The Jets and Vikings will face off at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London at 9:30 ET on Sunday, October 6th. The Vikings are the home team, and the game is being played at a neutral site. The Vikings are favored on the money line at -149 and are -2.5 point favorites. The over/under line is set at 40.5 points, with the Jets at +124 on the money line. This week five non-conference matchup is being televised on NFLN.
New York vs. Minnesota Key Information
- Teams: Jets at Vikings
- Where: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium London
- Date: Sunday, October 6th
- Betting Odds MIN -149 | NYJ +124 O/U 40.5
The Jets Can Win If…
Despite holding a 6-0 lead at halftime, the Jets lost to the Broncos by a score of 10-9, dropping their record to 2-2 for the season. New York was favored by -8 at home but managed only a 3rd quarter field goal and lost 10-9. The combined 19 points was well below the over/under line of 39.5 points.
After the Broncos took a 7-6 lead early in the 3rd quarter, the Jets retook the lead with a 40-yard field goal in the 4th, but a field goal from Denver with 8:59 remaining in the 4th proved to be the final points of the game.
The Jets’ offense struggled in their 10-9 loss to the Broncos, managing only 184 yards passing and 64 yards rushing on 23 attempts. They also allowed five sacks and converted just 23.5% of their third down attempts. Aaron Rodgers, who went 24/42 for 225 yards, led New York in passing but failed to throw any touchdowns. He finished with a passer rating of 72.
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Mike Williams was the top receiver for the Jets, with four catches for 67 yards. Braelon Allen led the team in rushing with 34 yards, averaging 4.2 yards per attempt. The Jets’ inability to find the endzone resulted in a tough, one-point loss to the Broncos.
The Jets’ defense held the Broncos to just 60 yards passing in their most recent game, but still came out with a 10-9 loss. Denver’s only touchdown came on a 55-yard touchdown pass. New York’s defense was tough on third down, allowing just a 21.4% conversion rate, and they didn’t allow a single sack.
Overall, the Jets’ defense limited the Broncos to 126 yards rushing on 31 attempts. They also defended the run well, giving up just 4.1 yards per attempt. Despite their strong performance, the Jets are still looking for their first win of the season.
- New York has put together a record of 2-1 over their past three games. Their strong play has also resulted in an ATS mark of 2-1 (last 3). They had an over/under mark of 0-2-1 in those same games.
- Across New York’s last ten regular season games, their record sits at 5-5. The team’s record vs the spread was just 4-6, in addition to an over-under mark of 4-5-1.
The Vikings Can Win If…
The Vikings improved to 4-0 with a 31-29 win over the Packers, despite a late surge from Green Bay in the 4th quarter. Minnesota jumped out to a 28-0 lead at halftime, with Sam Darnold throwing two touchdown passes in the 1st quarter. Even though the Packers outscored them 22-3 in the 4th quarter, the Vikings did enough to hold on for the win.
Heading into the game, the Vikings were +2.5 point underdogs on the road. The combined 60 points easily surpassed the over/under line of 44 points. With this win, the Vikings are now 4-0 on the season.
The Vikings’ offense put up 465 yards in their 31-29 win over the Packers, with 254 yards coming through the air. Sam Darnold completed 20 of 28 passes for 275 yards and three touchdowns, while Justin Jefferson led the team with 85 receiving yards and a touchdown. Minnesota had 22 first downs and converted 36.4% of their third down chances.
On the ground, the Vikings rushed for 120 yards on 34 attempts. Aaron Jones was the leading rusher in the game, running for 93 yards for the Packers. Despite their offensive success, the Vikings’ defense allowed 465 yards to the Packers.
Despite giving up 379 passing yards to the Packers, the Vikings’ defense came up with three interceptions in their 31-29 win over Green Bay. The Vikings allowed 465 total yards, with 379 of those coming through the air. Even though the Packers had 32 completions, Minnesota held them to a 59.3% completion percentage. The Vikings also forced the Packers into a 33.3% third-down conversion rate.
Minnesota gave up four passing touchdowns in the game and managed just one sack, but they did win the QB hit battle, finishing with a +7 differential in that category.
- Through their last three games, the Vikings have a record of 2-1. This also includes going 2-1 ATS and an over-under mark of 1-2.
- Across Minnesota’s last ten regular season games, their record sits at 4-6. Their record against the spread in this stretch is 4-6 to go along with an over-under mark of 3-7.
The Lean
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Jets to cover as road underdogs in their week five matchup vs. the Vikings. The point spread lines have the Jets at +2.5, and we have the Vikings winning by a score of 25-23.
For the over/under, we are leaning towards taking the over, with a projected combined score of 48 points and the O/U line sitting at 40.5 points.
Sam Darnold Faces Former Club as Vikings, Jets Head to London
Sam Darnold will take center stage as the Minnesota Vikings face off against the New York Jets in London on Sunday. The 27-year-old quarterback, who is enjoying a career resurgence with the Vikings, will meet his former team for the first time since leaving New York. Despite the significance of the matchup, Darnold remains focused on the present rather than reflecting on his time with the Jets.
Darnold’s Resurgence with Minnesota
Darnold, who was selected third overall by the Jets in the 2018 NFL Draft, is now thriving in Minnesota. Through the first four games of the season, Darnold has thrown for 932 yards, 11 touchdowns, and three interceptions. He currently leads the league in both touchdown passes and passer rating (118.9).
Reflecting on his time in New York, Darnold was humble, stating, “I had a lot of opportunities in New York, and I always felt like I could’ve played better there.” However, he insists that this game is not about revenge, adding, “I’m not really thinking about that, to be honest. A lot of new faces over there.”
Aaron Rodgers Leads the Jets
On the opposite sideline will be Aaron Rodgers, in his second season with the Jets. Rodgers, who spent 18 seasons with Green Bay and has plenty of experience against Minnesota, will play his 30th game against the Vikings. Over his career, Rodgers has amassed 7,157 yards, 57 touchdowns, and just eight interceptions in matchups against Minnesota.
This season, Rodgers has had mixed results, throwing for 849 yards, five touchdowns, and one interception. A knee injury has limited his practice participation this week, with Rodgers admitting,
“I’m feeling a little banged up. Knee is a little swollen.” If Rodgers is less than 100%, the Jets may rely more on their running game.
Ground Game Battle
Both teams boast strong rushing attacks. The Jets will look to Breece Hall, who has rushed for 174 yards and two touchdowns this season. He will be complemented by rookie Braelon Allen, who has contributed 130 yards and one touchdown.
Meanwhile, the Vikings’ run game is powered by Aaron Jones, Rodgers’ former Green Bay teammate. Jones has rushed for 321 yards and a touchdown while also making an impact in the passing game with 143 receiving yards and another score.
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Injury Report and Team Updates
For the Jets, offensive tackle Morgan Moses is dealing with a knee injury and is expected to miss at least one more week. Rodgers has been limited in practice due to his knee, but the expectation is that he will play.
On the Vikings’ side, cornerback Akayleb Evans missed practice due to illness, but the team is hopeful he will be ready by Sunday. Minnesota’s defense is led by Patrick Jones II, who has five sacks this season, and Jonathan Greenard, who has four.
The Jets’ pass rush has been spearheaded by rookie Will McDonald IV, who leads the team with five sacks. Solomon Thomas and Michael Clemons each have 1.5 sacks.
London Showdown History
The game will be held at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in north London, where the Vikings will serve as the host team. The Vikings have a perfect 3-0 record in London, with their most recent victory in 2022 against the New Orleans Saints, a 28-25 thriller.
The Jets are 1-1 in their London outings, having beaten the Miami Dolphins in 2015 but losing to the Atlanta Falcons in 2021.
Key Matchup
All eyes will be on the quarterback battle between Darnold and Rodgers. Darnold, looking to continue his impressive start with the Vikings, will have the opportunity to shine on the international stage, while Rodgers aims to guide the Jets to a winning record and solidify their playoff hopes.
With both teams hungry for a victory and looking to strengthen their positions in their respective divisions, Sunday’s game promises to be an intense and exciting matchup.