Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Picks and Predictions March 13th 2025

Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning March 13th 2025

Don’t miss out on the NHL showdown between the Lightning and Flyers. The game is starting at 7:00 ET on NBCS, and it’s hosted by the Flyers at Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA. Get ready to place your bets! In this Eastern matchup, the Lightning are favored by -1.5 goals against the Flyers. The over/under for the game is 5.5 goals.

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Tampa Bay vs. Philadelphia Key Information

• Teams: Lightning at Flyers
• Where: Wells Fargo Center Philadelphia
• Date: Thursday, March 13th
• Betting Odds TB -172 | PHI +142 O/U 5.5

The Lightning Can Win If…

The Lightning’s defense struggled in their recent 7-4 road loss to the Jets. Tampa Bay held a 2-0 lead early, but the Jets responded with seven of the next nine goals. The total for the game was set at 6.5 goals, but the teams combined for 11, moving the Lightning to 37-23-4 this season.

Tampa Bay was the underdog on the puck line, and their defense allowed two empty-net goals in the third period. Four different Lightning players scored in the game.

In their 7-4 loss to the Jets, Tampa Bay’s offense put 30 shots on goal and scored four times. Brandon Hagel opened the scoring with his 7th goal of the season, while Brayden Point followed with his 8th, which came on a power play. Mitchell Chaffee added his 4th goal, and Nikita Kucherov netted his 10th.

The Lightning had 8 giveaways and recorded 4 assists in the game. Jake Guentzel picked up his 8th assist, while Nick Paul added his 7th. Victor Hedman and Kucherov each earned their 10th assist on Point’s power-play goal.

Defensively, the Lightning struggled late, giving up three goals in the 3rd period, including two empty-netters. Goalie Jonas Johansson made 27 saves with an 84.4% save percentage. Tampa Bay’s defense also had 6 takeaways and 16 hits.

• Tampa Bay has put together a record of 1-2 in their last three games (regular season). Their record vs the puck line sits at 0-3 in these matchups, while posting a 1-2 over-under mark.
• Over their last ten regular season games, the Lightning have gone 7-3 straight up. In these contests, the team went just 7-3 against the spread, while going 3-7 on the over-under.

The Flyers Can Win If…

Following a 3-0 loss to the Bruins, the Flyers are now 27-31-8 this season. Philadelphia’s defense allowed a goal in each period, with the Bruins adding an empty-netter late in the third.

Going into the game, the total was set at 6.5 goals, but the teams combined for just 3. The Flyers, as underdogs on the puck line, failed to cover.

The Flyers were shut out in their latest game, managing 20 shots on goal but failing to find the net. They recorded 15 giveaways, which hampered their offensive efforts.

Philadelphia was held scoreless through all three periods, marking the game with 0 goals and 0 assists.

Defensively, the Flyers gave up the first goal at 13:28 into the first period and another at 11:23 in the second. They also allowed an empty-netter late in the third, leading to a 3-0 loss. Samuel Ersson made 8 saves with a 100% save percentage, while the defense had 5 takeaways and 30 hits.

• Through their last three regular season contests, Philadelphia has a record of 0-3. The team’s record vs the puck line was just 0-3, in addition to an over-under mark of 1-2.
• Over their last ten regular season games, the Flyers have gone 4-6 straight up. Against the spread, Philadelphia went 4-6 in these games and finished with an over-under mark of 5-5.

The Lean

If you’re interested in a pure moneyline wager, then the Lightning is the preferred option. However, with a payout of -172, it might be worth considering this bet as a component of a larger parlay.

If you’re looking for a puck line bet, I’d suggest going with the Flyers to cover. Even in the event of a Lightning victory, this game is expected to be closely fought, and the Flyers should cover the puck line.

With an over/under line sitting at 5.5 goals, we like this game to surpass that mark and recommend getting a bet down on the over.

Lightning Seek Redemption Against Slumping Flyers

The Tampa Bay Lightning are looking for a turnaround after a rough couple of games, and their upcoming matchup against the struggling Philadelphia Flyers presents the perfect opportunity. While the Lightning aim to avoid a third consecutive loss, the Flyers are desperate to end their own five-game skid in what promises to be an intense battle on Thursday night.

Tampa Bay Struggles After Red-Hot Stretch

After winning 10 of 11 games, the Lightning have hit a roadblock, suffering consecutive losses to Boston and Carolina while being outscored 8-1. Their most recent defeat, a 4-1 loss to the Hurricanes, saw them fall behind early and struggle to recover.

Captain Victor Hedman acknowledged the challenges, emphasizing that playing a full 60-minute game is essential, especially against top-tier teams like Carolina. Turnovers have been a major issue for Tampa Bay, consistently putting goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy under pressure.

Beyond the losing streak, the Lightning received another blow when star forward Nikita Kucherov exited Tuesday’s game after the second period and did not return. Head coach Jon Cooper did not provide an update postgame, leaving his availability against the Flyers uncertain.

Playoff Positioning Adds Pressure for Lightning

With the postseason approaching, Tampa Bay knows that every game carries weight. While they remain in playoff contention, Hedman stressed the importance of securing as many wins as possible to ensure a favorable position. The Atlantic Division remains highly competitive, and any further slip-ups could cost them in the long run.

The Lightning have been dominant offensively for much of the season, but their recent inability to finish scoring opportunities has been alarming. If Kucherov is sidelined, Tampa Bay will need other offensive leaders like Steven Stamkos and Brayden Point to step up and provide the necessary firepower.

Flyers’ Free Fall Continues

The Flyers, meanwhile, find themselves in the midst of a disastrous stretch, losing the first five games of their seven-game homestand. Tuesday’s 5-2 defeat against the Ottawa Senators further underscored their struggles, with the team managing just eight goals during their five-game skid.

Frustration is mounting in Philadelphia. Defenseman Nick Seeler acknowledged the team’s effort against Ottawa but pointed out critical lapses, particularly in the second period, where the Flyers gave up multiple odd-man rushes. While there were some positives in puck support and defensive involvement, the inability to convert chances remains a major concern.

Jamie Drysdale’s Emergence Offers a Silver Lining

One bright spot for the Flyers has been defenseman Jamie Drysdale, who has found the back of the net in consecutive games for the first time in his career. With three goals in March, Drysdale has shown improvement in the offensive zone, but he remains critical of his defensive play, acknowledging costly mistakes that have led to chances for the opposition.

Despite individual flashes of brilliance, the Flyers’ overall offensive woes persist. With key players struggling to produce, Philadelphia will need a much stronger effort to break through against a Tampa Bay squad eager to get back on track.

A Rematch with Recent History

This is the second meeting between these teams this season, with the Flyers winning a tight 2-1 contest back on November 7. In that game, Owen Tippett played the hero, scoring a late goal in regulation before sealing the victory in a shootout.

The Lightning will be out for revenge, and they won’t have to wait long for another shot at the Flyers, as the two teams are set to face off again on Monday in Tampa Bay. With playoff aspirations on the line for one side and pride at stake for the other, Thursday’s game carries weight for both teams.

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Which Team Will Break the Streak?

For Tampa Bay, this game is an opportunity to regain confidence and tighten their grip on a postseason berth. For Philadelphia, it’s a chance to stop the bleeding and prove they can still compete despite their struggles.

Both teams have something to prove, making this matchup one that could be more competitive than their recent records suggest. With uncertainty surrounding Kucherov’s status and Philadelphia searching for answers, expect an unpredictable but high-intensity battle.