Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens Picks and Predictions November 9th 2024

Maple Leafs vs Canadiens NHL Sat, Nov 9, 19:00 pm.
Maple Leafs
ML: -210
0
0
Canadiens
ML: 175

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Don’t miss out on the NHL showdown between the Canadiens and Maple Leafs. The game is starting at 7:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under goal line for this matchup is currently at 6.5 goals, and the Maple Leafs are favored by -1.5 vs. the Canadiens.

Montreal vs. Toronto Key Information

  • Teams: Canadiens at Maple Leafs
  • Where: Scotiabank Arena Toronto
  • Date: Saturday, November 9th
  • Betting Odds TOR -212 | MON +177 O/U 6.5

The Canadiens Can Win If…

After a 3-1 loss to the Penguins, the Canadiens’ record dropped to 4-8-2. Montreal entered the game as underdogs on the puck line, with the total set at 6.5 goals. The combined 4 goals fell short of that mark.

Montreal’s lone goal came in the third period, narrowing the deficit to 2-1 before Pittsburgh added an empty-netter. The Canadiens’ defense struggled, allowing the first goal just 4:03 into the game.

Montreal fired 26 shots on goal but only found the net once in their 3-1 loss to Pittsburgh. Christian Dvorak scored his first goal of the season, while Emil Heineman picked up his first assist and Juraj Slafkovsky added his seventh.

The Canadiens were held scoreless until the 3rd period and recorded 20 giveaways in the game.

Defensively, Montreal gave up the first two goals of the game and a late empty-netter, leading to a 3-1 loss. Sam Montembeault made 21 saves with a 91.3% save percentage, while the defense added 4 takeaways and 28 hits. The Canadiens also had 13 penalty minutes, one of which led to a Penguins power-play goal.

  • Across Montreal’s last three regular season games, their record sits at 0-3. Their record against the puck line in this stretch is 1-2 to go along with an over-under mark of 1-2.
  • Montreal has put together a record of 2-8 in their last ten games (regular season). In these matchups, they ended with an puck line record of 4-6 and an over-under mark of 7-3.

The Maple Leafs Can Win If…

Toronto’s record dropped to 8-5-2 following a 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild. The Maple Leafs were the underdogs on the puck line, and the total was set at 6 goals, but the teams combined for just 3.

After the Wild scored first, William Nylander tied it up with a goal at 19:08 in the first period. Minnesota secured the win with a goal at 2:14 in overtime.

Despite firing 28 shots on goal, the Maple Leafs managed just one score in their 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild. William Nylander netted his 9th goal of the season, with Auston Matthews picking up his 6th assist and Mitchell Marner adding his 12th. Toronto’s lone goal came on a power play, as they ended the game with 10 giveaways.

Nylander’s goal came at the 19:08 mark of the first period, following the Wild’s opening score. The Leafs were then held scoreless through the second and third periods, as well as overtime.

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Toronto’s defense gave up the first goal at 9:41 in the 1st period and the game-winner at 2:14 into overtime. Anthony Stolarz made 31 saves with a 93.9% save percentage. The Maple Leafs’ defense finished with 2 takeaways and 30 hits.

  • Toronto has put together a record of 2-1 over their past three games. In these games, they have a 3-0 record vs the puck line and an over-under mark of 0-3.
  • Across Toronto’s last ten regular season games, their record sits at 5-5. Against the spread, Toronto went 6-4 in these games and finished with an over-under mark of 4-4-2.

The Lean

To those searching for a pure moneyline wager, the Maple Leafs is the clear pick. Still, with a payout of -212, it’s worth thinking about including this bet in a parlay.

If you’re looking for a puck line bet, I’d suggest going with the Canadiens to cover. Even in the event of a Maple Leafs victory, this game is expected to be closely fought, and the Canadiens should cover the puck line.

If you’re looking at the over/under line set at 6.5 goals, our prediction is that this game will exceed that mark, and we strongly advise placing a bet on the over.

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
Fri, Nov 8, 22:23 pm.
spread
moneyline
over/under
Maple Leafs
-1.5
120
-210
O 6
-120
Canadiens
+1.5
-140
175
U 6
100
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