Tennessee Titans vs Minnesota Vikings Picks and Predictions November 17th 2024

The Vikings are the heavy favorite on the road against the Titans in a week 11 non-conference matchup. The game, set for 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 17th at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, will be televised on CBS. The Vikings’ money line odds are -262, while the Titans are at +216. Minnesota is favored by -6 points, and the over/under line is at 39.5 points.

Minnesota vs. Tennessee Key Information

• Teams: Vikings at Titans
• Where: Nissan Stadium Nashville
• Date: Sunday, November 17th
• Betting Odds MIN -262 | TEN +216 O/U 39.5

The Vikings Can Win If…

Heading into week 11, the Vikings have won two straight games, bringing their record to 7-2. After losing to the Rams in week 8, Minnesota bounced back with wins over the Colts (28-13) and Jaguars (12-7). They were unable to cover the 7-point spread against Jacksonville, but they did cover in week 9, beating the Colts by 8 points as 5.5-point favorites.

With an average scoring margin of +7.1 points per game, the Vikings are 6-3 against the spread this season. They are 3-0 ATS as underdogs and 3-3 as favorites. Their O/U record is 3-6, with the under hitting in their last two games. So far, Minnesota’s games have averaged 42 points, compared to an average line of 45.3.

Sam Darnold’s passer rating has declined over the last three weeks, dropping from 128 in week 8 to 107 in week 9, and then to 48 in week 10, where he threw for 241 yards with no touchdowns and three interceptions. The Vikings’ offense struggled on third down in week 10, converting just 5 of 14 attempts, and they failed to score on five red zone trips.

Aaron Jones, who is questionable for week 11, led the rushing attack with 88 yards on 17 carries in week 10. T.J. Hockenson was the leading receiver, with 8 catches for 72 yards.

Minnesota’s defense was dominant in their 12-7 win over the Jaguars, allowing just 87 passing yards and forcing two interceptions. The Vikings’ defense limited Jacksonville to 143 total yards and only 56 yards on 18 rushing attempts. They also held the Jaguars to a 63.6% completion percentage and didn’t allow a passing touchdown.

Additionally, the Vikings recorded three sacks, held the Jaguars to a 45.5% third-down conversion rate, and came out on top in the QB hit, and tackles for loss differentials.

• Through their last three games, the Vikings have a record of 2-1. Across these games, they have put together an ATS mark of 1-2 as well as an over-under record of 1-2.
• Over their last ten regular season games, the Vikings have gone 7-3 straight up. Across these games, their ATS record was just 6-4, while posting an over-under record of 4-6.

The Titans Can Win If…

With a 2-7 record, the Titans are 28th in our power rankings and have just a 2% chance of making the playoffs. They are 1-3 at home and 1-4 on the road, including a 10-point loss to the Chargers in week 10. Tennessee was unable to build on their week 9 win over the Patriots, which snapped a four-game losing streak.

The Titans are 1-8 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of -9.2 points. They have failed to cover in five straight games, including their win over New England, where they were 3.5-point favorites. Their O/U record is 5-3-1, with their games averaging 44.1 points.

Heading into week 11, the Titans rank 30th in our offensive power rankings. They are 24th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 17.4, and 27th in yards per game with 295.6. Tennessee has struggled on third down, converting just 32.7% of their attempts, which ranks 28th in the league. In the passing game, they are 31st in the NFL, averaging 169.2 yards per game on 30.7 attempts, while they rank 10th in rushing with 126.3 yards per game on 27.7 attempts.

Will Levis took over at quarterback in week 10, going 18/23 for 175 yards and 2 touchdowns, posting a passer rating of 127. He was sacked 7 times in the loss to the Chargers. Calvin Ridley led the team with 5 catches for 84 yards and 2 touchdowns. Tennessee scored 7 points in the first quarter, but only managed 3 in the second and 7 in the fourth.

Despite the Titans’ defense holding the Chargers to just 164 yards passing in their most recent game, they still allowed 145 yards on the ground and gave up 27 points in a 27-17 loss. The Titans’ defense struggled to generate pressure, as they did not record any sacks and had a -4 differential in tackles for loss.

Overall, the Titans gave up 309 total yards, and the Chargers were efficient through the air, completing 77.8% of their passes. Tennessee defended the run well, allowing just 3.7 yards per attempt, but they still gave up a big day on the ground to the Chargers.

• Through their last three regular season contests, Tennessee has a record of 1-2. The team’s record vs the spread was just 0-3, in addition to an over-under mark of 1-2.
• The Titans have gone 4-6 over their last ten regular season games. Their record vs the spread sits at 3-6-1 in these matchups, while posting a 4-5-1 over-under mark.

The Lean

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Titans to cover as home underdogs in this week 11 matchup between the Vikings and Titans. Right now, the point spread lines have the Titans at -6, and with our projected final score being 18-15 in favor of Tennessee, we like them to cover at home.

For the over/under, we have a slight lean towards the under, with a projected combined score of 33 points and the O/U line sitting at 39.5 points.

Turnover-Prone Vikings Travel to Titans with Better Offense on Their Minds

The Minnesota Vikings (7-2) head to Nashville on Sunday, hoping to reignite their offense after a lackluster performance against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Despite their struggles, the Vikings eked out a 12-7 win last week, relying solely on four field goals for scoring. Meanwhile, the Tennessee Titans (2-7) are looking to turn their season around behind young quarterback Will Levis, who continues to settle in after returning from injury.

Vikings’ Turnover Troubles

Minnesota’s recent offensive issues have centered on turnovers, particularly from quarterback Sam Darnold, who has accounted for six giveaways in his last two games. Against Jacksonville, Darnold’s two interceptions in the red zone left critical points off the board, raising concerns about the team’s ability to finish drives.

Head coach Kevin O’Connell emphasized the need for better ball security and execution as the team prepares for Tennessee.

“We need to score points. We need to finish these drives,” O’Connell said. “What you can’t have is turnovers in the opposing team’s end. Those things add up, and we need to be better.”

Despite the offensive struggles, the Vikings’ defense has been a steady force, keeping games close and giving Minnesota opportunities to win. However, without improvement from Darnold and the offense, the team risks missing out on crucial scoring opportunities in competitive games.

Titans’ Search for Consistency

The Titans enter Sunday’s game having lost four of their last five matchups, including a 20-14 defeat against the Los Angeles Chargers last week. Despite returning from a shoulder injury, Will Levis has had a rocky season, throwing as many interceptions as touchdowns (seven each) and posting a modest passer rating of 79.6.

Head coach Brian Callahan remains focused on evaluating Levis as a potential franchise quarterback.

“If he improves the play that he had last week, we’re all going to feel really good about how he’s played the position,” Callahan said.

While Levis continues to adjust, the Titans will rely on their running game, led by Tony Pollard, who has battled through a foot injury to accumulate 666 rushing yards and three touchdowns. Calvin Ridley, the team’s top wide receiver, will look to provide a spark after hauling in 32 receptions for 483 yards and three scores this season.

Key Players to Watch

Justin Jefferson (Vikings): The star wide receiver has been the centerpiece of Minnesota’s offense, with 831 yards and five touchdowns on the season. He’ll look to bounce back from a season-low 48-yard performance last week.

Aaron Jones (Vikings): Limited by a rib injury, Jones has rushed for 653 yards this season and could be a key factor if healthy.

Tony Pollard (Titans): Despite injury concerns, Pollard’s ability to move the chains remains critical for Tennessee.

Will Levis (Titans): The young quarterback will need to minimize mistakes and capitalize on opportunities against Minnesota’s disciplined defense.

Historical Context

Sunday’s game marks the first meeting between the Vikings and Titans since a high-scoring 31-30 Tennessee victory in 2020. The Vikings last played in Nashville during the 2016 season, earning a 25-16 win.

Unlock Your Betting Potential! Sign Up Now.

Game Outlook

The Vikings have shown resilience despite offensive struggles, thanks to a defense capable of shutting down star players like Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin last week. The Titans, however, must find consistency on both sides of the ball to stay competitive.

Prediction: Minnesota’s defense will once again prove decisive, while improved play from Darnold and Jefferson helps the Vikings secure a hard-fought win in Nashville.