New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Picks and Predictions March 20th 2025

New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs March 20th 2025

Don’t miss out on the NHL showdown between the Maple Leafs and Rangers. The game is starting at 7:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Rangers at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY. Get ready to place your bets! The odds for this Eastern conference game currently have the Rangers as the -1.5 goal favorite with the over/under line sitting at 5.5 goals.

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Toronto vs. New York Key Information

• Teams: Maple Leafs at Rangers
• Where: Madison Square Garden New York
• Date: Thursday, March 20th
• Betting Odds NYR -123 | TOR +102 O/U 5.5

The Maple Leafs Can Win If…

Toronto dropped to 41-24-3 after a 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild. The Maple Leafs trailed early, giving up a goal at 9:41 in the first period, but William Nylander tied it with just 52 seconds left in the period. The game remained scoreless until the Wild netted the winner at 2:14 in overtime.

As underdogs on the puck line, Toronto failed to cover. The total was set at 6 goals, but the teams combined for just 3. All of the game’s scoring took place after the 9:41 mark in the first period.

William Nylander netted his 9th goal of the season, scoring on a power play at 19:08 in the 1st period. The Maple Leafs fired 28 shots on goal but were held to just one score in their 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild.

Auston Matthews picked up his 6th assist of the season, while Mitchell Marner added his 12th assist on Nylander’s goal. Toronto had 10 giveaways in the game.

Defensively, the Maple Leafs gave up the first goal at 9:41 in the first period and the game-winner at 2:14 in overtime. Anthony Stolarz recorded 31 saves with a 93.9% save percentage, and the defense added 2 takeaways and 30 hits.

• Over their last three games, the Maple Leafs have gone 2-1 straight up. Their strong play has also resulted in an puck line mark of 2-1 (last 3). They had an over/under mark of 1-1-1 in those same games.
• Across Toronto’s last ten regular season games, their record sits at 5-5. In these contests, the team went just 3-7 against the spread, while going 5-4-1 on the over-under.

The Rangers Can Win If…

The Rangers improved to 33-30-6 with a 5-2 win over the Islanders. Entering the game as -1.5 goal favorites, the Rangers covered the puck line with ease. The total was set at 6 goals, and the combined 7 goals pushed the game over the line.

Four different players contributed to the Rangers’ scoring, with Artemi Panarin leading the way with two goals. The Rangers built a 2-0 lead before the Islanders got on the board, and they scored again to make it 3-1. The Islanders cut the lead to 3-2, but the Rangers added two more goals to secure the win.

In their 5-2 win over the Islanders, the Rangers fired 40 shots on goal, scoring five times. Artemi Panarin led the way with his 9th goal of the season, which came on an empty net, and his 8th, which was a power-play goal. Adam Edstrom added his first goal of the season.

Chris Kreider opened the scoring with his 8th goal, coming on a shorthanded play, while Vincent Trocheck netted his 4th. Mika Zibanejad contributed with three assists, bringing his season total to 8.

Defensively, the Rangers will look to carry over their third-period performance against the Islanders, where they allowed no goals. Igor Shesterkin made 35 saves with a 94.6% save percentage. The Rangers also had 10 takeaways and 19 hits.

• The Rangers have gone 1-2 over their last three regular season games. Their record vs the puck line sits at 1-2 in these matchups, while posting a 0-3 over-under mark.
• New York has put together a record of 4-6 in their last ten games (regular season). Their record vs the puck line sits at 6-4 in these matchups, while posting a 2-8 over-under mark.

The Lean

When it comes to a moneyline wager, I’m going with the Rangers to defeat the Maple Leafs while playing at home. Given the current moneyline odds at -123, I’m placing a wager on the Rangers to win outright.

When it comes to my suggested pick for the puck line, I’d advise taking the Maple Leafs to cover. Even in the event of a Rangers victory, this matchup is likely to remain closely contested, and the Maple Leafs should cover the puck line.

If you’re looking at the over/under line set at 5.5 goals, our prediction is that this game will exceed that mark, and we strongly advise placing a bet on the over.

Rangers Look to Find Spark vs. Maple Leafs

The New York Rangers will attempt to bounce back from an uninspired performance when they host the Toronto Maple Leafs on Thursday night.

Rangers Struggling to Find Consistency

The Rangers (33-30-6, 72 points) are 2-4-2 over their past eight contests and have lost four straight home games (0-3-1). Their latest setback was a frustrating 2-1 loss to the Calgary Flames on Tuesday, in which they managed just 13 shots on goal, their lowest total of the season.

Artemi Panarin provided an early spark by scoring 1:13 into the game, extending his point streak to 10 games. However, the Rangers failed to generate much offense afterward, missing the net 22 times and turning the puck over 20 times.

With 13 games left in the season, the Rangers are battling in a tight Eastern Conference wild-card race. They trail the Montreal Canadiens by one point for the final wild-card spot, though the Canadiens have two games in hand. The Rangers also lead the Islanders, Blue Jackets, and Red Wings by just two points in a crowded playoff chase.

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Maple Leafs Seeking Another Key Win

Toronto (41-24-3, 85 points) arrives in New York looking for back-to-back victories after a gritty 2-1 home win over the Colorado Avalanche. Captain Auston Matthews continued his strong play with a power-play goal, while goalie Joseph Woll stopped 38 shots to secure the win.

The Maple Leafs have struggled offensively in recent weeks, scoring two or fewer goals in five of their past eight games (3-4-1). However, their power play has been a bright spot, with Matthews tallying four power-play goals in his past nine games.

Toronto has also fared well against the Rangers recently, winning the most recent meeting at Madison Square Garden, 3-2, on Feb. 28. That game saw Matthew Knies score the go-ahead goal in the third period after a costly mistake by Rangers goalie Igor Shesterkin.

For a full breakdown and expert analysis, check out our NHL Predictions page for the latest picks and insights.