Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals Picks and Predictions November 7th 2024

The Ravens are favored at -266 on the money line as they host the Bengals on Thursday, November 7th at 8:15 ET. The game, being televised on AMZN, is a week 10 AFC North matchup. The Ravens are favored by -6 on the point spread, and the over/under line is 53 points.

Cincinnati vs. Baltimore Key Information

• Teams: Bengals at Ravens
• Where: M&T Bank Stadium Baltimore
• Date: Thursday, November 7th
• Betting Odds BAL -266 | CIN +218 O/U 53

The Bengals Can Win If…

Heading into week 10, the Bengals sit 15th in our power rankings and have a 35.6% chance of making the playoffs. They are 3rd in the AFC North with a 4-5 record, including a 1-1 mark in division games. Cincinnati has been much better on the road (3-1) than at home (1-4) this season, and they’ll be on the road again in week 10, taking on the Ravens.

In week 9, the Bengals snapped a two-game losing streak with a 41-24 win over the Raiders. They covered the 7.5-point spread, and the 65 combined points easily cleared the 44-point line. The over has now hit in two straight Bengals games, and they are 6-3 O/U this season. Cincinnati has a +1 scoring margin and is 5-4 against the spread.

Joe Burrow heads into week 10 after a 5-touchdown performance against the Raiders, throwing for 251 yards (27/39) with a passer rating of 115. He spread the scoring across four quarters, and in his last three games, he has passer ratings of 115, 84, and 108. Chase Brown rushed for 120 yards on 27 carries in week 9, and Mike Gesicki had 5 catches for 100 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Currently, the Bengals rank 5th in our offensive power rankings and are 7th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 26.2. They are 17th in yards per game (330.6) and 7th in passing yards per game (236.3). On 3rd down, they have a conversion rate of 46.9%, which ranks 3rd in the league.

The Bengals’ defense was tough to move the ball against in their most recent game, as they gave up just 217 yards to the Raiders. They also held the Raiders to 60 yards rushing on 21 attempts. In the passing game, the Bengals allowed just 157 yards and 4.8 yards per attempt. They also recorded five sacks and held the Raiders to a 38.5% third-down conversion rate.

Despite their strong play, the Bengals did allow one passing touchdown and the Raiders finished with a 63.6% completion percentage against them.

• Over their last three games, the Bengals have gone 2-1 straight up. In these games, they have a 2-1 record vs the spread and an over-under mark of 2-1.
• Over their last ten regular season games, the Bengals have gone 5-5 straight up. The team’s record vs the spread was just 6-4, in addition to an over-under mark of 7-3.

The Ravens Can Win If…

After a week 8 loss to the Browns, the Ravens bounced back with a dominant 41-10 win over the Broncos in week 9, improving their record to 6-3. Baltimore was a 9-point favorite and easily covered the spread, with the 51 combined points going over the 46.5-point line. The Ravens now have a +7.1 scoring margin and are 5-3-1 against the spread. Their O/U record is 8-1, with the over hitting in five straight games.

Heading into week 10, our power rankings have the Ravens 2nd in the NFL, and they have a 96.6% chance of making the playoffs and a 63.4% chance of winning the AFC North. Baltimore is 3-1 at home and 3-2 on the road, and they are 1-1 in division games. Their conference record is 3-3.

Heading into week 10, we have the Ravens sitting at the top of our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in yards per game (445.9) and are 2nd in points per game, averaging 31.4. Baltimore ranks 3rd in passing yards per game (254) despite being 22nd in passing attempts, and they are 5th in 3rd-down conversion percentage. On the ground, the Ravens are 3rd in rushing attempts and lead the league with 191.9 rushing yards per game.

Lamar Jackson has been on fire, posting a passer rating of 158 in weeks 9 and 7 and throwing for 289 yards in week 8. He had 280 yards and 3 touchdowns on 16/19 passing in week 9. Derrick Henry rushed for 106 yards and 2 touchdowns on 23 carries, while Zay Flowers had 5 catches for 127 yards and 2 touchdowns.

In their most recent game, the Ravens’ defense was dominant, allowing just 10 points to the Broncos. They came away with four sacks, held Denver to 42.9% on third down, and intercepted a pass. The Ravens’ defense also limited the Broncos to 197 passing yards on 20 completions, and they forced a quarterback hit differential of +4 in their 41-10 win. Baltimore’s run defense gave up 122 yards on 30 attempts.

The Ravens’ secondary was tough to throw against, allowing just 5.8 yards per attempt. They also defended the run well, holding Denver to 4.1 yards per attempt. Additionally, Baltimore’s defense allowed the Broncos to convert only 1 of 4 red zone opportunities.

• Through their last three games, the Ravens have a record of 3-0. Against the spread, the team is 2-0-1 in these same games while going 2-1 on the over/under.
• Over their last ten regular season games, the Ravens have gone 7-3 straight up. Their record against the spread in this stretch is 5-4-1 to go along with an over-under mark of 6-3-1.

The Lean

Our model has the Ravens winning this week 10 matchup by a score of 31-27. Even though the Bengals are the favorite, we are going with the Ravens to pull off the upset. With the point spread sitting at 6 in favor of the Bengals, we like the Ravens to not only win but cover the spread.

For an over/under pick, we are leaning towards taking the over, with a projected combined score of 58 points and the line sitting at 53 points.

The Cincinnati Bengals and Baltimore Ravens are set to renew their AFC North rivalry on Thursday night, following up on an October clash that ended in a thrilling 41-38 Ravens overtime win. Both teams are coming off big wins and look to solidify their positions in the division and playoff race as the season heads toward its final stretch.

Ravens Riding High Offense Led by Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry

The Ravens (6-3) are just a half-game behind the Pittsburgh Steelers in the AFC North and boast the NFL’s top-ranked offense, averaging 445.9 yards per game. Baltimore has reached 41 points three times this season, showcasing a dynamic attack led by MVP candidate Lamar Jackson. Jackson has been incredibly efficient, leading the league with a 120.7 passer rating and boasting 20 touchdowns to only two interceptions over nine games. His versatility as a passer and runner makes Baltimore’s offense challenging to defend, especially with their league-leading ground game averaging 191.9 yards per contest.

The acquisition of Derrick Henry has added a new dimension to the Ravens’ run game. Henry, currently leading the league with 1,052 rushing yards and 13 total touchdowns, gives the Ravens a power-running option that Baltimore hasn’t had in years. Coach John Harbaugh is thrilled about the impact Henry brings: “Derrick Henry is adding a dimension that we have not had before,” Harbaugh said. “You go back to Jamal Lewis, maybe. This is different, and I’m excited about it.”

Bengals Counting on Joe Burrow and Key Returns Amid Injuries

The Bengals (4-5) bounced back with a 41-24 win over the Las Vegas Raiders last Sunday, snapping their home-game slump. Joe Burrow started red-hot, completing his first 15 passes and tying his career best with five touchdown passes. However, despite the offensive success, Burrow showed visible frustration with lapses in execution, indicating the team’s drive for consistency. “I’m going to have my standard of play, and I’m going to have my idea of the standard of what we should live up to as an offense,” Burrow said.

Injuries, however, have impacted the Bengals’ lineup, particularly on offense. Rookie tight end Erick All Jr. suffered a season-ending ACL tear, and Chase Brown is questionable with a rib injury. Running back Zack Moss is also out indefinitely due to a neck injury, prompting the Bengals to acquire Khalil Herbert from the Chicago Bears. Cincinnati’s offense is hoping to get key playmakers back for Thursday, including wide receiver Tee Higgins, who’s missed two games with a quadriceps injury, and left tackle Orlando Brown Jr., who sat out last week with a knee issue.

Defensive Matchup: Hendrickson’s Dominance vs. Ravens’ Stout Line

On defense, the Bengals have an elite pass-rushing weapon in Trey Hendrickson, who leads the NFL with 11 sacks after recording four against the Raiders. Hendrickson’s impact will be crucial as the Bengals aim to disrupt Jackson and the Ravens’ high-powered offense. For the Ravens, their defense will focus on maintaining discipline against Burrow’s dynamic play style, especially with the quarterback’s ability to score quickly.

Keys to the Game

Baltimore’s Balanced Attack: The Ravens’ success often hinges on their ability to mix the run and pass effectively. With Henry and Jackson in the backfield, Baltimore can dominate the clock and wear down Cincinnati’s defense.

Protecting Burrow: With injuries on the offensive line, the Bengals need to protect Burrow against a Ravens pass rush that is known for getting to the quarterback. If Burrow has time, he can exploit matchups, especially if Higgins is back.

Capitalizing on Turnovers: Both teams have explosive offenses, so any mistakes could prove costly. The Bengals will need to limit turnovers to keep the game within reach, while the Ravens will look to force errors, especially if the Bengals’ offensive lineup remains depleted.

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Outlook

This game promises another tightly contested matchup, especially with both teams looking to build momentum. The Ravens’ dynamic rushing attack, bolstered by Derrick Henry, paired with Jackson’s MVP-level play could provide a slight edge at home. However, Burrow’s ability to rally the Bengals and Hendrickson’s disruptive force on defense means Cincinnati is capable of pulling off a win. With both teams hungry for divisional supremacy, Thursday night’s showdown should deliver high drama and intensity in prime time.