Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins Picks and Predictions April 5th 2025

Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins April 5th 2025

Don’t miss out on the NHL showdown between the Penguins and Stars. The game is starting at 3:00 ET on ABC, and it’s hosted by the Stars at American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this game is set at 6 goals, and the Stars are favored by -1.5 vs. the Penguins in a non-conference matchup.

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Pittsburgh vs. Dallas Key Information

• Teams: Penguins at Stars
• Where: American Airlines Center Dallas
• Date: Saturday, April 5th
• Betting Odds DAL -297 | PIT +244 O/U 6

The Penguins Can Win If…

With a 3-1 win over the Canadiens, the Penguins improved to 30-35-12. Pittsburgh covered the puck line as -1.5 goal favorites, and the total of 4 goals fell short of the 6.5-goal line.

Sidney Crosby led the scoring with two goals, while Blake Lizotte added an empty-netter in the third period. The Penguins kept the Canadiens scoreless until 5:32 into the third period.

In their 3-1 win over the Canadiens, the Penguins’ offense was led by Sidney Crosby, who scored twice. Crosby’s first goal came at 15:57 in the first period, followed by his second at 1:20 in the second, marking his fifth goal of the season. Blake Lizotte added an empty-netter, his second goal of the year, at 19:15 in the third period.

The Penguins took 24 shots on goal and recorded 14 giveaways. They scored their second goal on a power play, with Kris Letang earning his third assist of the season and Erik Karlsson picking up his seventh.

Defensively, the Penguins will look to carry over their performance from their previous game, where they allowed just one goal to the Canadiens. Alex Nedeljkovic made 25 saves and posted a 96.2% save percentage, while the defense added 5 takeaways and 19 hits. The only goal they allowed came 5:32 into the 3rd period.

• Over their last three regular season games, the Penguins have gone 1-2 straight up. This also includes going 2-1 ATS, and posting an over-under record of 2-1.
• Across Pittsburgh’s last ten regular season games, their record sits at 5-5. Their record against the puck line in this stretch is 7-3 to go along with an over-under mark of 7-2-1.

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The Stars Can Win If…

The Stars fell to the Panthers 4-2, bringing their record to 50-21-4. Dallas, as the underdog on the puck line, failed to cover. The total was set at 6.5 goals, and the combined score of 6 fell short of that mark.

After trailing 2-0, the Stars tied it up with two goals in the second period. However, the Panthers regained the lead in the third and sealed the game with an empty-net goal.

Dallas took 25 shots on goal in their 4-2 loss to the Panthers, finding the net twice in the second period. Evgenii Dadonov scored his second goal of the season, while Matt Duchene added his seventh. Duchene also picked up his eighth assist on Dadonov’s power-play goal.

Wyatt Johnston recorded his fifth assist, and Miro Heiskanen added his fourth. Thomas Harley contributed with his fifth assist of the season. The Stars had 32 giveaways in the game.

Dallas’ defense gave up the first two goals of the game and two more in the 3rd period, including an empty-netter at 19:00, leading to a 4-2 defeat. Casey DeSmith made 21 saves with an 87.5% save percentage, while the defense added 5 takeaways and 26 hits.

• Over their last three games, the Stars have gone 3-0 straight up. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 3-0. Their over-under record in these games was 0-2-1.
• Through their last ten regular season contests, Dallas has a record of 8-2. Across these games, their puck line record was just 7-3, while posting an over-under record of 4-5-1.

The Lean

When it comes to a moneyline bet in this game, our analysis leans towards the Stars picking up the win. However, given the current odds of -297, I’d advise going with the puck line, as our predictions have the Stars coming out on top by more than one goal.

When it comes to a puck line pick, our choice is the Stars to secure the win and cover. Expect the Stars to dominate this one with a multi-goal win over the Penguins.

When considering the over/under line, which is currently at 6 goals, we believe that this game will go over that threshold, and we recommend wagering on the over.

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Stars Eye Franchise Win Streak Record in Showdown With Penguins

The Dallas Stars are one win away from tying a franchise record, and they’ll look to do it Saturday afternoon at home against the struggling Pittsburgh Penguins.

Dallas (50-21-4, 104 points) has ripped off seven straight victories—their second such streak this season—and now sits within four points of the Winnipeg Jets atop the Central Division. They also carry a 10-game overall point streak (8-0-2) and an impressive 12-game home point streak (11-0-1), their longest since the 2010-11 season.

Fueling the surge has been 20-year-old Wyatt Johnston, who has scored in six consecutive games. His 31 goals trail only Jason Robertson (33) for the team lead, and he also found the back of the net during Dallas’ 7-1 blowout win in Pittsburgh on Nov. 11.

“Once we start playing the right way, we can roll four lines and we’re deadly… It’s awesome when you can trust all four going out,”

– Stars forward Mason Marchment on the team’s depth and chemistry.

The Stars overwhelmed Nashville 5-1 on Thursday, scoring all five goals during a 13-minute stretch after a sluggish start. Marchment continued his dominance against the Predators with a goal and an assist, while Roope Hintz, Mikael Granlund, and rookie defenseman Lian Bichsel also added goals.

Dallas played without captain Jamie Benn, who missed his first game in 371 due to what coach Peter DeBoer called “maintenance.” The Stars didn’t skip a beat.

“Jamie’s obviously the guy, but we’ve got a lot of layers of leadership underneath that you see when he’s not around,”

– Head coach Peter DeBoer on Dallas’ locker room depth without Benn.

Meanwhile, the Penguins (30-34-12, 72 points) are fading fast. They’ve lost four of their last five and four in a row on the road. In Thursday’s 5-4 overtime loss to the red-hot Blues, Pittsburgh squandered a late lead, allowing St. Louis to tie the franchise record with their 11th straight win.

There were a few bright spots—Bryan Rust scored his fifth goal in seven games, and rookie Rutger McGroarty netted his first NHL goal late in the third—but the Penguins’ defensive lapses continue to cost them. Sidney Crosby remains the team’s anchor, riding an 11-game point streak (eight goals, eight assists).

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For a Dallas team firing on all cylinders, Saturday presents a chance to match a franchise-best eight-game winning streak and continue solidifying their playoff position. For Pittsburgh, it’s a shot to regain pride and salvage something down the stretch.

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