Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres Picks and Predictions March 6th 2025

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres NHL Thu, Mar 6, 19:00 pm.
Tampa Bay Lightning
ML: -225
0
0
Buffalo Sabres
ML: 190

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Slumping Sabres Face High-Powered Lightning in Tampa Bay

Lightning Aim to Keep Rolling Against Free-Falling Sabres

The Tampa Bay Lightning will look to continue their offensive dominance when they host the Buffalo Sabres on Thursday night.

Tampa Bay enters the matchup with one of the NHL’s most potent offenses, ranking second in the league with 218 goals and averaging 3.56 goals per game. The Lightning rebounded from a tough 2-1 loss to the Florida Panthers on Monday by crushing the Columbus Blue Jackets 6-2 on Tuesday.

On the other hand, the Sabres are struggling through another forgettable campaign, coming off a humiliating 6-2 loss to the San Jose Sharks. Buffalo is riding a four-game losing streak and has dropped 14 of its last 18 games.

With the trade deadline approaching on Friday, Buffalo could see some roster changes, while Tampa Bay continues to strengthen its lineup in hopes of making a deep playoff run.

Tampa Bay’s Offense Firing on All Cylinders

The Lightning’s high-powered attack was on full display in their dominant win over Columbus.

Jake Guentzel and Victor Hedman each posted three-point performances, with two goals and an assist apiece. Nikita Kucherov continued his MVP-caliber season with a goal and two assists, bringing his season total to an eye-popping 106 points (37 goals, 69 assists).

Despite losing an eight-game winning streak to Florida, Tampa Bay has remained dangerous in the offensive zone.

“The result was tough (against Florida), but I was really disappointed we came away with zero points,” Lightning coach Jon Cooper said. “It’s always tough when a team (like Columbus) is waiting for you in your hometown when you’re playing on the road.”

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Key Lightning Performers:

  • Jake Guentzel – 29 goals, 39 assists (68 points)
  • Nikita Kucherov – NHL-leading 106 points (37 goals, 69 assists)
  • Victor Hedman – 2 goals, 1 assist vs. Columbus
  • Brayden Point – Team-leading 32 goals

Tampa Bay also continues to make moves to improve. The team acquired forwards Oliver Bjorkstrand and Yanni Gourde on Wednesday in a trade with the Seattle Kraken and Detroit Red Wings.

Buffalo Spiraling Out of Playoff Contention

For the 14th consecutive season, the Sabres will miss the playoffs, and Tuesday’s embarrassing 6-2 home loss to the Sharks summed up their struggles.

Buffalo was outplayed in every aspect of the game against a San Jose team that came into the matchup with only 11 regulation wins in 62 games.

“Too many passengers tonight,” Sabres coach Lindy Ruff said. “They won the compete. They won the puck play game. Our puck play was awful. Just too many guys took the night off.”

Buffalo’s offensive struggles have been compounded by a lack of defensive consistency and unreliable goaltending.

“We didn’t battle, we didn’t compete,” Sabres forward Tage Thompson said. “We took tonight off.”

Despite the team’s struggles, Thompson continues to produce, leading the Sabres with 30 goals and 53 points.

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Key Sabres Performers:

  • Tage Thompson – 30 goals, 23 assists (53 points)
  • Rasmus Dahlin – 10 goals, 39 assists (49 points)
  • JJ Peterka – 18 goals, 31 assists (49 points)

One name to watch ahead of Friday’s trade deadline is Peterka. The young winger, who is tied with Dahlin for second on the team in points, has been linked to trade rumors involving the Pittsburgh Penguins.

Goaltending Matchup: Johansson vs. Luukkonen?

Tampa Bay backup goalie Jonas Johansson got the nod against Columbus and delivered a solid performance, stopping 31 of 33 shots. The 28-year-old improved to 7-5-1 this season with a 3.15 goals-against average and an .895 save percentage.

The Lightning may turn back to No. 1 goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy, who has been strong since returning from injury earlier this season. Vasilevskiy is 19-9-2 with a .912 save percentage and a 2.64 GAA.

For Buffalo, Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen has been the team’s most consistent netminder. He holds a 20-18-4 record with a 3.06 GAA and an .892 save percentage. However, he has struggled recently, allowing 15 goals in his last three starts.

Projected Goalie Matchup:

  • Tampa Bay: Andrei Vasilevskiy (19-9-2, .912 SV%, 2.64 GAA)
  • Buffalo: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (20-18-4, .892 SV%, 3.06 GAA)
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Game Preview: Key Matchups & Trends

Lightning Offense vs. Sabres Defense

  • Tampa Bay ranks second in the NHL with 3.56 goals per game.
  • Buffalo allows 3.35 goals per game (25th in the NHL).
  • Nikita Kucherov has five goals and 12 points in his last seven games.

Sabres’ Lackluster Power Play

  • Buffalo ranks 27th in the NHL in power play percentage (16.4%).
  • Tampa Bay ranks 3rd in the NHL in power play percentage (26.2%).

Recent Trends

  • Lightning: 9-1-1 in their last 11 games.
  • Sabres: 4-10-4 in their last 18 games.
  • Tampa Bay is 6-2-2 in its last 10 games vs. Buffalo.
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NHL Betting Tips

Prediction: Lightning Overpower Sabres

Buffalo is a team in turmoil, struggling both offensively and defensively. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay’s offense is thriving, and the Lightning have added key reinforcements in Bjorkstrand and Gourde.

With Vasilevskiy likely back in net and the Lightning motivated to keep pace in the Atlantic Division, Tampa Bay should roll to another dominant victory.

Final Score Prediction: Lightning 5, Sabres 2

Can Buffalo pull off a shocking upset, or will Tampa Bay’s firepower prove too much for the struggling Sabres? Find out Thursday night in Tampa.

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
Wed, Mar 5, 15:59 pm.
spread
moneyline
over/under
Tampa Bay Lightning
-1.5
115
-225
O 6.5
-105
Buffalo Sabres
+1.5
-135
190
U 6.5
-115
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