Fans can expect a gritty, high-stakes battle as these division rivals collide with everything on the line