Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots Picks and Predictions November 3rd 2024

Titans vs Patriots November 3rd 2024

The Patriots are +150 on the money line as they head to Tennessee to take on the Titans in a week nine matchup. The Titans are favored by -3.5 on the point spread, with the game set for 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 3rd at Nissan Stadium in Nashville. The Titans are -179 on the money line. This AFC matchup is being televised by FOX, and the over/under line is set at 38 points.

New England vs. Tennessee Key Information

Heading into week 9, the Patriots sit at 2-6, placing them 31st in our power rankings and giving them just a 0.5% chance of making the playoffs. New England is 1-3 both at home and on the road, and they are 1-2 in division games. Against the spread, they are 2-5-1, having been underdogs in all of their games so far.

In week 8, the Patriots snapped a 6-game losing streak by beating the Jets 25-22. They were 7-point underdogs in this game, but they managed to pull off the win and cover the spread. The combined scoring in this game was 47 points, going over the 41-point line. The over has now hit in three straight Patriots games.

Heading into week 9, the Patriots rank 26th in our offensive power rankings. They sit 29th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 15.5, and are 31st in passing yards per game with 149.9. New England ranks 18th in passing attempts per game and 19th in rushing attempts, averaging 111 rushing yards per game, which ranks 23rd in the league.

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After Drake Maye’s 276-yard performance in week 7, Jacoby Brissett threw for 132 yards on 15/24 passing in week 8. Rhamondre Stevenson led the team with 48 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns, while Kayshon Boutte had 3 catches for 46 yards.

The Patriots’ defense gave up 224 passing yards to the Jets in their most recent game, allowing 17 completions and 2 passing touchdowns. They also defended against 28 rushing attempts, giving up 112 rushing yards. Despite allowing 336 total yards, New England came out on top with a 25-22 win.

New England’s defense managed just one sack in the game and allowed the Jets to convert on 40% of their third down attempts. The Patriots’ defense hit the quarterback one more time than the Jets, but they did lose the tackles for loss battle by a margin of -3.

Heading into week 9, the Titans are looking to break a three-game losing streak, which includes a 38-point loss to the Lions in week 8. This leaves Tennessee at 1-6, putting them 30th in our power rankings and giving them just a 1.7% chance of making the playoffs. They are 0-3 at home and 1-3 on the road, with their only win coming in week 4 against the Dolphins.

Against the spread, the Titans are 1-6, with their only win coming against Miami. They were unable to cover in their last three games, including a 24-point loss to the Bills in week 7 and a 3-point loss to the Colts in week 6. Their average scoring margin this season is -10.9 points per game. In O/U betting, the over has hit in two straight Tennessee games, including week 8’s 66-point total against the Lions.

Heading into week 9, the Titans rank 31st in our offensive power rankings, averaging 17.1 points per game, which places them 28th in the league. They are 29th in total yards per game (281.6) and 30th in passing yards, with 161.9 per game on 31.4 attempts. On the ground, Tennessee ranks 17th in rushing yards per game, averaging 119.7 on 27 attempts. The Titans have struggled on third down, converting just 30.6% of their attempts, but they are 8th in red zone conversion percentage, scoring on 60% of their trips.

Mason Rudolph threw for 266 yards in week 8, completing 22 of 38 passes with one touchdown and two interceptions. Tony Pollard led the rushing attack with 94 yards on 20 carries, while Calvin Ridley had 10 receptions for 143 yards. Tennessee scored 14 points in the first half against the Lions but failed to score in the second half.

The Titans’ defense gave up 52 points in their most recent game, as the Lions had a field day through the air. Tennessee allowed just 61 passing yards but gave up four passing touchdowns, as the Lions made the most of their limited passing attempts. The Titans struggled to defend the run, giving up 164 yards on just 24 attempts, allowing Detroit to average 6.8 yards per attempt on the ground.

Despite coming up with four sacks, the Titans couldn’t generate enough pressure to disrupt the Lions’ passing game. Detroit also managed to convert 78.9% of their passes. Overall, the Titans’ defense allowed 611 total yards in the 52-14 loss.

For this week nine matchup between the Patriots and Titans, we have the Patriots coming out on top by a score of 23-16. With the point spread sitting at +3.5 in favor of the Patriots, we like them to cover as road underdogs.

As for an over/under pick, with the line at 38 points, we are leaning towards taking the over, with a projected combined score of 39 points.

Titans Lean on Patience as They Host Patriots After Challenging Season Start

The Tennessee Titans face an uphill climb at 1-6, with the focus shifting to long-term growth and preparation for the 2025 NFL season rather than immediate playoff hopes. As they prepare to host the New England Patriots on Sunday, Tennessee’s priority centers on developing quarterback Will Levis, who could return from a shoulder injury to start. The matchup pits two struggling teams with a combined 3-12 record, though each team’s outlook remains starkly different.

Titans: Building for the Future with Will Levis

For the Titans, this season has become an opportunity to grow, placing significant focus on Levis’s development under first-year head coach Brian Callahan. While Levis’s season has had its struggles, including seven interceptions and three fumbles over five games, the team remains committed to his progress rather than opting for a veteran alternative. Callahan emphasizes a balanced approach, acknowledging the need to both win and nurture Levis’s potential.

“There’s not a lot of patience in pro sports,” Callahan admitted. “But this is a hard position to master. You have to play through mistakes to learn those lessons.”

Levis’s completion rate has improved this season to 66.4 percent, a marked increase over last year. However, with less than nine yards per completion, the team hopes for greater production and accuracy as the season progresses. Backup Mason Rudolph, who has demonstrated slightly higher yards per attempt, may also see snaps depending on Levis’s health.

Patriots: A Glimmer of Hope with Quarterback Stability

The New England Patriots (2-6) managed to break a six-game losing streak last week with a narrow 25-22 victory over the New York Jets. Rookie quarterback Drake Maye suffered a concussion early in that game, leaving the door open for veteran Jacoby Brissett, who stepped in to lead a late touchdown drive and seal the win. Brissett is expected to start if Maye doesn’t clear the concussion protocol in time.

Head coach Jerod Mayo praised Brissett’s readiness, noting,

“I feel very comfortable putting Jacoby in there as he is a professional and always stays ready, as you could see from the last game.”

After a disappointing 24-3 loss to the Jets earlier in the season and a tough defeat to the Jacksonville Jaguars in London, Mayo’s call for greater resilience seems to have resonated. New England’s defense and offense both showed more fight and cohesiveness last week, answering their coach’s challenge and changing the team’s momentum, albeit modestly.

Injury Concerns for Both Teams

Injuries remain a pressing issue for both squads. New England has key players on the injured list, with 13 players limited in practice on Wednesday, including safety Kyle Dugger and quarterback Drake Maye. Three players did not participate, among them linebacker Christian Eliss and offensive tackle Vederian Lowe.

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The Titans face similar challenges, with nine players missing practice. This group includes several crucial offensive contributors, such as wide receivers Tyler Boyd and Calvin Ridley, and running back Tony Pollard. Levis was a limited participant, indicating his status for Sunday remains uncertain.

Key Takeaways and Matchup History

Historically, New England holds an edge over Tennessee, leading the series 26-18-1, including a 36-13 win in their most recent matchup in 2021. Despite the Patriots’ record, they’re hoping to build momentum, while the Titans remain focused on incremental improvement.

The game will test both teams’ resilience and adaptability, as the Patriots aim to stay competitive in a difficult season and the Titans prioritize their future with Levis under center. Both teams have limited playoff prospects, but each possesses the determination to finish strong, improve, and gain confidence for seasons ahead.