Philadelphia Flyers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Picks and Predictions January 7th 2025

Philadelphia Flyers vs Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Tue, Jan 7, 19:30 pm.
Philadelphia Flyers
ML: 120
0
0
Toronto Maple Leafs
ML: -140

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Looking to win big? The Maple Leafs and Flyers face off at 7:30 ET on ESPN+. The Flyers are hosting the game at Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA. The Maple Leafs are the -1.5 goal favorite in this Eastern conference matchup against Flyers. The over/under for the game is set at 6.5 goals.

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Toronto vs. Philadelphia Key Information

  • Teams: Maple Leafs at Flyers
  • Where: Wells Fargo Center Philadelphia
  • Date: Tuesday, January 7th
  • Betting Odds TOR -140 | PHI +117 O/U 6.5

The Maple Leafs Can Win If…

Toronto’s latest game ended in a 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild, bringing their record to 26-13-2. The Maple Leafs were the underdogs on the puck line, and the total for the game was set at 6 goals, but the teams combined for just 3.

After the Wild scored first, William Nylander tied it up with 19:08 gone in the first period. The game stayed tied until Minnesota found the net again, 2:14 into overtime.

Toronto’s offense was limited to just one goal in their 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild. William Nylander netted his 9th of the season on a power play, with Auston Matthews earning his 6th assist and Mitchell Marner picking up his 12th.

Maple Leafs ScoresAndStats

The Maple Leafs fired 28 shots on goal but were hampered by 10 giveaways. After Nylander’s goal at 19:08 in the first period, they were held scoreless through the second, third, and overtime periods.

Defensively, the Maple Leafs gave up the first goal at 9:41 in the 1st period and the game-winner at 2:14 in overtime. Anthony Stolarz made 31 saves with a 93.9% save percentage, while the defense added 2 takeaways and 30 hits.

  • Over their last three games, the Maple Leafs have gone 3-0 straight up. Against the spread, they have gone 1-2 and logged an over-under record of 1-2 in these games.
  • Through their last ten regular season contests, Toronto has a record of 7-3. In these contests, the team went just 5-5 against the spread, while going 7-3 on the over-under.

The Flyers Can Win If…

With a 3-0 loss to the Bruins, the Flyers fell to 17-19-5 on the season. Philadelphia entered the game as underdogs on the puck line, and the total was set at 6.5 goals. The combined 3 goals fell well short of that number.

Philadelphia’s defense allowed goals in each period, with the Bruins’ third goal coming at 16:21 in the final period. The Flyers struggled offensively, managing only 20 shots on goal and failing to score.

In their 3-0 loss to the Bruins, the Flyers took 20 shots on goal but were unable to find the back of the net. Philadelphia had 15 giveaways in the game.

Philadelphia Flyers ScoresAndStats

The Flyers were shut out in all three periods, and none of their players scored or recorded an assist.

Philadelphia’s defense gave up the first goal at 13:28 in the first period and another at 11:23 in the second, with both goals coming at even strength. The Flyers also allowed an empty net goal late in the third period. Samuel Ersson made 8 saves with a 100% save percentage, while the defense recorded 5 takeaways and 30 hits.

  • Across Philadelphia’s last three regular season games, their record sits at 1-2. This also includes going 2-1 ATS, and posting an over-under record of 1-2.
  • The Flyers have gone 3-7 over their last ten regular season games. This includes going 4-6 vs. the puck line along with an over-under mark of 6-4.

The Lean

When making a moneyline pick, my choice is the Flyers to come out with a win against the Maple Leafs while playing at home. Considering the moneyline odds at +117, I’m placing my bet on the Flyers to win outright.

If you’re looking to get a bet down on this matchup, we foresee the Flyers winning the underdog. However, if you’re not as confident in the Flyers straight-up, we’d still recommend placing a bet on them to cover the puck line.

When considering the over/under line, which is currently at 6.5 goals, we believe that this game will go over that threshold, and we recommend wagering on the over.

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Flyers Try to Get Even vs. Surging Maple Leafs

The Philadelphia Flyers won’t have to wait long for a chance at redemption as they host the Toronto Maple Leafs on Tuesday, fresh off a narrow 3-2 overtime loss to the same team on Sunday.

Flyers Return After Grueling Road Trip

The Flyers wrapped up a six-game road trip with a 2-3-1 record, highlighted by wins on the West Coast but ending with a tough loss in Toronto. Morgan Rielly’s overtime goal, assisted by Auston Matthews, sealed Sunday’s game for the Maple Leafs. Rielly’s tally marked his first goal since Nov. 5.

“It feels good,” Rielly said. “I thought we played well within the structure, and it was a close game. Obviously, we’ve been in a lot of these recently, which I think is good, so to get the results is good.”

Maple Leafs Riding Momentum

Toronto has now won four consecutive games, all decided by two goals or fewer, showcasing their resilience in tight contests. Matthew Knies and Oliver Ekman-Larsson also scored on Sunday, while Dennis Hildeby made 30 saves. The Maple Leafs sit atop the Atlantic Division with 54 points, buoyed by their dynamic core of Auston Matthews, Mitch Marner, William Nylander, and John Tavares—all of whom are averaging over a point per game this season.

Coach Craig Berube praised his team’s effort against Philadelphia:
“I thought it was a gutsy win. Philly is hard to play against—they’re quick, they’re fast, they play hard. It was a difficult game for us.”

Flyers Looking for Answers

Despite the loss, the Flyers showed positive signs. Tyson Foerster and Scott Laughton provided the scoring, with Rasmus Ristolainen adding two assists. Goaltender Ivan Fedotov stopped 22 shots in the absence of Samuel Ersson, who remains sidelined with a lower-body injury. Philadelphia continues to alternate between Fedotov and Aleksei Kolosov in net.

Coach John Tortorella was encouraged by his team’s play:
“I thought it was one of our better games playing forward, checking time and space. Other than some turnovers in the first period, we did a lot of good things.”

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Travis Konecny, Philadelphia’s leading scorer with 43 points in 40 games, has been quiet lately, with just two goals in his last five contests. The Flyers will need more offensive output from him and others to counter Toronto’s firepower.

A Tough Challenge Ahead

Toronto has dominated this matchup recently, winning nine of the last 10 meetings. The Flyers know the challenge of containing the Maple Leafs’ star-studded roster but remain focused on building off Sunday’s performance.

“We shut down the middle of the ice for the most part in the neutral zone and limited their chances,” said Laughton. “They get the last one there, but we get them again (in Philadelphia) and will try to do the same thing and get one more than them.”

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
spread
moneyline
over/under
Philadelphia Flyers
+1.5
-210
120
O 6
100
Toronto Maple Leafs
-1.5
175
-140
U 6
-120
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