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Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars March 16th 2025
Betting on today’s Stars and Avalanche game? Catch the action at Ball Arena in Denver, CO, as the Avalanche hosts this showdown at 3:30 ET on TNT. The over/under for this Central division contest is set at 6 goals, with the Avalanche being favored by -1.5 at home against the Stars.
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Dallas vs. Colorado Key Information
- Teams: Stars at Avalanche
- Where: Ball Arena Denver
- Date: Sunday, March 16th
- Betting Odds COL -137 | DAL +117 O/U 6
The Stars Can Win If…
Dallas fell to 42-21-2 with a 4-2 road loss to the Panthers. The Stars trailed 2-0 before tying it up, but Florida pulled ahead with two more goals. Dallas was the underdog on the puck line, and the total was set at 6.5 goals, with the combined 6 falling just short.
Evgenii Dadonov put the Stars on the board in the second period, and Matt Duchene added another to even the score. However, the Panthers responded with two more goals, including an empty-netter, to seal the win.
Dallas fired 25 shots on goal but only found the net twice in their 4-2 loss to Florida. Evgenii Dadonov scored his second goal of the season, while Matt Duchene added his seventh. Duchene also picked up his eighth assist on Dadonov’s power-play goal.
Miro Heiskanen recorded his fourth assist of the season, and Thomas Harley added his fifth. The Stars were held scoreless in the first and third periods, with both of their goals coming in the second.
Dallas’ defense gave up the first two goals of the game and allowed two more in the 3rd period, including an empty-netter at the 19:00 mark. Casey DeSmith made 21 saves with a save percentage of 87.5%.
- Through their last three regular season contests, Dallas has a record of 1-2. They have held up well vs the puck line in these matchups, going 2-1 as well as an over-under record of 1-2.
- Dallas has put together a record of 7-3 in their last ten games (regular season). Their record vs the puck line sits at 5-5 in these matchups, while posting a 7-3 over-under mark.
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The Avalanche Can Win If…
After a 5-2 loss to the Predators, the Avalanche’s record dropped to 40-24-3. Colorado was the underdog on the puck line, and the total of 7 goals surpassed the pre-game line of 6.5.
The Avalanche held a 1-0 lead early in the second period, but Nashville responded with five unanswered goals. Colorado’s defense struggled in the third period, allowing three goals, including two empty-netters.
In their 5-2 loss to the Predators, the Avalanche fired 30 shots on goal but only found the net twice. Cale Makar opened the scoring with his 5th goal of the season on a power play, while Nathan MacKinnon added his 6th goal late in the third period. Makar also picked up his 16th assist, and MacKinnon notched his 14th assist on Makar’s goal.
Despite the offensive effort, Colorado was held scoreless in the first period and managed just two goals, one in the second period and another with 2:17 remaining in the game. The Avalanche recorded 23 giveaways in the contest.
Colorado’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 5 goals to the Predators. They held a 1-0 lead in the 2nd period, but Nashville scored twice late in the 2nd and added three more in the 3rd. Two of those goals were empty-netters, and the Avalanche also allowed two power-play goals. Justus Annunen made 21 saves with an 87.5% save percentage.
- The Avalanche have posted a 2-1 record in their previous three games. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 2-1. Their over-under record in these games was 1-2.
- Through their last ten regular season contests, Colorado has a record of 7-3. Across these games, their puck line record was just 7-3, while posting an over-under record of 5-5.
The Lean
If you’re looking for a moneyline pick, my choice is the Avalanche to take down the Stars at home. With the moneyline currently at -137, I’m placing my bet on the Avalanche straight-up.
For a puck line pick, we are going with the Avalanche to win and cover. Look for the Avalanche to win this one by multiple goals over the Stars.
With an over/under line sitting at 6 goals, we like this game to surpass that mark and recommend getting a bet down on the over.
From Faceoff to Final Buzzer!
NHL Betting Tips
Avalanche and Stars Battle for Crucial Playoff Position
Colorado Avalanche Look to Continue Surge
As the race for home-ice advantage in the Stanley Cup Playoffs heats up, the Colorado Avalanche have significantly closed the gap on the Dallas Stars for second place in the NHL Central Division. A win Sunday afternoon in Denver against Dallas would pull Colorado even closer.
The Avalanche enter this critical matchup on an impressive run, going 7-0-1 over their last eight games. They trail the Stars by just three points, although they’ve played two more games. With 15 games remaining for Colorado and 17 for Dallas, every point becomes essential.
Forward Parker Kelly highlighted the team’s mindset after their recent 4-2 victory over the Calgary Flames:
“Just one game at a time. You don’t want to look too far in advance, and you don’t want to dwell if things aren’t going well.”
Dallas Stars Aim for Rebound After Recent Losses
Dallas enters Sunday’s crucial contest having lost two of their last three games, most recently falling 4-1 against the first-place Winnipeg Jets. Despite adding high-scoring winger Mikko Rantanen at the trade deadline, the Stars have struggled to consistently generate offense in recent outings.
Coach Peter DeBoer sees recent setbacks as valuable learning experiences:
“We’re learning about ourselves, we’re learning about the best teams in the conference and what we have to do to compete.”
Trade Deadline Impact
Both teams made significant moves at the trade deadline. Colorado added depth by acquiring centers Brock Nelson, Charlie Coyle, and Jack Drury. These moves have given the Avalanche renewed confidence heading into the playoff stretch.
Goalie Scott Wedgewood emphasized the positive impact these additions had on team morale:
“Management showed they had faith in us with what they did at the deadline… It really turned the tide to a full confidence boost around the room.”
Players to Watch
For Colorado, Parker Kelly and Mikko Rantanen are pivotal players to watch, along with goalie Scott Wedgewood. Dallas will lean heavily on newly acquired Mikko Rantanen, captain Jamie Benn, and goalie Jake Oettinger as they attempt to solidify their playoff positioning.
Head-to-Head Insights
Sunday’s game is the deciding matchup of their three-game season series, with each team having claimed one victory so far. With playoff positioning on the line, expect intense competition.
Betting Odds and Expert Predictions
Stay informed by reviewing our comprehensive expert betting guide, updated Stanley Cup odds, and detailed insights into the NHL Central Division race.
