Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators Picks and Predictions March 11th 2025

Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators NHL Tue, Mar 11, 18:00 pm.
Philadelphia Flyers
ML: 100
0
0
Ottawa Senators
ML: -120

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Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators March 11th 2025

Looking to win big? The Senators and Flyers face off at 7:00 ET on NBCS. The Flyers are hosting the game at Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA. In this Eastern matchup, the Senators are favored by -1.5 goals against the Flyers. The over/under for the game is 5.5 goals.

Ottawa vs. Philadelphia Key Information

  • Teams: Senators at Flyers
  • Where: Wells Fargo Center Philadelphia
  • Date: Tuesday, March 11th
  • Betting Odds OTT -120 | PHI -102 O/U 5.5

The Senators Can Win If…

Ottawa improved to 33-25-5 with a 3-0 win over the Kraken. The Senators covered the puck line as -1.5 goal favorites, and the total of 6.5 goals was never threatened, with the teams combining for just 3 goals.

All three of Ottawa’s goals came from different players. Adam Gaudette opened the scoring at 5:28 in the first period, and Brady Tkachuk added another goal in the second. Tim Stützle sealed the win with an empty-netter in the third.

Ottawa’s offense found the net three times in their 3-0 win over Seattle. Adam Gaudette opened the scoring with his 7th goal of the season, while Brady Tkachuk followed with his 7th as well. Tim Stützle added an empty-netter, his 6th goal of the year.

The Senators took 23 shots on goal and recorded 11 giveaways. They didn’t score on the power play, but picked up five assists, including Tim Stützle’s 10th of the season on Tkachuk’s goal.

Defensively, the Senators were rock solid, shutting out the Kraken in a 3-0 win. Anton Forsberg made 22 saves with a 100% save percentage. The defense also contributed 2 takeaways and 25 hits.

  • Through their last three games, the Senators have a record of 3-0. However, they have only gone 0-3 vs. the puck line over this stretch. Their over-under record in these three games was 2-1.
  • Over their last ten regular season games, the Senators have gone 4-6 straight up. This includes going 3-7 vs. the puck line along with an over-under mark of 8-2.

The Flyers Can Win If…

Following a 3-0 road loss to the Bruins, the Flyers now sit at 27-30-8. Philadelphia’s defense allowed goals in each period, with the Bruins adding the final goal into an empty net.

The total for the game was set at 6.5 goals, but the combined score reached only 3. As underdogs on the puck line, the Flyers failed to cover.

Philadelphia was shut out in their 3-0 loss to Boston, managing 20 shots on goal but failing to find the net. The Flyers struggled with possession, committing 15 giveaways.

Philadelphia was held scoreless in all three periods, with none of their players registering a goal or assist.

Defensively, the Flyers will look to improve after allowing three goals to the Bruins, including the opening goal at 6:32 in the first period and another at 11:23 in the second. Boston added an empty-netter late in the third. Samuel Ersson made 8 saves with a 100% save percentage, while the Flyers’ defense recorded 5 takeaways and 30 hits.

  • Over their last three regular season games, the Flyers have gone 0-3 straight up. In these matchups, they ended with an puck line record of 0-3 and an over-under mark of 0-3.
  • Philadelphia has put together a record of 4-6 in their last ten games (regular season). Across these games, their puck line record was just 5-5, while posting an over-under record of 5-5.

The Lean

If you’re looking for a moneyline pick, my choice is the Senators to take down the Flyers on the road. With the moneyline currently at -120, I’m placing my bet on the Senators straight-up.

If you’re looking for a puck line bet, I’d suggest going with the Flyers to cover. Even in the event of a Senators victory, this game is expected to be closely fought, and the Flyers should cover the puck line.

If you’re looking at the over/under line set at 5.5 goals, our prediction is that this game will exceed that mark, and we strongly advise placing a bet on the over.

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Senators Aim to Keep Momentum Going Against Reeling Flyers

The Ottawa Senators are heating up at just the right time. Riding a four-game winning streak and an impressive 4-0-1 run in their last five games, they’ll look to keep the momentum going when they visit the slumping Philadelphia Flyers on Tuesday night.

On the other side, Philadelphia is trending in the wrong direction, having lost four straight games while struggling to generate offense. With the playoffs slipping further out of reach, the Flyers desperately need to turn things around before it’s too late.

Senators Surging After Early-Season Struggles

Ottawa’s resurgence continued Monday night with a 2-1 win over the Detroit Red Wings. The Senators had lost five straight before their recent hot streak, but they’re now finding their groove just in time for the playoff push.

Goaltender Linus Ullmark was the star of the night, making a season-high 48 saves, including a whopping 27 stops in the second period alone.

However, despite the win, Ullmark wasn’t entirely pleased with the team’s performance.

“It was just a chaotic game,” Ullmark said. “I’m pretty sure we have to look at ourselves in the mirror and say, ‘That wasn’t good enough.’ We have to be honest with each other. That’s not a sustainable type of game to play.”

With Ottawa playing on back-to-back nights, Ullmark might get a well-deserved rest, meaning Anton Forsberg could get the start against Philadelphia.

Dylan Cozens Making Immediate Impact

One of the biggest storylines in Ottawa has been Dylan Cozens’ arrival. The former Buffalo Sabres forward scored his first goal as a Senator on Monday, delivering the game-winner on a power play.

“I just couldn’t be happier to be here and to be a part of this team,” Cozens said.

As the trade deadline addition continues to settle in, Ottawa’s depth is becoming even stronger—a promising sign for a team still within reach of a wild-card playoff spot.

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Flyers’ Playoff Hopes Fading Fast

While the Senators are building momentum, the Flyers’ season is unraveling. Philadelphia has lost four straight games after a brief 4-0-1 stretch, and offense has been a major concern.

Over their last four games, the Flyers have scored just six total goals—including only three goals in their last three games.

Forward Ryan Poehling didn’t mince words after Sunday’s 3-1 loss to the New Jersey Devils.

“It (stinks), there’s no hiding about that,” Poehling said. “I think there’s no time to feel sorry for yourself. It’s definitely a gut check.”

Philadelphia was nearly shut out against New Jersey before Jamie Drysdale finally found the back of the net late in the game.

With upcoming home games against the Tampa Bay Lightning and Carolina Hurricanes, followed by a brutal five-game road trip, the Flyers need to snap this losing streak now before their playoff hopes completely fade away.

Key Flyers in Goal Droughts

Several of Philadelphia’s top offensive players have gone cold at the worst possible time:

  • Travis Konecny leads the Flyers with 22 goals, but he hasn’t scored in over a month.
  • Owen Tippett has managed just one point in five games this month.
  • Sean Couturier has just two goals in his last 18 games.

“We got a couple chances,” Couturier said after Sunday’s loss. “It was a tight game out there. They got their bounces. We didn’t.”

If Philadelphia is going to stop the skid, its top forwards need to start producing.

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Head-to-Head: Senators vs. Flyers

This is the second of three meetings this season between Ottawa and Philadelphia.

  • Last Meeting (Nov. 14, 2023): Flyers edged the Senators 5-4 in overtime, with Matvei Michkov netting the game-winner.
  • Final Meeting: The teams will face off again in Ottawa on April 13.

With both teams treating every game like a playoff battle, expect a high-intensity, physical contest as they fight for two crucial points.

Dylan Cozens on Ottawa’s Mindset:

“Every game the rest of the year is a huge game. We’ve got to bring our best every game,” Cozens said.

“Every game matters a lot. We’re playing every game like it’s a playoff game right now. It’s a lot of fun.”

Final Thoughts: Who Has More to Prove?

Both teams enter Tuesday’s game with plenty on the line:

  • Ottawa is riding a four-game win streak and wants to stay hot in the wild-card chase.
  • Philadelphia is on a four-game losing streak and must find a way to score before their season slips away.

With the Flyers desperate for a win and the Senators looking to keep rolling, this should be a high-energy, must-watch battle in Philadelphia.

Puck drops Tuesday night at Wells Fargo Center.

20
WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
Mon, Mar 10, 17:55 pm.
spread
moneyline
over/under
Philadelphia Flyers
+1.5
-240
100
O 6
100
Ottawa Senators
-1.5
200
-120
U 6
-120
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