Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers Picks and Predictions March 17th 2025

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers March 17th 2025

Making on a bet on this NHL game featuring the Flyers versus the Lightning? The puck drops at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on NBCS. The game will be played at Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL. The odds for this Eastern conference game currently have the Lightning as the -1.5 goal favorite with the over/under line sitting at 6 goals.

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Philadelphia vs. Tampa Bay Key Information

• Teams: Flyers at Lightning
• Where: Amalie Arena Tampa
• Date: Monday, March 17th
• Betting Odds TB -252 | PHI +209 O/U 6

The Flyers Can Win If…

After a 3-0 loss to the Bruins, the Flyers are now 28-32-8 this season. Philadelphia, as the underdog on the puck line, failed to cover. The total was set at 6.5 goals, but the combined 3 goals fell short of that mark.

Philadelphia’s offense was nonexistent, managing just 20 shots on goal. The Bruins scored in each period, with the final goal coming with 3:39 left. The Flyers’ defense allowed 30 shots, and they committed 15 giveaways.

Philadelphia’s offense was shut out in their 3-0 loss to Boston, managing 20 shots on goal but failing to find the net. The Flyers gave away the puck 15 times and were unable to capitalize on any power play opportunities.

None of the Flyers’ players scored in the game, marking their 8th shutout loss of the season.

Philadelphia’s defense gave up the first goal at 13:28 in the first period and another at 11:23 in the second. The Flyers also allowed an empty-net goal late in the third. Samuel Ersson stopped all 8 shots he faced, finishing with a 100% save percentage. Defensively, the Flyers had 5 takeaways and 30 hits.

• Across Philadelphia’s last three regular season games, their record sits at 1-2. Across these games, their puck line record was just 1-2, while posting an over-under record of 2-1.
• Across Philadelphia’s last ten regular season games, their record sits at 3-7. Their record vs the puck line sits at 4-6 in these matchups, while posting a 5-5 over-under mark.

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The Lightning Can Win If…

Tampa Bay’s 7-4 loss to the Jets moved their record to 38-23-5. The Lightning held a 2-0 lead at one point, but their defense faltered as the game progressed. Going into the game as underdogs on the puck line, the total of 11 goals easily surpassed the pre-game line of 6.5 goals.

Four different Lightning players contributed to the scoring, but the defense struggled, allowing four goals in the third period. The Lightning’s last goal tied the game at 4-4, but the Jets responded with three unanswered goals to seal the win.

Brandon Hagel kicked off the scoring for the Lightning, netting his 7th goal of the season. Brayden Point followed with his 8th, converting on a power play. Mitchell Chaffee added his 4th goal, while Nikita Kucherov found the net for the 10th time this season.

Tampa Bay took 30 shots on goal and recorded 8 giveaways. The Lightning finished with 4 assists, including Jake Guentzel’s 8th and Nick Paul’s 7th.

After tying the game at 4-4 in the 3rd period, the Lightning’s defense struggled, allowing three consecutive goals to the Jets, including two empty-netters. Jonas Johansson made 27 saves with an 84.4% save percentage, but the Lightning’s defense also gave up the first two goals of the 2nd period, turning a 3-3 lead into a 3-2 deficit.

• Through their last three regular season contests, Tampa Bay has a record of 1-2. In these contests, the team went just 1-2 against the spread, while going 2-1 on the over-under.
• Tampa Bay has put together a record of 6-4 in their last ten games (regular season). In these contests, the team went just 6-4 against the spread, while going 4-6 on the over-under.

The Lean

If you’re looking for a straight moneyline bet, then the Lightning are the way to go. However, with a payout of -252, you might consider using this bet as a leg of a parlay.

If you’re looking for a puck line bet, I’d suggest going with the Flyers to cover. Even in the event of a Lightning victory, this game is expected to be closely fought, and the Flyers should cover the puck line.

For those looking at the over/under line set at 6 goals, our expectation is that this game will surpass that mark, and we suggest making a bet on the over.

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Lightning Expect Better Outcome in Rematch with Flyers

The Tampa Bay Lightning are determined to bounce back when they host the Philadelphia Flyers on Monday night, just five days after a 4-3 shootout loss to Philadelphia. As Tampa Bay fights for playoff positioning, this game holds significant weight, making it a key matchup for those analyzing NHL expert picks.

Tampa Bay Looking to Keep Momentum Going

After going 1-1-1 on their recent road trip, the Lightning capped it off with a statement 6-2 win over Boston on Saturday. The win was a major confidence boost as Tampa Bay looks to stay in the hunt for a top seed in the East.

“Nothing fazed (us),” coach Jon Cooper said after his team held Boston without a shot in the second period.

Anthony Cirelli scored twice, giving him a career-high 47 points. With Nikita Kucherov leading the NHL in points, the Lightning have the offensive firepower to avenge last week’s loss to the Flyers. For those following NHL betting predictions, Tampa Bay’s offensive potential makes them a strong play.

Flyers Hoping Brink Provides Another Spark

Philadelphia ended a five-game losing streak with their shootout win over Tampa Bay last Thursday, but they followed that up with a 5-0 shutout loss to Carolina on Saturday.

A key player in the Flyers’ success has been Bobby Brink, who tallied two goals and an assist in last week’s win over the Lightning.

“Bobby has been playing good, period. He just hasn’t finished,” Flyers coach John Tortorella said. “But he has taken a huge step in his development.”

Brink, now anchoring the Flyers’ third line, has 10 goals and 22 assists this season. His chemistry with Ryan Poehling and Olle Lycksell will be crucial as Philadelphia looks for another strong performance.

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Key Matchups & Goaltending

Tampa Bay’s Andrei Vasilevskiy (23-15-2, 2.86 GAA, .905 SV%) is expected to start, while Samuel Ersson (18-13-5, 2.76 GAA, .896 SV%) is likely to be in net for Philadelphia.

The Flyers’ top scoring line of Owen Tippett (19 goals), Sean Couturier (10 goals), and Matvei Michkov (20 goals) will need to produce against Tampa Bay’s defense. If you’re looking for accurate NHL predictions, the Lightning’s strong home presence and recent form suggest an edge in this rematch.