Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montréal Canadiens Picks and Predictions December 29th 2024

Fresh Off Shutout Win, Canadiens Aim to Jolt Lightning

The Montreal Canadiens, buoyed by a dominant shutout victory over the Florida Panthers, head to Tampa Bay on Sunday to face the Lightning in the finale of back-to-back games for both teams. The Canadiens will look to maintain their momentum against a surging Tampa Bay squad coming off a convincing win of its own.

Canadiens Ride High After Rookie Goalie’s Stellar Debut

Montreal’s 4-0 triumph over Florida on Saturday was highlighted by the NHL debut of goaltender Jakub Dobes. The 23-year-old Czech rookie made an impressive 34 saves, becoming the first goalie since 1985 to record a shutout against a defending Stanley Cup champion in his debut.

Dobes’ strong play came as the Canadiens made a notable roster move, placing backup goaltender Cayden Primeau on waivers earlier in the week. With Montreal struggling on the road this season (5-10-1), Dobes’ performance provided a much-needed spark.

Despite their struggles in road games, the Canadiens found their rhythm on Saturday with a three-goal second period. Jake Evans contributed a shorthanded goal and continues to shine this season, on pace for career highs in goals (21) and points (52). Alex Newhook, in a surprising twist, recorded his first two assists of the season in his 35th game, while Kirby Dach added his fourth goal.

However, Montreal has been plagued by slow starts on the road. “We’re just a little sleepy (at times) and not tough enough to play against at the start,” Evans admitted. Turning that trend around will be critical against a sharp Tampa Bay squad.

Lightning Celebrate Milestones in Big Win

The Tampa Bay Lightning, fresh off a dominant 6-2 win over the New York Rangers on Saturday, also come into Sunday’s game with confidence.

The game was historic for Lightning captain Victor Hedman, who broke Steven Stamkos’ franchise record by playing in his 1,083rd game. Hedman also notched his 597th career assist in the win.

Brayden Point led the offensive charge, recording a goal and two assists, and the Lightning capitalized on their special-teams prowess with two power-play goals and two shorthanded goals. Ryan McDonagh’s first goal since returning to Tampa Bay and Anthony Cirelli’s 15th career short-handed tally were crucial in the team’s victory.

“They’re huge,” McDonagh said of short-handed goals. “If you’ve been on the (power play) and given up one, it’s a tough feeling.” The Lightning will look to maintain that momentum on Sunday, especially with backup goaltender Jonas Johansson likely to start.

Key Factors to Watch

1. Montreal’s Offensive Consistency: The Canadiens will need to replicate their second-period performance from Saturday and avoid the sluggish starts that have hurt them on the road.
2. Jakub Dobes’ Follow-Up Performance: After his stellar debut, Dobes is expected to face a potent Tampa Bay offense led by Brayden Point and Nikita Kucherov.
3. Tampa Bay’s Special Teams: The Lightning’s ability to excel on the power play and penalty kill could prove decisive, especially if Montreal’s offense stalls.
4. Back-to-Back Fatigue: With both teams playing the second game in as many days, depth and endurance will be critical factors.

Matchup Outlook

While the Canadiens come into the game with momentum, the Lightning’s balanced attack and home-ice advantage could give them the upper hand. Montreal will need standout performances from their young players and strong goaltending to secure a victory against a disciplined Tampa Bay team.