Baltimore Ravens vs Philadelphia Eagles Picks and Predictions December 1st 2024

Ravens vs Eagles NFL Sun, Dec 1, 16:25 pm.
Ravens
ML: -160
0
0
Eagles
ML: 135

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The Eagles and Ravens will face off on Sunday, December 1st at 4:25 ET at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore. The Ravens are favored on the money line at -147 and are -2.5 point favorites on the point spread. This non-conference matchup is being televised on CBS, with the over/under line set at 50.5 points.

Philadelphia vs. Baltimore Key Information

  • Teams: Eagles at Ravens
  • Where: M&T Bank Stadium Baltimore
  • Date: Sunday, December 1st
  • Betting Odds BAL -147 | PHI +120 O/U 50.5

The Eagles Can Win If…

With a 9-2 record, the Eagles sit atop the NFC East and have a 96.3% chance of winning the division, according to our projections. Philadelphia has won seven straight games, including a 37-20 victory over the Rams in week 12. They were 3-point favorites in that game and covered the spread, bringing their ATS record to 7-4 this season.

The Eagles are 5th in our NFL power rankings and have a +8.8 scoring margin. Their O/U record is 5-6, with their games averaging 45 points per game this season.

The Eagles have leaned heavily on their run game this season, leading the NFL in rushing attempts (37.2 per game) and rushing yards (193.4 per game). Saquon Barkley rushed for 255 yards on 26 carries in week 12, following a 146-yard performance in week 11. Philadelphia ranks 25th in passing yards, averaging 195.7 per game, despite being last in passing attempts. Jalen Hurts threw for 179 yards and a touchdown in week 12, with a passer rating of 107.

Philadelphia ranks 5th in our offensive power rankings and 7th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 26.9. They have struggled early in games, ranking 28th in first-quarter scoring, but scored 10 points in the first quarter of week 12. A.J. Brown had 6 catches for 109 yards and a touchdown in week 12, matching his week 10 performance.

In their 37-20 win over the Rams, the Eagles’ defense allowed 198 passing yards and 92 rushing yards on 18 attempts. They gave up two passing touchdowns and allowed 24 completions on 36 attempts (66.7%). Despite this, the Eagles’ defense was strong on third downs, allowing 0% conversions. They also recorded five sacks and had a +9 advantage in quarterback hits.

 

The Eagles’ defense limited the Rams to just 290 total yards and 20 points, with their secondary giving up 198 passing yards. Philadelphia’s run defense struggled a bit, as the Rams averaged 5.1 yards per attempt on the ground. However, the Eagles’ ability to pressure the quarterback was a key factor in this game, as they came away with five sacks and forced the Rams into several negative plays.

  • Philadelphia will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 3-0 over their past three games. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 3-0. Their over-under record in these games was 1-2.
  • Philadelphia has put together a record of 8-2 in their last ten games (regular season). In these contests, the team went just 6-4 against the spread, while going 4-6 on the over-under.

The Ravens Can Win If…

After dropping two straight, the Ravens got back in the win column in week 12, defeating the Chargers 30-23. Baltimore was able to cover the 3-point spread, improving their record to 6-5-1 against the spread. They are 6-4-1 as the favorite and 0-1 as the underdog. Their O/U record stands at 10-2, with their games averaging 54.8 points compared to an average line of 48.

Heading into week 13, the Ravens have a 99.3% chance of making the playoffs and a 56.8% chance of winning the AFC North. They are 8-4, putting them 2nd in the division with a 2-2 record against division opponents. Baltimore ranks 2nd in our NFL power rankings.

Heading into week 13, the Ravens are averaging 30.3 points per game, which ranks 2nd in the NFL, and they lead the league with 426.7 passing yards per game. Despite ranking 28th in passing attempts, Baltimore ranks 3rd in passing yards, averaging 246.5 per game. They also rank 5th in rushing attempts and 2nd in rushing yards, with 180.2 per game. The Ravens rank 3rd in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 47% success rate, and are 30th in red zone conversion percentage.

Lamar Jackson posted a passer rating of 126 in week 12, going 16/22 for 177 yards and 2 touchdowns. Derrick Henry rushed for 140 yards on 24 carries, and Zay Flowers led the team with 5 catches for 62 yards. Baltimore scored 13 points in the 4th quarter against the Chargers after scoring 6 in the 4th quarter of week 11 and 21 in week 10.

Coming away with four sacks and holding the Chargers to 35.7% on third down, the Ravens’ defense played a key role in their 30-23 win over the Chargers. Baltimore’s defense limited the Chargers to 202 passing yards and 83 rushing yards on just 20 attempts. The Ravens’ defense also didn’t allow a single touchdown through the air.

  • Through their last three games, the Ravens have a record of 3-0. Against the spread, they have gone 1-1-1 and logged an over-under record of 3-0 in these games.
  • The Ravens have gone 7-3 over their last ten regular season games. In these contests, the team went just 4-5-1 against the spread, while going 6-3-1 on the over-under.

The Lean

For this week 13 matchup between the Eagles and Ravens, we have the Ravens coming out on top by a score of 31-26. Despite the Eagles being the favorites at +2.5, we are going with the Ravens to not only win but cover the spread as home favorites.

As for the best way to bet the over/under, with the line sitting at 50.5 points, we are leaning towards taking the over, with our projections pointing to a combined score of 57 points.

Eagles and Ravens Ready for Ground Game Showdown

The Philadelphia Eagles (9-2) and Baltimore Ravens (8-4) prepare to square off on Sunday in a marquee matchup showcasing the NFL’s two leading rushers, Saquon Barkley and Derrick Henry. Both teams bring star-studded offenses and elite defensive units to M&T Bank Stadium, promising a clash that could shape playoff positioning in their respective conferences.


Ground Game Heavyweights

This game is headlined by Saquon Barkley, the league’s leading rusher with 1,392 yards, and Derrick Henry, who trails closely with 1,325 yards and a league-high 13 rushing touchdowns. Both backs are pivotal to their team’s success, combining power and speed to dominate on the ground.

Barkley is coming off a franchise-record 255 rushing yards in a 37-20 win over the Rams. Henry, known as “King Henry,” remains a force in Baltimore’s offense and is eager to showcase his skills in this high-profile matchup.

Lamar Jackson on Barkley and Henry: “It’s going to be a great matchup. I’ve known Saquon since high school, and with Derrick, I see what he can do every day. This one’s going to be fun to watch.”


MVP Candidates Face Off

While Barkley’s record-breaking performances fuel his MVP campaign, Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson continues to build his case. Jackson, a two-time MVP winner, has spearheaded the league’s No. 1 offense (426.7 yards per game) and No. 2 scoring offense (30.3 points per game).

On the other side, Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts has been a dual-threat machine with 11 rushing touchdowns, tied for second-most in the league. With Barkley and Jackson headlining, Sunday’s game could significantly influence the MVP race.


Strength vs. Strength

This matchup is as much about team play as individual stars. The Eagles’ No. 1 defense, allowing just 274.6 yards per game, faces a Ravens offense that hasn’t gained fewer than 329 yards in any game this season. Philadelphia’s defense, led by a stout front seven, has held opponents under 300 total yards in seven straight games.

Baltimore’s home-field advantage is undeniable, as they hold a 4-1 record at M&T Bank Stadium. However, the Eagles are road warriors, boasting a 5-1 record away from home.


Key Injuries

Ravens:

  • Out: TE Charlie Kolar (broken arm)
  • Questionable: LB Roquan Smith (hamstring), NT Michael Pierce (calf)

Eagles:

  • Out: DE Brandon Graham (triceps, season-ending)
  • Questionable: WR DeVonta Smith (hamstring), CBs Darius Slay (concussion) and Kelee Ringo (calf)

Historical Context

The Ravens lead the all-time series 3-2-1, with their most recent win a 30-28 thriller in Philadelphia in 2020. Both teams have evolved significantly since then, and Sunday’s showdown promises another chapter in this competitive rivalry.

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Prediction

This game has all the makings of a playoff-like battle. The Ravens’ high-powered offense will test the Eagles’ top-ranked defense, while Barkley and Henry are poised to steal the spotlight. In the end, the Ravens’ home advantage and Lamar Jackson’s dynamic playmaking could be the difference.

Final Score Prediction: Ravens 27, Eagles 24

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
Wed, Nov 27, 14:51 pm.
spread
moneyline
over/under
Ravens
-3
-105
-160
O 51
-110
Eagles
+3
-115
135
U 51
-110
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Ben Miller | Handicapper

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