Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos Picks and Predictions November 3rd 2024

Ravens vs Broncos November 3rd 2024

The Broncos are +356 on the money line as they head to Baltimore to take on the Ravens at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 3rd. The Ravens are the heavy favorite at -462 on the money line, and the point spread favors them at -9.5 points. This week nine AFC matchup is being televised on CBS, with the over/under line set at 45.5 points.

Denver vs. Baltimore Key Information

After a week 6 loss to the Chargers, the Broncos bounced back with two straight wins, including a 28-14 victory over the Panthers in week 8. Denver entered the game as 13-point favorites and covered the spread, improving their ATS record to 6-2. They rank 27th in our power rankings and have a 42.8% chance of making the playoffs.

Denver’s O/U record stands at 5-3, with the over hitting in four consecutive games. Their matchups have averaged 36.6 points per game, compared to an average line of 38.7.

Heading into week 9, the Broncos sit 27th in our offensive power rankings. They are 20th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 21.6 points per game, and rank 24th in total yards with 307.2 per game. Denver is 12th in passing attempts but only 26th in passing yards, averaging 185.9 per game. On the ground, they rank 15th in rushing attempts and 14th in rushing yards, with 121.4 per game. The Broncos have struggled on 3rd down, converting just 32.4% of their attempts, which ranks 25th in the NFL.

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Bo Nix is coming off a strong week 8 performance, throwing for 284 yards and 3 touchdowns with a passer rating of 124. He completed 28 of 37 passes in the win over the Panthers. Denver scored 21 points in the 2nd quarter and converted 11 of 17 3rd downs. Courtland Sutton led the team with 8 catches for 100 yards, while Jaleel McLaughlin had 47 rushing yards on 8 carries.

In their 28-14 win over the Panthers, the Broncos’ defense allowed just 69 rushing yards on 20 attempts. They gave up two passing touchdowns but held Carolina to 215 passing yards and a 63.2% completion rate. Denver also came up with two interceptions.

The Broncos’ defense was tough on third downs, allowing the Panthers to convert just 35.7% of their third down attempts. They also had two sacks and more QB hits and tackles for loss differentials.

Heading into week 9, the Ravens have a 5-3 record, putting them 2nd in our NFL power rankings and giving them a 92.3% chance of making the playoffs. They also have a 57.2% chance of winning the AFC North. Baltimore is 1-1 in division games and 2-3 in the conference. They are 2-1 at home and 3-2 on the road.

Against the spread, the Ravens are 4-3-1, including a 4-2-1 record as favorites. Their O/U record is 7-1, with the over hitting in four straight games. Baltimore’s games have averaged 56.4 points, compared to an average O/U line of 47.2.

Heading into week 9, the Ravens sit at the top of our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in total yards per game (452.1) and are 2nd in scoring, averaging 30.2 points per game. Baltimore ranks 5th in passing yards per game, despite being 21st in pass attempts, and they lead the league in rushing, with 200 yards per game on 32.5 attempts.

Lamar Jackson threw for 289 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 8, with a passer rating of 101. Zay Flowers had 7 catches for 115 yards, while Derrick Henry rushed for 73 yards on 11 carries. Baltimore converted 3 of 4 red zone attempts but struggled on 3rd down, going just 2 for 10.

In their 29-24 loss to the Browns, the Ravens’ defense gave up 321 passing yards and allowed three passing touchdowns. They struggled on third downs, allowing the Browns to convert 53.3% of their third down attempts. Despite this, the Ravens did well against the run, giving up just 80 yards on 23 attempts.

Baltimore’s defense allowed 401 total yards and 27 completions (65.9% completion rate). They managed two sacks and finished with a +1 advantage in quarterback hits but lost the tackles for loss battle by -1.

For this week nine matchup between the Broncos and Ravens, we have the Broncos coming out on top by a score of 27-13. With the point spread sitting at +9.5 in favor of the Broncos, our pick is to take the Broncos to cover as road underdogs.

As for the over/under, with the line at 45.5 points, we like the under, and our projections have these teams finishing with just 40 combined points.

Lamar Jackson and Ravens Brace for a Battle Against Broncos’ Rising Talent

The Baltimore Ravens and Denver Broncos are poised for a high-stakes clash this Sunday, each aiming to bolster their playoff chances. Both teams enter Week 10 with 5-3 records and sit second in their respective divisions, making this matchup a pivotal point in their seasons.

Ravens Rely on Lamar Jackson’s MVP Caliber Season

Baltimore’s offensive powerhouse this season has been none other than Lamar Jackson, who continues to prove why he’s a two-time MVP. Jackson, rested in Wednesday’s practice to stay sharp, has been instrumental in Baltimore’s league-leading offense. His stellar play is evident in his numbers: 2,099 passing yards, 17 touchdowns, and only two interceptions, paired with 501 rushing yards. Head coach John Harbaugh lauded Jackson’s contributions, underscoring the quarterback’s significance to the team.

“He’s been playing great, and we’ve got a lot of football in front of us,” Harbaugh said. “We’ve got a game, quick game, another big game coming up. So that was warranted.”

Supporting Jackson is running back Derrick Henry, who leads the NFL with 946 rushing yards and nine touchdowns. With Baltimore’s offense averaging a league-best 452.1 yards per game and topping rushing stats with 200 yards per game, the Ravens have shown they’re a dominant force on the ground and through the air.

Denver’s Bo Nix and Run Game Offer New Hope

On the other side, rookie quarterback Bo Nix has invigorated the Denver Broncos’ offense, leading them to two straight wins and sparking optimism for the future. Nix, who has thrown for 1,530 yards, eight touchdowns, and five interceptions, faces a Ravens’ secondary that has struggled recently. Ranked last in the NFL in passing defense, Baltimore allows 291.4 yards per game through the air, giving Denver a potential opening to exploit.

“For a rookie quarterback, I think all of these are steps,” said Denver head coach Sean Payton, acknowledging Nix’s progress. “Confidence steps. The key is around him. Are we good enough at these other positions around him? That’s what we’re constantly looking at.”

While Nix will lead the charge, Denver’s run game could play a crucial role. The Broncos average 121.4 rushing yards per game, powered by Javonte Williams and Jaleel McLaughlin. Their ground attack could test Baltimore’s top-ranked run defense, which surrenders just 69.9 yards per game. Harbaugh emphasized the importance of defending against the Broncos’ run game, noting Denver’s success on the ground.

“Stopping the run this game is going to be really important — it’s going to be huge,” Harbaugh explained. “They’re a running team, and they run it really well, and they run it a lot, so it’s going to be a big part of the game plan.”

Defensive Challenges for Both Teams

Baltimore’s defense, while effective at stopping the run, has faced issues in the secondary, where missed opportunities have cost them. Last week against Cleveland, safety Kyle Hamilton missed a potential game-sealing interception, only for Cleveland to score on the next play. Fellow safety Eddie Jackson also struggled, dropping two potential interceptions and allowing a 38-yard touchdown pass.

With Denver’s primary receiver, Courtland Sutton, leading the team in catches and yards, Baltimore’s secondary will need to tighten up to prevent big plays.

Denver, meanwhile, boasts a stout defense that ranks third in both yards (282.6 per game) and points allowed (15 points per game). However, they’ll face one of their toughest challenges yet against Baltimore’s high-powered offense.

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“This is our toughest challenge by far,” Payton said, recognizing the threat Baltimore poses.

The Broncos will also contend with injuries to key players, with safety P.J. Locke (thumb) and offensive tackle Mike McGlinchey (knee) missing practice on Wednesday. Baltimore’s defense is dealing with injuries as well, as defensive end Brent Urban (concussion) and tackle Michael Pierce (calf) are questionable, affecting Baltimore’s front line.

Key Matchup and Final Thoughts

The Ravens will need their dominant run game and Jackson’s playmaking abilities to counter Denver’s resilient defense. Meanwhile, the Broncos will rely on Nix and their running backs to challenge Baltimore’s defense, especially through the air, where they’ve been vulnerable.

With both teams aiming for postseason berths, Sunday’s showdown could set the tone for the remainder of the season. The Ravens, led by Jackson, aim to capitalize on their offensive prowess, while Denver, guided by rookie Nix, will hope to continue building confidence and consistency.