L.a. Rams vs Green Bay Packers Picks and Predictions October 6th 2024

With a money line of -176, the Packers are favored on the road as they take on the Rams at 4:25 ET on Sunday, October 6th. The Rams, with a money line of +146, are the underdog in this one. The game will be televised on CBS, and the over/under line is set at 48 points. The Rams are looking to add to their record, and the Packers need to add their record.

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Green Bay vs. Los Angeles Key Information

• Teams: Packers at Rams
• Where: SoFi Stadium Inglewood
• Date: Sunday, October 6th
• Betting Odds GB -176 | LAR +146 O/U 48

The Packers Can Win If…

Green Bay’s record is now 2-2 after their 31-29 loss to the Vikings. The Packers fell behind 14-0 after the 1st quarter and 28-7 at halftime. However, they made a strong push in the 4th quarter, scoring 22 points to get within two points before ultimately falling short.

The Packers were 2.5-point favorites heading into the game, and their late surge made it a close finish, even though they didn’t pull off the comeback. The combined 60 points easily surpassed the over/under line of 44 points.

Despite the Packers’ 31-29 loss to the Vikings, Jordan Love had a big game, throwing for 379 yards and four touchdowns, but also three interceptions. He completed 59% of his passes and was the top performer in an offense that managed 24 first downs and 379 total yards. Love was helped by Jayden Reed, who led the team with 139 receiving yards and a touchdown.

Green Bay struggled to run the ball, gaining just 86 yards on 19 attempts. Love was under pressure throughout the game, being sacked once and the Packers finished with a 33.3% third-down conversion rate.

In their 31-29 loss to the Vikings, the Packers’ defense allowed 254 passing yards on 20 completions, including three touchdowns. The Vikings found success in the passing game, averaging 9.1 yards per attempt. Despite forcing one interception, the Packers allowed Minnesota to complete 71.4% of their passes.

On the ground, the Packers gave up 120 rushing yards on 34 attempts, with Minnesota finishing with 374 total yards. Green Bay’s defense managed two sacks and held the Vikings to a 36.4% third-down conversion rate.

• Green Bay will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 2-1 over their past three games. Their strong play has also resulted in an ATS mark of 2-1 (last 3). They had an over/under mark of 2-1 in those same games.
• Through their last ten regular season contests, Green Bay has a record of 6-4. Across these games, their ATS record was just 6-4, while posting an over-under record of 7-3.

The Rams Can Win If…

The Rams’ 24-18 loss to the Bears dropped their record to 1-3 for the season. Los Angeles took an early 3-0 lead with a 46-yard field goal in the 1st quarter and added another field goal in the 2nd quarter. However, the Bears responded with a touchdown just before halftime to take the lead for good.

Heading into the 4th quarter, the Rams were down 17-9 and despite a late surge, including a 52-yard field goal by Joshua Karty and a 9-point quarter, they couldn’t complete the comeback. The Rams were +3 point underdogs on the road and their 4th quarter surge made the game go over the 40.5 total line.

Despite the Rams’ 24-18 loss to the Bears, quarterback Matthew Stafford completed 20 of 29 passes for 224 yards. The Rams’ offense finished with 21 first downs and 203 yards passing. Stafford was sacked three times and threw one interception. Los Angeles struggled to find the endzone through the air, failing to record a passing touchdown.

On the ground, Kyren Williams led the team with 94 yards on 19 carries, averaging 4.9 yards per attempt and scoring one touchdown. Tutu Atwell was the leading receiver with 82 yards on four catches. The Rams’ offense also converted on 45.5% of their third-down attempts.

In the Rams’ 24-18 loss to the Bears, their defense allowed just 133 passing yards on 17 completions. However, they did give up 131 rushing yards on 28 attempts, with Chicago averaging 4.7 yards per attempt on the ground. The Rams’ defense limited the Bears to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down but allowed one passing touchdown and a 73.9% completion rate.

Los Angeles’ defense also recorded three sacks in the game but lost both the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials, with -3 in each category. Despite their strong effort against the pass, the Rams couldn’t do enough to slow down the Bears’ rushing attack.

• Through their last three games, the Rams have a record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 3-0 while posting a 2-1 over-under mark.
• Across Los Angeles’s last ten regular season games, their record sits at 7-3. In these contests, the team went just 6-3-1 against the spread, while going 5-5 on the over-under.

Packers’ Jordan Love Getting Back to Full Strength with Rams Up Next

The Green Bay Packers are aiming to bounce back as they prepare to face the Los Angeles Rams this Sunday. A lot of their success will depend on quarterback Jordan Love’s ability to return to top form after dealing with a knee injury. Love, who missed two games after getting hurt late in Week 1, is eager to shake off the rust and lead the Packers back above .500. With both teams contending with notable injuries, this matchup in Inglewood, California, could be pivotal in setting the tone for the rest of their seasons.

Jordan Love’s Return and Performance Against the Vikings

Last week, Jordan Love practiced in his green home jersey, signaling his readiness for contact again after being sidelined with a knee injury. Returning to full practice was a big step for Love, who is ready to embrace all aspects of being back under center—including taking hits.

Love’s first full game back almost saw the Packers complete a remarkable comeback against the Minnesota Vikings. Despite falling behind by four scores, Green Bay narrowly lost, 31-29. Love threw for a career-high 389 yards with four touchdowns but also had three interceptions. His performance was a mix of potential and errors, attempting a career-high 54 passes, completing 32 of them.

Packers head coach Matt LaFleur was impressed by Love’s resilience: “It looks like he’s just getting back in the groove. Like I mentioned the other day, not that we want to throw 50-some odd times in a game, but I thought the more we threw, the better he got.”

While the Packers didn’t come away with the win, the comeback effort showed Love’s ability to adjust under pressure. Facing a relentless Vikings pass rush, Love managed to keep Green Bay in the game, though mistakes crept in. Against a banged-up Rams defense this Sunday, Love will need to find a more efficient balance to help secure a win.

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Packers’ Injury Woes and Offensive Adjustments

Green Bay heads into this game with multiple injury concerns, especially among their key offensive and defensive playmakers. Wide receiver Christian Watson left the game against Minnesota with an ankle injury and did not participate in practice this week, though he has avoided being placed on injured reserve. Watson’s potential absence could be a major blow to the Packers’ passing attack, which relies on him to stretch the field.

Other significant injury concerns for the Packers include cornerback Jaire Alexander (groin), defensive lineman Kenny Clark (toe), and versatile guard/tackle Elgton Jenkins (knee). Tight end Luke Musgrave (ankle) was also absent from practice. While Love practiced, he was listed as limited as he continues to work through some lingering knee issues.

If these key players are unable to go, the Packers will need others to step up. Wide receivers Romeo Doubs and rookie Jayden Reed are likely to see more targets, and Green Bay will also need running back Aaron Jones to play a bigger role, both on the ground and as a receiving option out of the backfield.

Injury Report: Packers Report - Rams Report

Rams Dealing with Key Absences

The Los Angeles Rams are also dealing with their own injury struggles, with major impacts on their offensive unit. Star wide receivers Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua are both sidelined, which has put added pressure on other players to step up. Kupp did not participate in practice this week due to an ongoing ankle injury, while Nacua remains questionable as he recovers from a knee issue.

The Rams’ offense struggled in their Week 4 loss to the Chicago Bears, entering the red zone four times but converting just one touchdown, ultimately falling 24-18. Despite the loss, quarterback Matthew Stafford showed promise in connecting with receiver Jordan Whittington, who has emerged as a bright spot in the absence of the team’s top wideouts. Whittington led the Rams with six catches for 62 yards against Chicago, and Stafford praised his dedication and growth.

Kyren Williams: A Steady Presence in the Rams’ Backfield

With Kupp and Nacua out, running back Kyren Williams has been a steady force for the Rams. Williams rushed 19 times for 94 yards and a touchdown against the Bears, extending his streak of scoring at least one rushing touchdown to seven consecutive games, dating back to last season. His consistent production has helped balance the Rams’ offense amidst injuries.

For the Packers, stopping Williams will be a top priority, particularly if Kenny Clark is unavailable. Green Bay’s defense has shown vulnerability against the run, and containing Williams could be crucial to preventing the Rams from controlling the game’s tempo.

Key Matchups to Watch

Jordan Love vs. Rams’ Secondary

With Christian Watson’s availability up in the air, Jordan Love will need to rely on other options like Romeo Doubs and Jayden Reed. The Rams’ secondary, weakened by injuries, could provide opportunities for Love to establish rhythm early. How Love reads and reacts to coverage, especially with a compromised offensive line, will be key to the Packers’ success in the passing game.

Kyren Williams vs. Packers’ Run Defense

Kyren Williams’ ability to create explosive plays on the ground is crucial for the Rams, particularly with their top receivers sidelined. Green Bay must focus on stopping Williams to prevent the Rams from setting the pace of the game. Given the uncertainty around Kenny Clark, the Packers’ ability to stifle Williams could be a significant factor in their overall game plan.

Packers’ Offensive Line vs. Rams’ Pass Rush

The Packers’ offensive line must protect Jordan Love from a Rams’ pass rush that, while dealing with injuries, still has capable playmakers. If Love gets the protection he needs, he has shown that he can make big plays. However, if the Rams generate consistent pressure, it could lead to mistakes, as seen in Love’s interceptions against Minnesota.

Historical Context and Game Outlook

The Packers have a history of success against the Rams, having won eight of their last nine regular-season matchups. This historical edge, combined with the Rams’ injury woes, suggests that Green Bay might have the upper hand. However, the Packers’ own injuries and inconsistencies mean that this game could still be highly competitive.

Matthew Stafford will be looking to capitalize on the Packers’ defensive weaknesses, especially if they lack key players like Jaire Alexander and Kenny Clark. Stafford’s developing connection with Jordan Whittington and the reliability of Kyren Williams will be key factors for the Rams if they hope to come out on top, especially with a struggling offensive line.

Prediction

Both teams come into this matchup with significant injuries, which could make for an unpredictable and tightly contested game. If Jordan Love can avoid turnovers and if the Packers’ defense can hold Kyren Williams in check, Green Bay should be able to pull off the win. However, if Matthew Stafford finds his groove and the Rams’ defense can generate pressure, Los Angeles could spring an upset.

Ultimately, given the Packers’ historical success and the uncertain status of Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua, Green Bay holds a slight advantage. Expect a close game where the outcome will likely depend on which quarterback can handle the opposing defense’s pressure more effectively.

The Lean

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Rams to cover as home underdogs. The point spread line is sitting at -3 in favor of the Rams, and we have them winning and covering by a score of 24-21.

For an over/under pick, we like taking the under, with a projected combined score of 45 points and the O/U line at 48 points.